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RAN sire line
Furthermore, the impact value for this sire line thru history is around 1.88. (47% winners divided by only 25% of the starters equals a 1.88 iv.). This means that horses with the RAN sire line have won the roses 88% more often than statistical expectation. Statistically one would only expect 25% winners from 25% starters but instead we get 47% winners from 25% of the starters. RAN sire line horses are outperforming their opportunities. Turn the clock back to 2012 and you will see a tidbit of this angle: In that year, the winner, Ill Have another, the place finisher, Bodemeister, the show horse Dullahan and the fourth place finisher, Went the Day Well all carried that line and the superfecta of all RAN sire line horses paid a whopping 96 GRAND. That year there were only 6 RAN sire line horses in the field and 4 of the 6 comprised the superfecta.
One might ask isn't that a figure that is inflated because there are many horses in the Derby each year that carry the RAN sire line? The answer to this question is NO not at all. Thru history the percentage of starters is only around 25% whereas the percent of winners is 47%.. For example last year there were only 5 starters with the RAN sire line and the year before there were only 3 starters with the RAN sire line.
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