Playing with a new morning line method.

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MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER OOF
3 MOANA 1.2 VELAZQUEZ J. R. PLETCHER T. A.
1 SMILE BIG 2.5 ORTIZ JR. I. RODRIGUEZ R. R.
2 BLENHEIM PALACE 4.0 ORTIZ J. L. MCGAUGHEY III C. R
5 POSSE NEEDED 6.0 ALVARADO J. HENNIG M. A.
4 STAY FOND 8.0 CASTELLANO J. PLETCHER T. A.
Method Success - WIN 100.00PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 7 RACES, ROI -33.39 PCT 07-31-2017

Saratoga - Race 3
# Win Place Show
1 $15.20 $5.80 $3.00
4 . $9.80 $3.70
3 . . $2.10

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I should stess again my point here is not predict the winners per se. I am looking at comparing my method with the morning line and combining the 2 to predict the off odds of the race. By ranking them I can compare my line to the odds on the live toteboard. Finding value when the public misses something is key. A template to watch the public. Saratoga is very easily influenced by certain features when it comes to the public, connections are big odds changer. It is in the little things.

Thanks

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MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
6 JOOPSTER 3.0 ORTIZ JR. I. WARD W. A.
8 DAY OF RECKONING 8.0 VELAZQUEZ J. R. WARD W. A.
4 SHANES JEWEL 5.0 CARMOUCHE K. SERVIS J. C.
5 NOTHINGS CHANGED 6.0 SAEZ L. SCHERER M. R.
2 FACTOR THIS 8.0 ARROYO A. S. BARKER E. R.
9 THE BERBER 10.0 LOPEZ P. CONTESSA G. C.
3 NATE CANT WAIT 10.0 REYES L. R. SCHETTINO D. L.
7 TOMS MUSIC 12.0 ROSARIO J. LUKAS D. W.
Method Success - WIN 72.73 PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 11 RACES, ROI 42.27 PCT 07-31-2017
Saratoga - Race 4
# Win Place Show
6 $6.70 $4.60 $3.10
9 . $10.80 $5.70
4 . . $2.70

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MY TIP SHEET PREDICTIONS (USING morning line):
PGM HORSE ODDS JOCKEY TRAINER
2 TALE OF E DUBAI 8.0 ORTIZ JR. I. SALZMAN JR. J. E.
9 SHADOW ROCK 2.5 ORTIZ J. L. MAKER M. J.
1 NO HIDING PLACE 8.0 SANTANA JR. R. ASMUSSEN S. M.
7 FULL SALUTE 10.0 SAEZ L. ENGLEHART C. J.
8 AKTABANTAY 3.0 CARMOUCHE K. COX B. H.
5 FRANCIS FREUD 20.0 LEZCANO A. METIVIER R.
6 STARSHIP WILDCAT 4.5 LEZCANO J. GULLO G. P.
10 PADILLA 6.0 MARAGH R. SUMMERS C.
3 STREET SHARK 20.0 ARROYO A. S. CHATTERPAUL N.
Method Success - WIN 87.50 PCT WGR-1234 $4 - 40 RACES, ROI 40.16 PCT 07-31-2017
Saratoga - Race 5
# Win Place Show
9 $10.20 $4.60 $2.70
8 . $4.20 $3.00
10 . . $3.30