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Old 09-01-2022, 11:11 AM   #1
CheckMark
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NCAAF Week 1 Odds

NCAAF Odds and Selections Week 1

Explination on odds: Conley Line is a line that shows how much a team is favoured over the next team in their power ratings (which are mine)

The total is created using Off+Def Power Ratings

9/1/2022
Vegas Line ConleyLine
Ball State 67 66
Tennessee -35.5 -31

West Virginia 51.5 54
Pittsburgh -7 -15 100* play on PITT-7(-120)

Penn State -3.5 -1
Purdue 53 53

Louisiana Tech 61.5 60
Missouri -21 -18.5

New Mexico State 53 52
Minnesota -37 -33

Central Michigan 58 57
Oklahoma State -21.5 -25 *3.5 pt edge on spread*
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Old 09-01-2022, 12:53 PM   #2
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anyone have a line on Miami Florida this week?
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Old 09-01-2022, 03:56 PM   #3
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anyone have a line on Miami Florida this week?
They are playing an FCS team this week which I believe is Bethine or Bethune Cookman (doing this from memory)

Only doing FBS not FCS teams sorry

Last time I checked it was sitting at -45.5/62.5 but it could be higher than that
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Old 09-02-2022, 04:12 PM   #4
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NCAAF Odds and Selections Week 1

9/2/2022

Vegas Line Conley Line
Illinois 46.5 47.5
Indiana -1.5 -2

Virginia Tech -6.5 -15 100* play on VT-6 (-110) TheScoreBet
Old Dominion 48 51

Western Michigan 54 56
Michigan State -21 -27

Temple 51.5 53
Duke -9.5 -11

TCU -13.5 -6.5
Colorado 59 58.5
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Old 09-02-2022, 06:39 PM   #5
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gl mr. C on week 1 ncaa fb if your line is better than the bookies then its the bookie ATM gl sir
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Old 09-02-2022, 09:54 PM   #6
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gl mr. C on week 1 ncaa fb if your line is better than the bookies then its the bookie ATM gl sir
Thanks Sharkey! And you are 100% correct on that statement for bookies money! I am only limiting my plays to big advantages and not playing all edge plays that I see. See what happens hoping to make some good $$ somehow lol.
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Old 09-03-2022, 12:43 PM   #7
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Old 09-03-2022, 08:19 PM   #8
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i recognize those numbers i used to do my own power ratings too lots of work doing em but they did give me a slight edge in most recent past a giant edge back in the 80s couple of books shut me off back then one even had the nerve to ask how i was doing it i suppose you could eke out a small profit combined with using the key numbers
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Old 09-03-2022, 09:21 PM   #9
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i recognize those numbers i used to do my own power ratings too lots of work doing em but they did give me a slight edge in most recent past a giant edge back in the 80s couple of books shut me off back then one even had the nerve to ask how i was doing it i suppose you could eke out a small profit combined with using the key numbers


Today alone computing lines and picking out selections for SATURDAY, not just the week lol took about 3 hours alone which I know is hard work but hard work does pay off eventually

Here is how it went today:

Started at 8:00am SHARP
About 20 or so minutes writing out who playing who rotation #ers special info with lines and totals

Then about 1 hour of computing ratings for all teams; I produce a power rating for every game/team to create a line and total

Then 2 hours to figure out what games to circle and then research those games
in-depth to find if that team has any edges (besides the ones I have with my ratings)

Then place the bets before kickoff and watch my work for the rest of the afternoon which is now 11:30 when I looked at the clock again

It gets easier when there are fewer games (obviously) but I love the challenge and like what I said hard work pays off when you put the work/research in these games!

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Old 09-04-2022, 10:21 AM   #10
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Virginia Tech -6.5 -15 100* play on VT-6 (-110) TheScoreBet
Old Dominion 48 51







The only thing that saved me from that game destroying the parlay I was going to make was it slipped my mind it was a Friday game. I went to ESPN looking at stats Friday night ready to put a Saturday ticket together and saw that game had started. How in the hell does VT lose outright to OD?
I swear every time I think a pick is a gimme, it loses.
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Old 09-04-2022, 11:35 AM   #11
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The only thing that saved me from that game destroying the parlay I was going to make was it slipped my mind it was a Friday game. I went to ESPN looking at stats Friday night ready to put a Saturday ticket together and saw that game had started. How in the hell does VT lose outright to OD?
I swear every time I think a pick is a gimme, it loses.
A lot of my sports betting friends were asking why did I take Virginia Tech over Old Dom and I said well the power rating line is very high on VT and VT should win because of a few stats and trends I found on them

At one point in the game, I felt good because they were up AND covering which felt nice for once but then they let OD get to them and win the game

I mean I shook off that loss to get a win on the weekend so it was bittersweet that we lost one day and got the win the next but then again I should be 2-0-1 in CFB not 1-1-1
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Old 09-04-2022, 12:17 PM   #12
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A lot of my sports betting friends were asking why did I take Virginia Tech over Old Dom and I said well the power rating line is very high on VT and VT should win because of a few stats and trends I found on them

At one point in the game, I felt good because they were up AND covering which felt nice for once but then they let OD get to them and win the game

I mean I shook off that loss to get a win on the weekend so it was bittersweet that we lost one day and got the win the next but then again I should be 2-0-1 in CFB not 1-1-1

Glad you won over the weekend. I lost $50, but it was a free bet on a joint account I have with a friend, kind of like sticking my toe in the water, as I have never been good at college football. I think if I just bet the other side when I felt I have a gimme, I would make a profit.
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Old 09-04-2022, 02:18 PM   #13
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Looks like you dumped a glass of kool-aid on the notes.
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Old 09-04-2022, 02:46 PM   #14
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Looks like you dumped a glass of kool-aid on the notes.
The book was in the bottom of a backpack but then water got in on it and caused it to do that and stained it

Here is today's game only 1 on tap but hey football is football lol
VL CL
Florida State 51 53.5
LSU -4 -5
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Old 09-04-2022, 06:53 PM   #15
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A lot of my sports betting friends were asking why did I take Virginia Tech over Old Dom and I said well the power rating line is very high on VT and VT should win because of a few stats and trends I found on them

At one point in the game, I felt good because they were up AND covering which felt nice for once but then they let OD get to them and win the game

I mean I shook off that loss to get a win on the weekend so it was bittersweet that we lost one day and got the win the next but then again I should be 2-0-1 in CFB not 1-1-1
Virginia Tech has a new coach and they are not projected to be all that good. I know Old Dominion isn't a world beater but they did beat them four years ago.
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