Belmont Gap Analysis -- Morning Line 2/1's winless in last 12 on Dirt !!!

[TheOracle]

As of yesterday the Morning Line 5/2's have won 3 of their last 6 races over a wet surface at Belmont after a gap of 9 races in a row without a win going back to October 23rd 2016



I will continue to keep track of the gaps between wins regarding the Morning Line 5/2's in this situation

Once the win percentage hovers at close to 30% I will do like Kramer and ....sell sell sell.... and get off of the train before it drowns me hopefully leaving with a profit

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by TheOracle

Well the only winner for the day was #1 Bustin It and with today's losses it really ate into the profits from opening day



However, I will still keep an eye on the Morning Line 2/1's since their win percentage is still over 30% once it falls below that it is time to move on to another streak

Unbelievable how #6 Tickled Pink lost in a 3 horse race

*I had to put a value for the place position for #6 Tickled Pink

Congratulations to those who saw the #1 Bustin It play and were able to make a profit!!!

We will continue with the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont until the win percentage goes toward 30%



So any loss today will put the win percentage at around 30% in which case we abandon ship until there is another winless streak

Here are the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont for today

4th race
#3 No Need to Appeal

8th race
#4 Noholdingback Bear

Let's see if any of these can get a win today!!!

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by TheOracle

We will continue with the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont until the win percentage goes toward 30%



So any loss today will put the win percentage at around 30% in which case we abandon ship until there is another winless streak

Here are the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont for today

4th race
#3 No Need to Appeal

8th race
#4 Noholdingback Bear

Let's see if any of these can get a win today!!!

Correction 1 out of 2 losses today would put the Morning Line win percentage at 41%

However 2 losses will put the win percentage at 33% in which case we abandon ship

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by TheOracle

We will continue with the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont until the win percentage goes toward 30%



So any loss today will put the win percentage at around 30% in which case we abandon ship until there is another winless streak

Here are the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont for today

4th race
#3 No Need to Appeal

8th race
#4 Noholdingback Bear

Let's see if any of these can get a win today!!!

My quest for back to back wins has eluded me in relation to this trend

However, with the win by #3 No Need to Appeal it keeps the overall win percentage at 41% for the Morning Line 2/1's and the payout of $19.60 across the board is not too shabby so I will not complain!!!



It also keeps the returns profitable so right now you're getting a 24% return on your money per $2 win wager on the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt since opening day at Belmont

The Morning Line 2/1's have finished no worse than 2nd in 10 of their last 12 attempts

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

There were plenty of distractions this weekend so congratulations again to those who persevered and were not swayed!!!

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by TheOracle

My quest for back to back wins has eluded me in relation to this trend

However, with the win by #3 No Need to Appeal it keeps the overall win percentage at 41% for the Morning Line 2/1's and the payout of $19.60 across the board is not too shabby so I will not complain!!!



It also keeps the returns profitable so right now you're getting a 24% return on your money per $2 win wager on the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt since opening day at Belmont

The Morning Line 2/1's have finished no worse than 2nd in 10 of their last 12 attempts

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

There were plenty of distractions this weekend so congratulations again to those who persevered and were not swayed!!!

*I had to put a value for the place position for #6 Tickled Pink there was no payout for 2nd place on that day

[TheOracle]

I have come across another winless streak for the Morning Line 2/1's at Belmont

The Morning Line 2/1's have been winless in Maiden Races on the Dirt for the last 8 attempts going back to October 10th 2016



I will keep a watchful eye on the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont

Hopefully a win streak will emerge from this 0 for 8 drought!!!

The Morning Line 2/1's had been winning at a rate of 35.6% prior to the winless streak going back to May 1st, 2015

Let's see if those wins start to return for this situation!!!

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by TheOracle

My quest for back to back wins has eluded me in relation to this trend

However, with the win by #3 No Need to Appeal it keeps the overall win percentage at 41% for the Morning Line 2/1's and the payout of $19.60 across the board is not too shabby so I will not complain!!!



It also keeps the returns profitable so right now you're getting a 24% return on your money per $2 win wager on the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt since opening day at Belmont

The Morning Line 2/1's have finished no worse than 2nd in 10 of their last 12 attempts

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

There were plenty of distractions this weekend so congratulations again to those who persevered and were not swayed!!!

There is another Morning Line 2/1 listed in the first race today at Belmont on the Dirt

1st race
#1 Saratoga Mischief

Let's see if the Morning Line 2/1's can get close to a 50% win percentage with a win today!!!

A loss today would put the win percentage at 38% at which point I will abandon ship with this situation until I see a gap of 4 or more losses between wins!!!

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by TheOracle

There is another Morning Line 2/1 listed in the first race today at Belmont on the Dirt

1st race
#1 Saratoga Mischief

Let's see if the Morning Line 2/1's can get close to a 50% win percentage with a win today!!!

A loss today would put the win percentage at 38% at which point I will abandon ship with this situation until I see a gap of 4 or more losses between wins!!!

Well we got another one right today as #1 Saratoga Mischief came through today with the win to keep the win percentage over 40%



So the Morning Line 2/1's have been profitable since opening day at Belmont but back to back wins have been elusive and in looking at the pattern the next Morning Line 2/1 will lose

As of now, you are getting a 35% return per $2 win wager and 11 of 13 have finished no worse than 2nd

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by TheOracle

Well we got another one right today as #1 Saratoga Mischief came through today with the win to keep the win percentage over 40%



So the Morning Line 2/1's have been profitable since opening day at Belmont but back to back wins have been elusive and in looking at the pattern the next Morning Line 2/1 will lose

As of now, you are getting a 35% return per $2 win wager and 11 of 13 have finished no worse than 2nd

Congratulations to those who saw the play and were able to make a profit!!!

Here are today's Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont

1st race
#6 Street Heat

6th race
#6 Toga Challenger

If the pattern holds it looks like #6 Street Heat should lose and #6 Toga Challenger should win

However, we have not had back to back wins from the Morning Line 2/1's in this situation on the Dirt at Belmont so maybe #6 Street Heat has a chance!!!

Let's see if one of these can get the win today!!!

Two losses here would put the win percentage at exactly 40% so we would continue watching until a 3rd loss where we will abandon ship since that would put the win percentage at 33% and violate the 40% rule!!!

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by TheOracle

Here are today's Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont

1st race
#6 Street Heat

6th race
#6 Toga Challenger

If the pattern holds it looks like #6 Street Heat should lose and #6 Toga Challenger should win

However, we have not had back to back wins from the Morning Line 2/1's in this situation on the Dirt at Belmont so maybe #6 Street Heat has a chance!!!

Let's see if one of these can get the win today!!!

Two losses here would put the win percentage at exactly 40% so we would continue watching until a 3rd loss where we will abandon ship since that would put the win percentage at 33% and violate the 40% rule!!!

Well we got both right today as both #6 Street Heat and #6 Toga Challenger both won their respective races paying a combined $20.80 across the board

If you played both to win you got $10 per $2 wager a 150% return on your money



The overall win return is up to 51% per $2 wager had you played all of the Morning Line 2/1's to win since opening day at Belmont

We will continue with the trend until the win percentage drops close to 30%


Congratulations to those who saw the plays and were able to make a profit!!!

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by TheOracle

I have come across another winless streak for the Morning Line 2/1's at Belmont

The Morning Line 2/1's have been winless in Maiden Races on the Dirt for the last 8 attempts going back to October 10th 2016



I will keep a watchful eye on the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont

Hopefully a win streak will emerge from this 0 for 8 drought!!!

The Morning Line 2/1's had been winning at a rate of 35.6% prior to the winless streak going back to May 1st, 2015

Let's see if those wins start to return for this situation!!!

I will be looking at these Morning Line 2/1's today on the Dirt at Belmont

1st race
#1 Formal Summation

3rd race
#2 Brooklyn Gerty

5th race
#1 No Hayne No Gayne

8th race
#2 Heckuvashot

However, I will be paying particular attention to #2 Brooklyn Gerty in the 3rd race today as The Morning Line 2/1's have been winless in Maiden Races on the Dirt for the last 8 attempts going back to October 10th 2016

Let's hope the Morning Line 2/1's can start a win streak in Maiden races after a winless 2016 since October 10th, for this situation on the Dirt!!!


Let's see what happens!!!

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by TheOracle

I will be looking at these Morning Line 2/1's today on the Dirt at Belmont

1st race
#1 Formal Summation

3rd race
#2 Brooklyn Gerty

5th race
#1 No Hayne No Gayne

8th race
#2 Heckuvashot

However, I will be paying particular attention to #2 Brooklyn Gerty in the 3rd race today as The Morning Line 2/1's have been winless in Maiden Races on the Dirt for the last 8 attempts going back to October 10th 2016

Let's hope the Morning Line 2/1's can start a win streak in Maiden races after a winless 2016 since October 10th, for this situation on the Dirt!!!


Let's see what happens!!!

Well we got out butts handed to us today as all of the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt finished off the board they went 0 for 3 today wiping out half of the profits made from yesterday




However, as the win percentage is 44% I will continue to track them on the Dirt at Belmont


If they go 0 for the next 3 or 1 for the next 4 that will bring the win percentage down below 40% and then we abandon ship on the trend

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by TheOracle

Well we got out butts handed to us today as all of the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt finished off the board they went 0 for 3 today wiping out half of the profits made from yesterday




However, as the win percentage is 44% I will continue to track them on the Dirt at Belmont


If they go 0 for the next 3 or 1 for the next 4 that will bring the win percentage down below 40% and then we abandon ship on the trend

Correction 1 for the next 5 brings the win percentage below 40%

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by TheOracle

I have come across another winless streak for the Morning Line 2/1's at Belmont

The Morning Line 2/1's have been winless in Maiden Races on the Dirt for the last 8 attempts going back to October 10th 2016



I will keep a watchful eye on the Morning Line 2/1's on the Dirt at Belmont

Hopefully a win streak will emerge from this 0 for 8 drought!!!

The Morning Line 2/1's had been winning at a rate of 35.6% prior to the winless streak going back to May 1st, 2015

Let's see if those wins start to return for this situation!!!

With the latest lost by #2 Brooklyn Gerty yesterday the winless streak for the Morning Line 2/1's has extended to 9 in a row at Belmont in Maiden races



Including 0 for 6 over a wet surface in Maiden races as well since the track will be Sloppy today

We have this Morning Line 2/1 in the 1st race today on the Dirt:
1st race
#4 Cookie Crisp

Let's see if we can snap that losing streak today in the 1st race at a wet Belmont and hopefully a new win streak will emerge!!!

[TheOracle]

Originally Posted by TheOracle

With the latest lost by #2 Brooklyn Gerty yesterday the winless streak for the Morning Line 2/1's has extended to 9 in a row at Belmont in Maiden races



Including 0 for 6 over a wet surface in Maiden races as well since the track will be Sloppy today

We have this Morning Line 2/1 in the 1st race today on the Dirt:
1st race
#4 Cookie Crisp

Let's see if we can snap that losing streak today in the 1st race at a wet Belmont and hopefully a new win streak will emerge!!!

I was hoping the streak would be broken today but the winless streak continues as #4 Cookie Crisp finished 2nd




There was by far plenty of rain to ensure that racing tomorrow will be over a wet surface once again and we will see if the Morning Line 2/1's can snap the winless streak in Maiden races on the Dirt at Belmont!!!