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View Poll Results: Who wins election Nov 6th?
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Obama
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26 |
39.39% |
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Romney
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30 |
45.45% |
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Not sure - too close to call
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10 |
15.15% |
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10-28-2012, 05:50 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 14,565
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2012 Presidential Election - who wins?
Obama, Romney, or too close to call?
__________________
Want to know what's wrong with this country?
Here it is, in a nutshell: Millions of people are
pinning their hopes on a man who has every
chance of returning to the WH, assuming that
he can manage to stay out of prison. Think about it.
Last edited by horses4courses; 10-28-2012 at 05:55 PM.
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10-28-2012, 06:14 PM
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#2
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PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,458
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I don't have a clue...but I believe the outcome won't be close, no matter who wins. I don't see a repeat of Bush/Gore...no way...
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10-28-2012, 06:42 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2006
Posts: 28,533
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I used to think that it wouldn't be close too, but I have changed my mind. The way things are unfolding...I can't see anything but a photo finish at the wire.
Obama by a nostril.
__________________
Live to play another day.
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10-28-2012, 06:47 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 8,429
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage
I don't have a clue...but I believe the outcome won't be close, no matter who wins. I don't see a repeat of Bush/Gore...no way...
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at this point you still think that Obama might win big? he's only been polling nationally 46%-48% for some time now.
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10-28-2012, 07:44 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2001
Posts: 46,883
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This will be 2008 in reverse. There is very strong anti-Obama sentiment out there. Romney should win comfortably, unless he screws up big time.
Boxcar
__________________
Consistent profits can only be made on the basis of analysis that is far from obvious to the majority. - anonymous guru
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10-28-2012, 08:06 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Houston , Tx.
Posts: 9,584
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by boxcar
This will be 2008 in reverse. There is very strong anti-Obama sentiment out there. Romney should win comfortably, unless he screws up big time.
Boxcar
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I didn't come close to feeling that way for a long time, but I do now.
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10-28-2012, 08:18 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,731
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popular vote wise, i would say the democrat has a big problem. there is no question in my mind that Obama is going to lose the vote by a minimum of 1 million. thats a lot of votes to overcome to win this election.
even using that number i have a problem predicting who will win. the 8 days to go could bring down the incumbent.
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10-28-2012, 08:21 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: South Jersey
Posts: 7,727
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Marshall Bennett
I didn't come close to feeling that way for a long time, but I do now.
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I'm feeling pretty good too. Certainly better than I have felt since the first debate.
This hurricane may have been a huge factor a week later. Still may be a factor the way it's being hyped.
__________________
One flew east, one flew west,
One flew over the cuckoo's nest.
Last edited by NJ Stinks; 10-28-2012 at 08:32 PM.
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10-28-2012, 08:32 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2001
Posts: 46,883
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Marshall Bennett
I didn't come close to feeling that way for a long time, but I do now.
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I didn't think this way in the beginning either. But from what I'm hearing there really is a very strong anti-Obama sentiment out there. I actually think even many dyed-in-the-wool conservatives and Evangelical Christians will be motivated to vote against Obama.
Boxcar
__________________
Consistent profits can only be made on the basis of analysis that is far from obvious to the majority. - anonymous guru
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10-28-2012, 08:41 PM
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#10
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Veteran
Join Date: Oct 2009
Posts: 25,607
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Why is Rommey plus money at all the gambling sites if he's such a lock to win? The betting odds dont seem to be in line with the feelings in this post. Do the posters here know more than the oddsmakers in the market?
Is Boxcar smarter than the oddsmakers who are putting up their money. William Hill has Obama at 2/5 and Romney at 2-1.
What am i missing?
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10-28-2012, 08:51 PM
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#11
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PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,458
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Stillriledup
Why is Rommey plus money at all the gambling sites if he's such a lock to win? The betting odds dont seem to be in line with the feelings in this post. Do the posters here know more than the oddsmakers in the market?
Is Boxcar smarter than the oddsmakers who are putting up their money. William Hill has Obama at 2/5 and Romney at 2-1.
What am i missing?
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Bookmakers are putting up their money? Or are they offering a balance and collecting the vig? Only when there is a huge imbalance will they get caught on the losing end...there doesn't seem to be a huge imbalance anymore...
Bookmakers set the initial line, and the betting action determines the rest, correct?
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10-28-2012, 08:54 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 14,565
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage
Bookmakers are putting up their money? Or are they offering a balance and collecting the vig? Only when there is a huge imbalance will they get caught on the losing end...there doesn't seem to be a huge imbalance anymore...
Bookmakers set the initial line, and the betting action determines the rest, correct?
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Correct
__________________
Want to know what's wrong with this country?
Here it is, in a nutshell: Millions of people are
pinning their hopes on a man who has every
chance of returning to the WH, assuming that
he can manage to stay out of prison. Think about it.
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10-28-2012, 08:56 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 14,565
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Boxcar is right, in that Republicans have to be more motivated this time round.
Democrats were definitely that way in 2008.
__________________
Want to know what's wrong with this country?
Here it is, in a nutshell: Millions of people are
pinning their hopes on a man who has every
chance of returning to the WH, assuming that
he can manage to stay out of prison. Think about it.
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10-28-2012, 09:02 PM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,731
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bookmakers aren't losing 1 dime on this election. on BETFAIR alone i am told there are mult-millions in matches. that's only one place.
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10-28-2012, 09:07 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 14,565
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by lamboguy
bookmakers aren't losing 1 dime on this election. on BETFAIR alone i am told there are mult-millions in matches. that's only one place.
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Good bookmakers certainly won't.
There's way too much two-way action with a sizeable vig percentage.
Wouldn't surprise me if some of them profit no matter who wins.
__________________
Want to know what's wrong with this country?
Here it is, in a nutshell: Millions of people are
pinning their hopes on a man who has every
chance of returning to the WH, assuming that
he can manage to stay out of prison. Think about it.
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