Mohawk June 10

[Sea Biscuit]

Pik-5


7,5,4,2/84/4/23/28


Race 3 #4 Galaxy Seelster 3-1 ML Win bet at 8/5 which I believe is wishful thinking.


Race 4 #2 Balder Son 4-1 ML W/P


Race 6 #2 St James Gate 5/2 ML Win bet at 8/5 odds min.


Race 7 #6 Mt Sterling Mafia 4-1 ML W/P If he is less than 2-1 money stays in pocket.


Race 8 #5 Miss Jubilee Hill 10-1 ML W/P/S


Race 10 #6 Constantino 5-1 ML W/P


Goodluck to all


Looking forward to your Woodbine Mohawk picks Willp.

[willphorse]

Thank you SB!


Race 1- 2 Cruising In Style
Seems Chalky... may go $2 Ex 2 / 1,5

Race 2- 2 Perfetto
Not a fan of the break last out, but looks good in software. Probably just WPS

Race 3- 4 Galaxy Seelster
NW1 Trot. Too many question marks. Key Ex Box with 1-5-6-7-9

Race 4- 3 Quatrain Bluechip
Pacer broke at the start last out. Will not accept low price.

Race 5- 7 Southwind Casha
Key Ex Box with 2-4-5-8-10

Race 6- 2 St James Gate
Key Tri 2 / 3,4,5,6 / 1,2,3,4,5,6

Race 7- 6 Mt Sterling Mafia
Key Box Ex with 1-2-5-8

Race 8- 4 R First Class
Best in the field when flat, but will not bet at low price

Race 9- 3 Alarm Detector
Big late move. Key Ex Box with 1-2-4

Race 10- 3 Utopia
Key Tri 3 / 1,2,6,7,8 / 1,2,5,6,7,8

[ucancallmemrlucky]

$.20 pick 4, starting with race 4:
3-5-9/4-5-7-8/2-3/1-2
$9.60 ticket

$.20 pick 4, starting with race 7:
1-2/4-5-7/2-3-5/3-4-6
$10.80 ticket

[willphorse]

Good start between us SB!

Race 2- Perfetto scracthed. 8 Dunbar Hall should fly by this field late

[willphorse]

Excellent Handicapping as usual SB!

Here are my results for this evening

Race 1- 2 Cruising In Style
Seems Chalky... may go $2 Ex 2 / 1,5
Ex 2-5 Paid $40.30


Race 2- 2 Perfetto
Not a fan of the break last out, but looks good in software. Probably just WPS
Scratched, I W-P the 8 Dunbar Hall and lost


Race 3- 4 Galaxy Seelster
NW1 Trot. Too many question marks. Key Ex Box with 1-5-6-7-9
Broke stride. Lost $20


Race 4- 3 Quatrain Bluechip
Pacer broke at the start last out. Will not accept low price.
Went off very chalky. Lost by a nose hair. No bet


Race 5- 7 Southwind Casha
Key Ex Box with 2-4-5-8-10
Ex 7-8 Paid $19.20


Race 6- 2 St James Gate
Key Tri 2 / 3,4,5,6 / 1,2,3,4,5,6
$1 Tri 2-5-3 Paid $25.00


Race 7- 6 Mt Sterling Mafia
Key Box Ex with 1-2-5-8
Ex 6-1 Paid $16.70

Race 8- 4 R First Class
Best in the field when flat, but will not bet at low price
Went off too short of a price at 3/5. No bet


Race 9- 3 Alarm Detector
Big late move. Key Ex Box with 1-2-4
Broke into stretch. Lost


Race 10- 3 Utopia
Key Tri 3 / 1,2,6,7,8 / 1,2,5,6,7,8
Finished 2nd to Longshot. Minus $25



4 of my 9 selections (10 including Dunbar Hall) wins, but Key Boxing exactas and losing the final Tri hurt tonight.

[Sea Biscuit]

Originally Posted by Sea Biscuit

Pik-5


7,5,4,2/84/4/23/28


Race 3 #4 Galaxy Seelster 3-1 ML Win bet at 8/5 which I believe is wishful thinking.


Race 4 #2 Balder Son 4-1 ML W/P


Race 6 #2 St James Gate 5/2 ML Win bet at 8/5 odds min.


Race 7 #6 Mt Sterling Mafia 4-1 ML W/P If he is less than 2-1 money stays in pocket.


Race 8 #5 Miss Jubilee Hill 10-1 ML W/P/S


Race 10 #6 Constantino 5-1 ML W/P


Goodluck to all


Looking forward to your Woodbine Mohawk picks Willp.

Race 3 #4 Galaxy Seelster 3-1 ML Win bet at 8/5 which I believe is wishful thinking. Broke at Gate


Race 4 #2 Balder Son 4-1 ML W/P Won paid 7.00-3.50


Race 6 #2 St James Gate 5/2 ML Win bet at 8/5 odds min. Won paid 3.30


Race 7 #6 Mt Sterling Mafia 4-1 ML W/P If he is less than 2-1 money stays in pocket. Won paid 6.70-3.10


Race 8 #5 Miss Jubilee Hill 10-1 ML W/P/S Came 2nd at 13-1 Paid 12.70-6.10


Race 10 #6 Constantino 5-1 ML W/P Came 4th

[Sea Biscuit]

Originally Posted by willphorse

Excellent Handicapping as usual SB!

Here are my results for this evening

Race 1- 2 Cruising In Style
Seems Chalky... may go $2 Ex 2 / 1,5
Ex 2-5 Paid $40.30


Race 2- 2 Perfetto
Not a fan of the break last out, but looks good in software. Probably just WPS
Scratched, I W-P the 8 Dunbar Hall and lost


Race 3- 4 Galaxy Seelster
NW1 Trot. Too many question marks. Key Ex Box with 1-5-6-7-9
Broke stride. Lost $20


Race 4- 3 Quatrain Bluechip
Pacer broke at the start last out. Will not accept low price.
Went off very chalky. Lost by a nose hair. No bet


Race 5- 7 Southwind Casha
Key Ex Box with 2-4-5-8-10
Ex 7-8 Paid $19.20


Race 6- 2 St James Gate
Key Tri 2 / 3,4,5,6 / 1,2,3,4,5,6
$1 Tri 2-5-3 Paid $25.00


Race 7- 6 Mt Sterling Mafia
Key Box Ex with 1-2-5-8
Ex 6-1 Paid $16.70

Race 8- 4 R First Class
Best in the field when flat, but will not bet at low price
Went off too short of a price at 3/5. No bet


Race 9- 3 Alarm Detector
Big late move. Key Ex Box with 1-2-4
Broke into stretch. Lost


Race 10- 3 Utopia
Key Tri 3 / 1,2,6,7,8 / 1,2,5,6,7,8
Finished 2nd to Longshot. Minus $25



4 of my 9 selections (10 including Dunbar Hall) wins, but Key Boxing exactas and losing the final Tri hurt tonight.

Well done Willp. 4 out of 9 is a pretty good hit rate. Try and pick singles for winners and live or die by it. Whether you play your pick to win or in the exotics the choice is yours.There lies the strength or weakness of any system. Try to achieve one winner in three tries. Remember if you are playing to win and you are playing even money shots, you need at least two out of three just to show a profit. If you are playing 2-1 shots you need at least one in three just to break even.


The notion that a 83% hit rate for 4 horses is great is an erroneous one. I can show you a system where a 10 year old with zero experience in harness racing can achieve a 90% hit rate for 4 horses and sometimes even 100% No system needed for that. Speaking for Mohawk track only because thats the only track I play, last night (June 10) the system produced winners in 9 out of 10 races. A 90% hit rate. On June 8 it was 100%. On June 7 it produced 10 out of 11 races. Is it good enough to show a profit. Not at all. You still have to pick the winner out of those 4 horses. No easy task otherwise you would be seeing a lot of 10 year olds living the good life. Haha.


More later.

[willphorse]

Originally Posted by Sea Biscuit

Well done Willp. 4 out of 9 is a pretty good hit rate. Try and pick singles for winners and live or die by it. Whether you play your pick to win or in the exotics the choice is yours.There lies the strength or weakness of any system. Try to achieve one winner in three tries. Remember if you are playing to win and you are playing even money shots, you need at least two out of three just to show a profit. If you are playing 2-1 shots you need at least one in three just to break even.


The notion that a 83% hit rate for 4 horses is great is an erroneous one. I can show you a system where a 10 year old with zero experience in harness racing can achieve a 90% hit rate for 4 horses and sometimes even 100% No system needed for that. Speaking for Mohawk track only because thats the only track I play, last night (June 10) the system produced winners in 9 out of 10 races. A 90% hit rate. On June 8 it was 100%. On June 7 it produced 10 out of 11 races. Is it good enough to show a profit. Not at all. You still have to pick the winner out of those 4 horses. No easy task otherwise you would be seeing a lot of 10 year olds living the good life. Haha.


More later.

Thank you for the explanation!! I couldn’t agree more with every word you said! Very much looking to continue this conversation! Any opinions or directives are appreciated!