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04-29-2015, 12:37 PM
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#1
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,272
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Kentucky Oaks
I will try to sneak a total bomb into the top three and grab a big score.
 Oceanwave - huge ML odds of 30-1 and I expect all of that and maybe more come post time. Her speed figs leave a lot to be desired, but she's right there every time; no matter the track, the distance or the pace.
Got great splits to chase in the Honeybee and slow splits in the Fantasy but found herself right there at the finish of both....9f should be fine.
Gets big jock switch to Bejarano and a pretty fast expected pace to run at. Steadily improving filly has more speed than she's shown...can sit in deep mid pack and wait for pace casualties.
Condo Commando is a non contender for me...one dimensional E type will face other quality speed, she should wilt.
I will use    in top slots and key my 2nd and 3rd in trifectas and try to catch this. Will play my key runner on top in small ex over many and have a win bet.
Bombs away - wish me luck
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
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04-29-2015, 12:59 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2013
Posts: 245
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I might step out on a limb here and play the  at a nice price...
Shook Up (121) Albarado/Asmussen 30-1
Thats why the call it "gambling" 
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04-29-2015, 01:13 PM
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#3
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Random Numbers Generator
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: In the grandstand looking under the seats for tickets or food
Posts: 2,291
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You can toss out  Sarah Sis because that would be my pick.
__________________
Where will you be when diarrhea strikes?
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04-29-2015, 01:18 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2012
Posts: 2,956
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Im using the #8 I'm a Chatter Box & the #12 Stellar Wind in the Oaks-Derby DD to Mubtaahij & Frosted So you can throw all 4 horses out!
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04-29-2015, 04:39 PM
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#5
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Veteran
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: near Philadelphia
Posts: 4,560
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by upthecreek
Im using the #8 I'm a Chatter Box & the #12 Stellar Wind in the Oaks-Derby DD to Mubtaahij & Frosted So you can throw all 4 horses out!
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Gee whiz, creek, thanks a lot.
That's exactly where I am going. Good luck!!
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04-29-2015, 05:20 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 1,481
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by upthecreek
Im using the #8 I'm a Chatter Box & the #12 Stellar Wind in the Oaks-Derby DD to Mubtaahij & Frosted So you can throw all 4 horses out!
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Whichever one I throw out will win!
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04-30-2015, 11:11 AM
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#7
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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04-30-2015, 11:41 AM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 1,501
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i glanced over the pp and it seems like a good betting race.
i really don;t want to spend 2hrs looking at the race,..so who can you discount?
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04-30-2015, 12:21 PM
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#9
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Unreconstructed
Join Date: Sep 2005
Location: Appalachia
Posts: 6,646
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Strong win play on I'm a Chatterbox with doubles to the two Bafferts and Firing Line.
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Deo Vindice
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04-30-2015, 12:46 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2015
Posts: 91
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by boys at tosconova
i glanced over the pp and it seems like a good betting race.
i really don;t want to spend 2hrs looking at the race,..so who can you discount?
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Well, I for one am throwing out Stellar Wind. Her gate antics are too much of a liability for her against this kind to be the favorite. Plus Sadler has horrible stats when shipping out of Kalifornia. I'll takes my chances as they say.
Try as I might, I can't see anybody running with Commando. I'm not a huge fan of Rosario since he moved his tack east, but even a journeyman rider could be on her and not screw things up. They tried rating tactics in the Frizette for her only loss, and now they know better.
She kinda reminds me of Track Robbery from back in the 80s with Pat V b4 he screwed his career up. God what a waste of talent.
__________________
What is clear enough is that the Federal Reserve was established to remove the Constitution as the controlling agency in national monetary policy and to guarantee, instead, that certain special interest groups were disproportionately, in fact monopolistically represented in determining that policy, for the special benefit of those groups and at everybody else's expense.
- Dr. Edwin J. Vieira, Jr.
Last edited by RoyalHeroine; 04-30-2015 at 12:47 PM.
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04-30-2015, 12:51 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Kansas
Posts: 1,833
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I really like the #3 Include Betty.
__________________
D. Wayne Lukas-- "People have opinions - horses have the facts."
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04-30-2015, 11:46 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 1,501
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starting looking at the race. on the surface it appears easy enough, but drilling down into it, it's a tough race once you get by the favs
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04-30-2015, 11:52 PM
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#13
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by boys at tosconova
starting looking at the race. on the surface it appears easy enough, but drilling down into it, it's a tough race once you get by the favs
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Don't kid yourself Chalkanova, you'll be all over 
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04-30-2015, 11:53 PM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2009
Posts: 1,725
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PUCA 
STELLAR WIND
BIRDATTHEWIRE 
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05-01-2015, 12:06 AM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2014
Posts: 1,501
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Lemon Drop Husker
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ha.....
i like the 4..that also means i have to use the 13 as well....
there will be some serious overlays in this race..and unlike the derby,..the potential for a fast pace could happen.
i don't know if the 5 and 8 want the distance..and the 126 looks like they'll be ignored at the windows..and they didn;t lose that much chatterbox, at low odds as well.
12 seems like a must use..and i think i like the 5 over the 8
4-5-12-13..maybe a sprinkle of 6/7
Last edited by boys at tosconova; 05-01-2015 at 12:13 AM.
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