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05-30-2011, 02:50 PM
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#1
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PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,646
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Met Mile
Let's get some discussion going on this one...surprised nobody has brought it up...first, my value line:
Haynesfield (9/5)
Tizway (7/1)
Soaring Empire (8/1)
Caixa Eletronica (13/1)
It appears to me Haynesfield is sitting on one of his monster races. His figures show a clear in and out pattern, and he jumped up to win the Suburban Handicap after running a debut figure back in 2010 that exactly matches the 2011 debut figure he ran last time out. I think he's even better going a flat mile and think he might be a decent overlay today off his loss last time out.
There is PLENTY of speed in today's Met Mile though, and that could be Haynesfield's undoing, although he is certainly not the type that needs the lead in order to win.
Soaring Empire has the running style and the talent to greatly benefit from a hot pace up front. He has run well off of layoffs in the past, so the 2+ month break doesn't concern me all that much. I also think after Haynesfield, this horse represents my best chance at an overlay.
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05-30-2011, 02:54 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 5,005
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Met Mile
I like two closers, the and the Pletcher outlier, the
Ocala Mike
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05-30-2011, 03:02 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 200
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ocala Mike
I like two closers, the and the Pletcher outlier, the
Ocala Mike
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I also think Ibboyee looks great in this race. Closed great on derby day after a poor break. He should get something to run at again today. Got no respect going in the Churchill Downs Stakes (lost by a closing 3/4 lengths in a 6 1/2fur. race to capt candy man who went off at 5-1 that day) and is being overlooked I believe here again at an even better distance for him. At 15/1 I think he makes a great play
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05-30-2011, 03:09 PM
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#4
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PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,646
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I had Ibboyee at Churchill last out (I still feel the pain of that finish). But I am still stuck on my belief that the track that day was aiding closers, and the figure he got for that race, even bias aided, isn't anything special here.
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05-30-2011, 03:14 PM
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#5
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C'est Tout
Join Date: Dec 2009
Location: Cajunland
Posts: 13,272
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Good betting race.
Agree that Haynesfield is sitting on a nice one. Chasing that fast pace in his last oughta have him primed today 2nd off the layoff.
I will toss the from win consideration. Believe Ibboyee and Aikenite are not of this ilk and both benefited from the CD track on Derby day. Aikenite is getting really good lately, but these boys are tough.
Been on Caixa Eletronica for all 3 of his wins this year (and also missed the heartbreaker ex in the GP SprCh) so I can't see myself getting off now. Impressed with the way he backed up his GP form with a good NY performance...not all Pletcher runners do that.
Tackleberry...over the top and away from Florida or just hated the sloppy goo at CT last out? First lasix today and he's your speed. Believe he will outgun Rodman. Just too solid to leave out out of the mix. Four nice works since last, but none at Bel.
Tizway must be used as well...loves the track and distance, Gr2 winner here, 3rd off layoff, working nicely.
I like:
__________________
How do I work this?
-David Byrne
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05-30-2011, 03:20 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Kansas
Posts: 1,833
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Last edited by Shelby; 05-30-2011 at 03:21 PM.
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05-30-2011, 03:29 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2008
Location: Cincinnati,Ohio
Posts: 5,289
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I'm all over Soaring Empire.I think he's sitting on a big race.As Mike said,ideal pace scenario.Freshened up with 2 solid works,one at 5f.The exotics look wide open.I don't know who I prefer in the exacta.Looks like a win/place bet.
Overall this looks like an exciting race.Nice rendition
Last edited by CincyHorseplayer; 05-30-2011 at 03:36 PM.
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05-30-2011, 03:37 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2008
Posts: 4,333
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Great chance for a Asmussen , Pletcher exacta.
Throwing out Tackleberry .
Yawanna Twist looks good in the exotics.
Last edited by nijinski; 05-30-2011 at 03:38 PM.
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05-30-2011, 03:56 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 3,898
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Love Tizway in here over Soaring Empire and Haynesfield.....good luck to all
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05-30-2011, 04:01 PM
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#10
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Veteran
Join Date: Jul 2008
Posts: 2,581
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Aikenite............
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05-30-2011, 04:12 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2009
Posts: 1,288
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Soaring Empire on top with Tizway and Caixa Eletronica. Very good betting race.
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05-30-2011, 04:26 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,764
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i like TACKLEBERRY because he has a good outside position and should be able to cut over infront of HAYNESFIELD if HAYNESFIELD doesn't send. if by some chance he gets infront of CAXIA ELECTRONICA before the turn he can win. its a tough race and i am running very bad today so i wouldn't pay attention to one word i say today.
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05-30-2011, 04:31 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: GA
Posts: 2,860
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My contenders
My contenders are , in that order. Will be looking for win value amongst that group and perhaps a saver exacta as well.
Jim
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05-30-2011, 04:33 PM
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#14
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Veteran
Join Date: Apr 2010
Posts: 2,148
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mineshaft
Aikenite............
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500 across red bording time!!!!!!!!
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05-30-2011, 04:35 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2009
Posts: 200
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