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Old 06-30-2015, 04:48 PM   #16
lamboguy
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Quote:
Originally Posted by magwell
Chances of her becoming the President ?
the line on the 2016 presidential election is now off the boards at thegreek.com. the democrats were -$185.

i always quote this place because they are taking $50k on one number on united states elections.
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Old 06-30-2015, 05:57 PM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy
the line on the 2016 presidential election is now off the boards at thegreek.com. the democrats were -$185.

i always quote this place because they are taking $50k on one number on united states elections.
Thanks it seems to me they have the wrong favorite, but I've been wrong a lot lately .....
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Old 06-30-2015, 06:05 PM   #18
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Originally Posted by Saratoga_Mike
1) He isn't presidential. Why would I make such a claim given the bar has been set so low in recent times? There's a certain innate coarseness to him, which serves him well as governor but isn't compatible with what voters want in a president.

2) There's no path to the White House for him. Support in Iowa? No way. Support in NH? A smidge. South Carolina? None. Florida? Yes, some. What does that look like? Right, Rudy's path to the WH (i.e., all-in on Florida).

3) Donors fleeing. Jeb entering the race was not a good thing for CC.

4) Lots of baggage - Romney people vetted him and said "no way" (Halpern).

5) At this point, he wouldn't even carry his own state against Hillary.
Good analysis. I would just add that anyone not named Bush or Rubio depending on a win in Florida is up against it.
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Old 06-30-2015, 06:11 PM   #19
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Originally Posted by magwell
Thanks it seems to me they have the wrong favorite, but I've been wrong a lot lately .....
according to most on the last election they had the wrong favorite as well, yet when they counted the votes the favorite got the money.

i find election odds more reliable than pollster's.
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Old 06-30-2015, 06:18 PM   #20
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I put Hillary's odds at 1-2.
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Old 06-30-2015, 06:23 PM   #21
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Bovada has DEM -165, REP +135
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Old 06-30-2015, 06:41 PM   #22
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There's a saying that there's really only two campaign slogans:

1. It's time for a change.

2. You've never had it so good.

We're not at war, and, while the economy isn't great, it's not that bad. With that said, I'd bet on "2."
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Old 06-30-2015, 09:24 PM   #23
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Originally Posted by badcompany
I put Hillary's odds at 1-2.
If she wins I'll have to quit politics .....again
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Old 06-30-2015, 10:01 PM   #24
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She starts with 48% of the vote. It's not a huge leap.

A repub winning is almost an impossibility
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Old 06-30-2015, 10:43 PM   #25
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She starts with 48% of the vote. It's not a huge leap.
That's assuming the Dem base turns out. They didn't in 2014, and the GOP took the Congress.
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Old 06-30-2015, 10:48 PM   #26
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She has the press. Here's a sample of an email on her private server. Note the expressed relationship with a press member

Attached Images
File Type: jpg image.jpg (79.9 KB, 358 views)

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Old 06-30-2015, 10:56 PM   #27
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Try this one too

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Old 07-01-2015, 01:37 AM   #28
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https://m.youtube.com/watch?t=91&v=3L5hn5B8TYI

Candidates Cribs!

[YT="who's Crib"]3L5hn5B8TYI[/YT]
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Old 07-01-2015, 11:13 AM   #29
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sportsbook has Hillary at +110
and Democrat at -160


which seems strange as the next Dems listed are
Bernie Sanders +3000
Elizabeth Warren +6000
Joe Biden +7500
Al Gore +10000
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Old 07-01-2015, 11:39 AM   #30
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I think by the tie enough of her illegal emails get released, enough level-headed democrats (oxymoron?) will be disgusted enough by her to ether not vote or look at repubs. That 48% will fall, IMHO, to under 40.

When reasonable people look at her records, they will have to realize that this is not an honest of good person.
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