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Old 01-26-2022, 01:06 PM   #166
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what kind of insight were you looking for?

Any insight in to why I am nuts to think the Rams and Chiefs will cover easily, flipping the results from the regular season. Especially the Rams, as I believe every parlay I played betting against SF, they beat me.

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Old 01-26-2022, 02:09 PM   #167
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he its all a coin flip so the best of luck to you sir
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Old 01-26-2022, 02:47 PM   #168
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he its all a coin flip so the best of luck to you sir



That is no help as when it comes to luck I have none. If I was trying to pick a coin flip I would be wrong 75% of the time.
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Old 01-26-2022, 04:14 PM   #169
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Any insight in to why I am nuts to think the Rams and Chiefs will cover easily, flipping the results from the regular season. Especially the Rams, as I believe every parlay I played betting against SF, they beat me.
Here are the stats I have for the Conference Championships:

*Home teams are 13-3 SU and 11-5 ATS in the last 16*

*Home favourites that are closing at 7+ points are 12-5 SU but only 6-11 ATS since 1999*

*Also to note that Home favourites 7 points or less are 14-5 SU and 13-6 ATS in the last 19 with these games favouring the Over with a record of 13-5-1*

*Teams that won by 7 points or less in the NFC/AFC Divisional Round are 2-15 SU and 6-11 ATS in the last 17 Conference Championship games which means that this current trend is for Cincinnati and San Francisco*

*Home teams are 13-2 SU and 10-5 ATS in the last 15 AFC Championships while in the NFC Championships 12-5 SU and 9-8 ATS in the last 17*

*Home teams that made the playoffs in the prior year are 20-6 SU and 16-10 ATS in the last 26 and 7-1 SU 6-2 ATS vs teams that were not in the playoffs the previous season which does apply to both matchups this year*

* #2 seeds hosting an AFC/NFC Conference Championship are only 4-6 SU and 4-5-1 since 1997 which applies to Kansas City here*

*Wild Card teams or #5 #6 seeds are 4-9 SU and 5-8 ATS since 1996 with in the last 11 seasons just 2-6 ATS*

*The last 9 AFC Championships are 6-4 Under while the NFC Championships are 14-5-1 in the last 20*

*Since 2003 the last 7 out of 9 Championships games with a total of 42 but less than 48 have gone Over*

Hope this helps!
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Old 01-28-2022, 07:22 PM   #170
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KC-6.5 and Rams -2.5 parlay, tossing in Milwaukee Bucks money line at home tonight against the Knicks. $480 at +267, $280 of that is mine. Used a friend's bet MGM account as I am still in concussion protocol and not fit to drive the 250 miles to Charles Town and back. I damn near got lost having to detour around one lane roads due to construction when I decided to grab lunch at McDonald's, roads I have been on 100's of times. I know how Joe Biden feels, but my senility is only temporary.


The $280 is because that is the chump change I am betting, up $2280 on the season. I haven't been ahead on an NFL season in ages, and I want to keep some. Tossing in the Bucks tonight was to get back the cost off shaving a point each off the lines. Good luck to all!
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Old 01-29-2022, 10:23 AM   #171
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Probably going to lose my a** here again with the Prop bets but here are the ones I am looking at for both the Bengals/Chiefs 49ers/Rams

Bengals/Chiefs
Alternative Handicap 3-Way: Bengals+14 -210
Travis Kelce Anytime TD Scorer -110
Travis Kelce Anytime TD Scorer and Kansas City 7-12 margin +700
First Score method 6-way: Cincinnati Field Goal +425
Team Field Goals: Over 1 Cincinnati -110 and Over 1 Kansas City -150

49ers/Rams
Cooper Kupp Anytime TD Scorer -125
Odell Beckham Anytime TD Scorer +150
Aaron Donald Over 4.5 Tackles and Assists -105
Aaron Donald To Record A Sack YES -110
Team Field Goals: Over 1 49ers +100 and Over 1 Rams -115
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Old 01-29-2022, 12:46 PM   #172
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Probably going to lose my a** here again with the Prop bets but here are the ones I am looking at for both the Bengals/Chiefs 49ers/Rams

Bengals/Chiefs
Alternative Handicap 3-Way: Bengals+14 -210
Travis Kelce Anytime TD Scorer -110
Travis Kelce Anytime TD Scorer and Kansas City 7-12 margin +700
First Score method 6-way: Cincinnati Field Goal +425
Team Field Goals: Over 1 Cincinnati -110 and Over 1 Kansas City -150

49ers/Rams
Cooper Kupp Anytime TD Scorer -125
Odell Beckham Anytime TD Scorer +150
Aaron Donald Over 4.5 Tackles and Assists -105
Aaron Donald To Record A Sack YES -110
Team Field Goals: Over 1 49ers +100 and Over 1 Rams -115

What does 3 way and 6 way mean? I have never played props. You can't parlay them, correct?
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Old 01-30-2022, 03:33 PM   #173
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I sure wish those KC defensive backs would not wear yellow gloves or shoes. That last play the yellow glove made me think I saw a flag for PA in the end zone.
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Old 01-30-2022, 08:36 PM   #174
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Results for Bengals/Chiefs

Bengals/Chiefs
Alternative Handicap 3-Way: Bengals+14 -210
Travis Kelce Anytime TD Scorer -110
Travis Kelce Anytime TD Scorer and Kansas City 7-12 margin +700
First Score method 6-way: Cincinnati Field Goal +425
Team Field Goals: Over 1 Cincinnati -110 and Over 1 Kansas City -150
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Old 01-31-2022, 10:27 AM   #175
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Results for 49ers/Rams

49ers/Rams
Cooper Kupp Anytime TD Scorer -125
Odell Beckham Anytime TD Scorer +150
Aaron Donald Over 4.5 Tackles and Assists -105
Aaron Donald To Record A Sack YES -110
Team Field Goals: Over 1 49ers +100 and Over 1 Rams -115
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Old 01-31-2022, 10:34 AM   #176
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What does 3 way and 6 way mean? I have never played props. You can't parlay them, correct?
3 way means that there are 3 different outcomes

For example, win loss draw(tie)
For my bet example, there were 3 different spreads to choose from +7 +10, and +14 I know that +14 was on there but not 100% sure about the other numbers

6 way is that you are betting on which team scores and by what method
For example, my bet was that Cincinnati will score a Field Goal in their first try but the other ways were Touchdown and Any other (safety etc)

Hope that makes sense
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Old 01-31-2022, 11:51 AM   #177
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If you remove my point shaving I was 1-5 the last two weekends on the teams I put on parlay tickets, dropping the season to +2000. Without my 5 team division winner parlay I would have been -768. I don't think I will bet the Super Bowl as I do not have an opinion at this time. Being 5-5 by the spread picking games in the play-off does not instill confidence.
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Old 01-31-2022, 11:57 AM   #178
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Hope that makes sense

Thanks, got it.
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Old 01-31-2022, 06:55 PM   #179
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sunday 1-2 -110 season +140 lets shoot it on cincy ml+170
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Old 02-01-2022, 12:12 PM   #180
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sunday 1-2 -110 season +140 lets shoot it on cincy ml+170

I might change my mind about betting in the next two weeks. Since they keep pulling upsets and the game looks like a toss up might as well take the Bengals as you either get 4 points or odds.
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