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Old 10-22-2016, 11:09 PM   #1
Nitro
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Cool HONG KONG/SHA TIN - SUN 10/23

It looks like another value packed day at Sha Tin with nice sized fields in ALL 10 races
(2 on the All Weather Dirt & 8 on Turf)

Post Time: Race #1 – 1:00 AM SUN EST

TVG is offering live video for the first 7 races.
There’s also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221

If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio:
(Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#

For those of who can appreciate the value of the live tote action it’s available here:
(Click on English)http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...gRedirect=true

I'll return with my early selections shortly.

GL if you’re playing!
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Old 10-22-2016, 11:47 PM   #2
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Hello Nitro.
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Old 10-23-2016, 12:03 AM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kevb
Hello Nitro.
Hey there Kev! Good luck this morning!
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Old 10-23-2016, 12:08 AM   #4
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Early Picks

I’m not going to be posting any live selections for Hong Kong this morning.

I took a look at the M/L’s and in combination with the early odds and have come up with a “static tote analysis” that has provided some preliminary picks for each race.
Later on the LIVE tote action will shed some more light on these and any others I might have missed. The latest tote action (by 4 mins to post) may reveal some things that cause Key pick (Top 2 & 3rd for Dutching) alterations, but they all look pretty solid for some nice Quinella & Triple scores.

BTW the Top 3 picks have been producing some nice Dutch Win returns.
Dutching Summary here:
http://www.paceadvantage.com/forum/s...=133995&page=1

There are at least 4 very competitive races this morning: R2 – R3 – R6 – R9
Good Luck today!

R#1 -1200M (6F) Awd.........7-9 W/ 1-6-5-8 .......1:00 AM EST

R#2 - 1200M (6F) Turf.........10-1 W/ 2-5-7-9 …...1:30 AM EST

R#3 - 1400M (7F) Turf.........2-1 W/ 8-11-6-5.......2:00 AM EST

R#4 - 1400M (7F) Turf.........2-5 W/ 1-6-7-10…….2:35 AM EST

R#5 - 1200M (6F) Awd..........1-2 W/ 4-11-7-5......3:05 AM EST

R#6 - 1200M (6F) Turf........11-13 W/ 1-9-3-10…..3:40 AM EST

R#7 - 1200M (6F) Turf..........1-5 W/ 2-4-6-3.........4:10 AM EST

R#8 -1600M (8F) Turf..........5-4 W/ 2-6-3-14 ….....4:40 AM EST

R#9 - 1600M (8F) Turf..........1-2 W/ 3-6-9-4..........5:15 AM EST

R#10 - 1800M (9F) Turf.........4-2 W/ 8-9-7-1........5:50 AM EST

I use a very simple Win Dutching calculator (for 2 or 3 entries) .
It’s in MS Excel format and it offers a number of things very quickly after inputting the odds of the selected entries:
A) How much to bet on each entry relative to each other
B) Total Bet
C) Total Profit in $ and %
(The Objective is to receive the same $ amount no matter which one wins.)
Attached Files
File Type: xls ZZ-Dutching-2or3.xls (29.5 KB, 10 views)
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Old 10-23-2016, 12:19 AM   #5
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R1:

Going with the controlling speed.

WP

Q /
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Old 10-23-2016, 12:50 AM   #6
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Oops. is too washy for my tastes.

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Old 10-23-2016, 01:04 AM   #7
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I should know better.
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Old 10-23-2016, 01:16 AM   #8
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R#1 - 7-9 W/ 1-6-5-8.............. Results: 7-6-3-12 (Top choice & $137.30 Quin)
Dutch – 7 ( 6.7/1 ) –9 ( 8/1 ) – 1 ( 6.6/1 ) - $86.00 – $86.00
Code:
LOW	MID	HI	TOT	TOT 	PRF %
6.6	6.7	8.0	BET	PRF	
$15	$15	$18			
$18	$18	$15	$51	$86	168%
$137	$137	$137
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Old 10-23-2016, 01:22 AM   #9
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R2:


If the gets late money, he's probably the one. Other wise I'm playing the speed again.

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Old 10-23-2016, 01:26 AM   #10
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R2:


Hmmm. Jenny is quite impressed with the newcomer at 30-1.

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Old 10-23-2016, 01:58 AM   #11
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R#2 - 10-1 W/ 2-5-7-9..........Results: 7-10-5-8 (5th choice, $31 Quin & $793 Tri)
Winner got pounded 17/1 to 5.2/1 ! (Replaced my 3rd choice – Live)
Dutch – 10 ( 4.5/1 ) – 1 ( 10.6/1 ) – 2 ( 30/1 ) - ($56.00) – $30.00
Code:
LOW	MID	HI	TOT	TOT 	PRF %
4.5	10.6	30.0	BET	PRF
$11	$23	$62			
$34	$16	$6	$56	$131	234%
$187	$186	$186
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Old 10-23-2016, 02:13 AM   #12
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R#3 - 2-1 W/ 8-11-6-5............. Results: 8-12-14-6 (3rd choice)
Dutch – 2 ( 11/1 ) –1 ( 19/1 ) – 8 ( 12/1 ) - $379.00 – $409.00
Code:
LOW	MID	HI	TOT	TOT	PRF %
11.0	12.0	19.0	BET	PRF	
$24	$26	$40			
$40	$37	$24	$101	$379	376%
$480	$480	$480
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Old 10-23-2016, 02:45 AM   #13
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R#4 - 2-5 W/ 1-6-7-10......... Results: 7-5-14-1 (5th choice & $36 Quin)
Dutch – 2 ( 12/1 ) – 5 ( 4.6/1 ) – 1 ( 6.4/1 ) - ($57.00) – $352.00
Code:
LOW	MID	HI	TOT	TOT	PRF %
4.6	6.4	12.0	BET	PRF	
$11	$15	$26			
$26	$20	$11	$57	$89	156%
$146	$146	$146
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Old 10-23-2016, 03:18 AM   #14
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R#5 - 1-2 W/ 4-11-7-5......... Results: 11-3-6-8 (4th choice w/Solid late action moved up)
(Replaced my 2nd choice – Live)
Dutch – 1 ( 12/1 ) – 2 ( 13/1 ) – 4 ( 5.6/1 ) - ($55.00) – $297.00
Code:
LOW	MID	HI	TOT	TOT	PRF %
5.6	12.0	13.0	BET	PRF	
$13	$26	$28			
$28	$14	$13	$55	$129	233%
$185	$185	$185
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Old 10-23-2016, 03:40 AM   #15
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R6:

Tri / / All

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