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09-09-2018, 05:26 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 5,005
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LRL 8/9 DD Price Today
8th winner paid $40.20 and 9th winner paid $10.00
Looking for at least two Benjys for the double, I got $99.40 for my deuce.
Some extra money on the 8/4 combo for sure, as Proctor's horse opened evens in the 9th. On to the late DD at Belmont.
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09-09-2018, 05:34 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,110
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ocala Mike
8th winner paid $40.20 and 9th winner paid $10.00
Looking for at least two Benjys for the double, I got $99.40 for my deuce.
Some extra money on the 8/4 combo for sure, as Proctor's horse opened evens in the 9th. On to the late DD at Belmont.
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Got to say, good capping and,
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09-09-2018, 07:41 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2004
Posts: 7,324
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I imagine the massive $3886 pool had something to do with the somewhat random payoff.
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09-09-2018, 09:46 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 5,005
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Spot on - thin pools will do that. Laurel card was decimated today, but I had a good feeling on that Proctor horse in the 9th. Took a "weighted" back wheel, but would have ultimately done better just taking the 4/1 on the horse. Only had the in the first half on the wheel.
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09-09-2018, 10:08 PM
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#5
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Veteran
Join Date: Apr 2018
Posts: 188
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It’s not always about the pools but the track. The double and exacta prices are always skewed at PARX. I find this to happen a lot there when long shots come in. Like someone has inside info but will only play the doubles and skip the flat bet and pick 3. Pay attention to the will pay board about 2-5 minutes before the races at PARX. I’ve caught a few juicy pick 3’s off of the underlay prices on doubles with long shots.
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09-09-2018, 10:16 PM
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#6
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Veteran
Join Date: Apr 2018
Posts: 188
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BTW I went back to look at the results at Laurel and just as I suspected the pick 3 was a huge overlay to the daily double with the favorite winning the 3rd leg. $300 for 1.00 pick 3. So someone slammed the double hard but neglected the win and pick 3bet. At least they are not greedy ! Lol
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09-11-2018, 03:04 AM
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#7
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PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,163
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What you just wrote makes no sense. By definition, somebody who bets on inside knowledge is most definitely greedy and would not be expected to just leave money lying around on the table.
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09-11-2018, 04:22 PM
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#8
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Registered Wacko
Join Date: Feb 2004
Location: Belmont-ish
Posts: 2,242
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Small pools are simply a lot more unpredictable, but that is why you have to study the will pays before you place your bet. Payoff assumations generally work better at larger tracks.
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09-11-2018, 06:39 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2013
Posts: 265
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Daily double Saturday at Los Al daytime paid over 5k. Races 6 and 7. Friend of mine had one of two tickets. He likes to play long shots by wheeling the race before or after to his shot. $14 ticket pay 5.2k. Crazy game.
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09-11-2018, 06:48 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 5,005
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I do that a lot, too, and that's how I caught the double at Laurel. The Verrazano firster in the 2nd leg of the DD you're referencing caught my eye, but I couldn't pull the trigger. The horse that won the 1st leg was just this side of impossible (but that's why I like to wheel!).
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09-13-2018, 09:10 AM
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#11
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$2 Showbettor
Join Date: Dec 2013
Location: The Villages
Posts: 2,573
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage
What you just wrote makes no sense. By definition, somebody who bets on inside knowledge is most definitely greedy and would not be expected to just leave money lying around on the table.
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I think it makes some sense. More don't look at the probables before placing an exacta bet, compared to looking at the tote before a win bet . It could draw less suspicion too, say a 20-1 ML going off at 5/2 could draw peoples attention.
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09-13-2018, 09:30 AM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2010
Posts: 5,005
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I agree with Redboard. There are still "pool inefficiencies" out there, but they're getting harder to spot in the age of "program trading" (whales).
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