Being outside in the stretch usually has more to do with the purpose of finding racing room than with trying to hit a favourable "strip."
As I had noted, two romping winners that were a few paths off of the rail in the stretch, only switched to the outside for racing room nearing the stretch after being on the rail for the early and middle portions of the race. The jocks switched outside not because the rail was deep but because they had a ton of horse and just needed a clear path. As a group, horses with partially/entirely inside trips didn't underperform that day.
My early opinions for each Fla Derby horse:
Shanghai Bobby-- got the right draw given his style and I like his pattern for taking another step forward, although I think that additional yardage beyond about a mile is likely not in his favour. Should give another good account of himself but I think someone will probably get him in the last furlong.
Pickofthelitter-- he'll get some money because of the 95 Beyer but winning a four-horse maiden race is rarely a lead-in to victory in one of the major preps.
Itsmyluckyday-- the probable favourite and if he runs back to his last couple he'll probably win again although two big efforts in a row in early 3YO campaign is not infrequently a harbinger of a regression, especially with a trainer who is a solid local guy but not someone who's had a lot of success at the very highest levels of racing. Not a favourite that I'd really care to bet on or against.
Pontiff-- I can't make any case for this horse.
Frac Daddy-- good races so far came at Churchill and CD form doesn't necessarily translate at GP; witness his first try at GP. Besides, my feeling is that this guy is more likely to do his best running on the grass. Unlikely though not impossible. I think he'll beat Pontiff, at least.
Orb-- as Valuist noted, Orb got a nice setup last time compared to the average closer. But he beat a useful horse and he's a nicely bred, improving animal in a good barn. Will need things to go his way again.
Indy's Illusion-- speed/pace figures and class line say "no."
Merit Man-- will be back to sprinting in short order.
Are You Kidding Me-- that's what I might be saying if he wins. Serious surface/ability questions. But hey, he might very well beat Pontiff, too!
Narvaez-- class/figures/distance/post = nope.
Doesn't look like a betting race for me.