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11-09-2019, 01:55 PM
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#61
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,739
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updated future presidential odds
U.S. Politics
Democratic Nominee for the 2020 Election
08:00 PM 2254 Elizabeth Warren +150
2253 Joe Biden +400
2275 Pete Buttigieg +600
2251 Bernie Sanders +800
2267 Michael Bloomberg +800
2274 Andrew Yang +1200
2252 Kamala Harris +2500
2271 Tulsi Gabbard +2500
2261 Amy Klobuchar +5000
2255 Cory Booker +5000
2265 Tom Steyer +5000
U.S. Politics
Odds to Win the 2020 Presidential Election
08:00 PM 2001 Donald Trump +140
2006 Elizabeth Warren +300
2004 Joe Biden +800
2002 Bernie Sanders +1400
2009 Michael Bloomberg +1400
2060 Pete Buttigieg +1400
2068 Andrew Yang +2000
2025 Tulsi Gabbard +4000
2005 Mike Pence +5000
2003 Kamala Harris +6600
2017 Amy Klobuchar +10000
2007 Cory Booker +10000
2046 Tom Steyer +10000
U.S. Politics
Republican Nominee for the 2020 Election
08:00 PM 2201 Donald Trump -800
2213 Not Donald Trump +500
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11-09-2019, 04:27 PM
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#62
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 2,176
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy
U.S. Politics
Democratic Nominee for the 2020 Election
08:00 PM 2254 Elizabeth Warren +150
2253 Joe Biden +400
2275 Pete Buttigieg +600
2251 Bernie Sanders +800
2267 Michael Bloomberg +800
2274 Andrew Yang +1200
2252 Kamala Harris +2500
2271 Tulsi Gabbard +2500
2261 Amy Klobuchar +5000
2255 Cory Booker +5000
2265 Tom Steyer +5000
U.S. Politics
Odds to Win the 2020 Presidential Election
08:00 PM 2001 Donald Trump +140
2006 Elizabeth Warren +300
2004 Joe Biden +800
2002 Bernie Sanders +1400
2009 Michael Bloomberg +1400
2060 Pete Buttigieg +1400
2068 Andrew Yang +2000
2025 Tulsi Gabbard +4000
2005 Mike Pence +5000
2003 Kamala Harris +6600
2017 Amy Klobuchar +10000
2007 Cory Booker +10000
2046 Tom Steyer +10000
U.S. Politics
Republican Nominee for the 2020 Election
08:00 PM 2201 Donald Trump -800
2213 Not Donald Trump +500
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I've never bet on anything that wasn't sports related, but to me the best value may be a bet that the Repub nominee is: Not Donald Trump.
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One of the downsides of the Internet is that it allows like-minded people to form communities, and sometimes those communities are stupid.
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11-17-2019, 07:38 AM
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#63
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,739
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update after 1st week of impeachment hearings
the election is now pickem
was Democrats - $140
other notable changes
Haley is on the board @ + 4000
Warren now + 300 was + 250
no line yet on Bloomberg or Patrick
even though this line does not represent a favorite, it is a negative for the Democrats at this point because they have a history of low turnout to actually vote. i would guess there aren't an overwelming amount of people that will wait more than a half hour to cast their vote for candidates like Biden and Warren unlike the way the voters turned out for Obama. my guess is Trump voters are more inspired to come out and also might pick up some crossover votes where as the Democrats won't pick up as a high a percentage as the Republicans will.
election odds encompass more data than national polls and that is why there is a disparity from one to the other. still even the odds right now are based on very light betting and is not a tell all indicator at the present time, but can spot a trend.
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11-17-2019, 03:05 PM
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#64
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,819
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Bloomberg, right after announcing his campaign, went to a Black Church and apologized for his successful Stop and Frisk policy when he was mayor.
Let the PANDERING begin!
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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11-24-2019, 09:31 AM
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#65
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,739
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update
pickem
was pickem
Person to win the election will be a man -330
Trump to win the popular vote +260
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11-26-2019, 07:59 AM
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#66
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,739
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notable update
election odds same as last post
new
Bloomberg is now +2500
was part of the field prior
how is that one for a big price against a pretty bad group?
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11-26-2019, 08:59 AM
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#67
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,632
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy
election odds same as last post
new
Bloomberg is now +2500
was part of the field prior
how is that one for a big price against a pretty bad group?
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Is that for democrat nominee?
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11-26-2019, 10:57 AM
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#68
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,058
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Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy
Trump to win the popular vote +260
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I like this play . . . when it becomes clear in the run up to election day that The Emperor is going to be re-elected, it will suppress Dem turnout, especially on the West Coast where by mid-afternoon Pacific Time it will be apparent to them that there's no point waiting on line to vote.
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11-26-2019, 11:34 AM
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#69
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Just Deplorable
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Lebanon, Ohio
Posts: 8,064
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Maybe even the vote "harvesters" will have given up.
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11-26-2019, 01:11 PM
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#70
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,739
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Quote:
Originally Posted by davew
Is that for democrat nominee?
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that is for the november election.
the Democrats that have been in the debates are not strong candidates. meaning they might poll high, but not all their voters will show up to vote.
Democrats need their own voters, a good portion of the independent vote and some republican crossover vote. to me none of them seem capable of getting a crossover unless Bloomberg is more appealing to the never Trumper segment of the republican party.
Republicans are all coming out to vote, they want their judges, tax breaks and guns. they don't want to pay for your kid to go to college and pay for your healthcare as well. those are some high motivating facts that the Republicans have going for them.
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11-26-2019, 03:16 PM
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#71
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,058
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Also, if the the Emerson College and Rasmussen polls showing African-American support for Trump at 34-34.5% are accurate and hold up to election day, then The Emperor at +260 to win the popular vote will be a steal
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11-26-2019, 07:30 PM
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#72
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2004
Location: New Hampshire
Posts: 14,471
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OK
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11-26-2019, 09:18 PM
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#73
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Diez meses en Port St. Lucie, FL; two months in the Dominican Republic
Posts: 4,355
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tor Ekman
Also, if the the Emerson College and Rasmussen polls showing African-American support for Trump at 34-34.5% are accurate and hold up to election day, then The Emperor at +260 to win the popular vote will be a steal
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Don't confuse job approval and voter support.Two very different things.
__________________
"But don't ask me what I think of you, I might not give the answer that you want me to. "
Fleetwood Mac, Oh Well, Part 1 (1969)
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12-20-2019, 09:29 AM
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#74
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,739
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update
Republicans are now -$125
was pickem
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12-20-2019, 12:25 PM
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#75
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Queens, NY
Posts: 20,606
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The problem the democrats have this time is similar to last time.
Last time they nominated one of the most corrupt incompetent politicians of our lifetime and she couldn't even beat P T Barnum.
This time they have an old "has been" that wasn't a serious contender in his prime and that's now suffering from early stage senility and a bunch of economically illiterate socialists that are a plague on humanity prosperity and well being (God must have run out of locusts to send us people like Sanders and Warren).
There are legitimate debates about how best to grow and use our "limited" resources to solve economic and social problems, but you can't put up a bunch buffoons and expect to waltz into the Whitehouse even if you have the FBI, CIA, DOJ, and virtually the entire media on your side.
It's comical.
They can't find single relatively young competent bright candidate that's a fan of freedom and free markets that simply wants to tweak the tax system a bit and allocate our wealth with mildly different priorities to solve problems?
It's like every freak show entertainer and economic illiterate in the country is running the democrat party.
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"Unlearning is the highest form of learning"
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