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Old 08-15-2020, 07:39 AM   #1
formula_2002
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Morning line favorites

What track has the best performance for selecting the morning line favorite, that goes off as the favorite.
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Old 08-15-2020, 09:57 AM   #2
mikesal57
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002 View Post
What track has the best performance for selecting the morning line favorite, that goes off as the favorite.
Since June 1st...I consider before that "unknown" territory...


Its hitting just over 41%

and of course a loss with a .84 ROI
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Old 08-15-2020, 10:00 AM   #3
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Hitting up a friend of mine gave me this..if it makes sense

Code:
****************************************************************************************
     BY TRACK sorted by Track Code                         
     ****************************************************************************************
                                            WIN  WIN          WIN               PLACE   PLACE
     TRACK            PLAYS    WINS         PCT  IMPACT       ROI  PLACES         PCT     ROI
     ****************************************************************************************
     ALB                 7       1       0.1429  0.3437    0.1857    3         0.4286  0.55    
     APX                 58      27      0.4655  1.1198    0.9534    35        0.6034  0.8716  
     ARP                 74      31      0.4189  1.0077    0.8027    48        0.6486  0.9662  
     ASD                 136     62      0.4559  1.0967    0.8871    94        0.6912  0.9379  
     BEL                 167     69      0.4132  0.994     0.9186    112       0.6707  1.047   
     BTP                 214     104     0.486   1.1691    0.8932    145       0.6776  0.8911  
     CBY                 181     73      0.4033  0.9701    0.8116    121       0.6685  0.9149  
     CDX                 103     41      0.3981  0.9576    0.9165    63        0.6117  1.0063  
     CNL                 41      18      0.439   1.056     0.8195    26        0.6341  0.8598  
     CPW                 5       1       0.2     0.4811    0.21      2         0.4     0.45    
     CTM                 75      34      0.4533  1.0904    0.872     52        0.6933  1.0207  
     CTX                 166     71      0.4277  1.0288    0.7892    110       0.6627  0.894   
     DEL                 138     52      0.3768  0.9064    0.7174    85        0.6159  0.8232  
     DMR                 74      23      0.3108  0.7476    0.7135    43        0.5811  0.925   
     ELP                 92      36      0.3913  0.9413    0.8435    58        0.6304  0.9598  
     EMD                 97      23      0.2371  0.5703    0.567     48        0.4948  0.7773  
     EVD                 186     84      0.4516  1.0863    0.9261    130       0.6989  1.0008  
     FAR                 11      6       0.5455  1.3122    1.2091    9         0.8182  1.1636  
     FEX                 87      34      0.3908  0.9401    0.6845    50        0.5747  0.7414  
     FLX                 62      28      0.4516  1.0863    0.7919    38        0.6129  0.8065  
     FMT                 107     53      0.4953  1.1915    0.8519    80        0.7477  0.9192  
     FPK                 75      35      0.4667  1.1227    0.848     51        0.68    0.9433  
     GGX                 99      34      0.3434  0.8261    0.7131    52        0.5253  0.7717  
     GIL                 8       3       0.375   0.9021    0.7375    5         0.625   1.1     
     GPR                 29      11      0.3793  0.9124    0.8448    17        0.5862  0.8897  
     GPX                 268     94      0.3507  0.8436    0.7746    158       0.5896  0.8905  
     GRP                 39      16      0.4103  0.987     0.7603    23        0.5897  0.7885  
     HST                 57      19      0.3333  0.8018    0.6781    34        0.5965  0.8246  
     IND                 205     85      0.4146  0.9973    0.8537    130       0.6341  0.898   
     KEE                 34      12      0.3529  0.8489    0.7559    17        0.5     0.7618  
     LAD                 195     79      0.4051  0.9745    0.759     131       0.6718  0.9013  
     LAX                 46      20      0.4348  1.0459    0.8       28        0.6087  0.775   
     LRC                 39      17      0.4359  1.0486    0.8462    26        0.6667  0.9256  
     LRL                 165     78      0.4727  1.1371    1.0545    111       0.6727  1.0303  
     LSX                 217     80      0.3687  0.8869    0.73      134       0.6175  0.8666  
     MNR                 209     92      0.4402  1.0589    0.8148    140       0.6699  0.8785  
     MTH                 120     49      0.4083  0.9822    0.8775    72        0.6     0.8971  
     PEN                 97      49      0.5052  1.2153    1.0165    63        0.6495  0.9304  
     PHA                 141     72      0.5106  1.2283    1.044     104       0.7376  1.0457  
     PID                 45      16      0.3556  0.8554    0.7356    25        0.5556  0.8111  
     PLN                 93      40      0.4301  1.0346    0.9194    59        0.6344  0.9065  
     POD                 2       2       1       2.4055    2.05      2         1       1.35    
     PRM                 131     59      0.4504  1.0834    0.8599    78        0.5954  0.7767  
     RUI                 74      30      0.4054  0.9752    0.9135    46        0.6216  0.8912  
     SAR                 146     57      0.3904  0.9391    0.9021    88        0.6027  0.914   
     SAX                 64      32      0.5     1.2028    1.0484    45        0.7031  0.9969  
     TAM                 50      12      0.24    0.5773    0.474     21        0.42    0.619   
     TDN                 196     87      0.4439  1.0678    0.8482    125       0.6378  0.8839  
     WOX                 201     81      0.403   0.9694    0.9129    115       0.5721  0.8965  
     WYO                 17      6       0.3529  0.8489    0.8235    11        0.6471  1.1647  
     ****************************************************************************************

Last edited by mikesal57; 08-15-2020 at 10:03 AM.
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Old 08-15-2020, 12:58 PM   #4
formula_2002
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thanks mike for your reply. does you source know which of these winning favorites were ML favorites (by track)
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Old 08-15-2020, 01:01 PM   #5
mikesal57
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Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002 View Post
thanks mike for your reply. does you source know which of these winning favorites were ML favorites (by track)
I told him to give me the rank #1 ML horse and ends up the betting favorite

I believe that is what you wanted...

Last edited by mikesal57; 08-15-2020 at 01:02 PM.
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