 |
|
07-29-2017, 06:12 PM
|
#1531
|
|
Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 12,402
|
If the price gets up to 10-1, I might take a shot that the riders all out-think themselves and line up single file trying to hold the fence and  Good Samaritan sits in the dreaded two path. Pavel clears, JV wrestles into second, the full nelson is applied, and we get some idiotic slow pace to the half. But do not fear, the five is a plodder that is stuck out in the dreaded two path, one off the golden rail, and somehow winds up impossibly close to the pace. Meanwhile, everyone else is on the wrong spot relative to him.
If I don't go for the unlikely scenario... I have to watch, I'm afraid. 
__________________
"You make me feel like I am fun again."
-Robert James Smith, 1989
|
|
|
|
07-29-2017, 06:18 PM
|
#1532
|
|
Enthusiast
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Maryland
Posts: 697
|
I wanted to include the with best late pace—worked earlier today—but just couldn't with this one's dubious move from turf to dirt. But who knows.
|
|
|
|
|
07-29-2017, 06:18 PM
|
#1533
|
|
Registered User
Join Date: May 2017
Posts: 1,415
|
Always dreaming all wet. Yuck. Not betting but I love that price on CC
|
|
|
|
|
07-29-2017, 06:21 PM
|
#1534
|
|
The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,889
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom
had the top TF Late Pace rating. |
So did the next
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
|
|
|
|
|
07-29-2017, 06:23 PM
|
#1535
|
|
Registered User
Join Date: May 2017
Posts: 1,415
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Aerocraft67
I wanted to include the with best late pace—worked earlier today—but just couldn't with this one's dubious move from turf to dirt. But who knows. |
Here's ya on that. I can't bet against classic winners with a first time dirt horse. Credit to whoever had that one though.
|
|
|
|
|
07-29-2017, 06:24 PM
|
#1536
|
|
Enthusiast
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Maryland
Posts: 697
|
JHS—please tell me you dropped your standards and took the shot at 8/1 and threw the  underneath in the exacta.
|
|
|
|
|
07-29-2017, 06:24 PM
|
#1537
|
|
Registered User
Join Date: May 2017
Posts: 1,415
|
Personably believe always dreaming ran with a slight bias on derby day. Not to take anything away from the horse though
|
|
|
|
|
07-29-2017, 06:26 PM
|
#1538
|
|
Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 12,402
|
I guess the two favorites were just even more vulnerable than I thought. The race ran pretty true and if there is an inside bias, the winner and runner-up laughed it off in the middle of the track from the three-eighths. Couldn't get lucky and catch the winner for the wrong reasons since the price never moved up much. 
__________________
"You make me feel like I am fun again."
-Robert James Smith, 1989
|
|
|
|
|
07-29-2017, 06:47 PM
|
#1539
|
|
Registered User
Join Date: May 2017
Posts: 1,415
|
Last race is though. I think 5 horses have a chance. Deciphering one to win is hard.
10 cent super box    
Not sure who is going to win yet. Favoring the though
Really believe will win, but chalk. Maybe I'll get lucky and will win, better yet maybe I'll hit the super
Last edited by Fightingirish51195; 07-29-2017 at 06:52 PM.
|
|
|
|
|
07-29-2017, 06:53 PM
|
#1540
|
|
Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 12,402
|
If I'm on a fool's errand known as trying to beat two Chad Brown turf maidens, usually I want a big price to make it worth the effort. If nine had drawn a bit more inside, maybe I get brave since the horse I thought might be worth the effort is a pretty bad price.
5-1 at 3MTP on  Magical Sky is lower than I expected off a debut in which she took no money and rallied into a stopping pace to finish well. Watching it back, it looked like the kind of steady :24 pace that would be tough to close into, but she was pretty impressive finishing into it. Don't love her or anything so 5-1 is a tough sell, but I'll never learn and always feel compelled to shoot against the Chad Brown auto 6-5.
__________________
"You make me feel like I am fun again."
-Robert James Smith, 1989
|
|
|
|
|
07-29-2017, 06:56 PM
|
#1541
|
|
Enthusiast
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Maryland
Posts: 697
|
|
|
|
|
|
07-29-2017, 07:03 PM
|
#1542
|
|
Registered User
Join Date: May 2017
Posts: 1,415
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by johnhannibalsmith
If I'm on a fool's errand known as trying to beat two Chad Brown turf maidens, usually I want a big price to make it worth the effort. If nine had drawn a bit more inside, maybe I get brave since the horse I thought might be worth the effort is a pretty bad price.
5-1 at 3MTP on Magical Sky is lower than I expected off a debut in which she took no money and rallied into a stopping pace to finish well. Watching it back, it looked like the kind of steady :24 pace that would be tough to close into, but she was pretty impressive finishing into it. Don't love her or anything so 5-1 is a tough sell, but I'll never learn and always feel compelled to shoot against the Chad Brown auto 6-5. |
I actually liked your . I just refuse to lose anymore money on leparoux. Hate the way he rides.
That being said. The deuce was definitely supposed to win that race.
|
|
|
|
|
07-29-2017, 10:44 PM
|
#1543
|
|
@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,830
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom
had the top TF Late Pace rating. |
Late ratings popped a couple big ones today.
|
|
|
|
|
07-29-2017, 11:30 PM
|
#1544
|
|
Veteran
Join Date: May 2016
Posts: 1,831
|
I don't use them , or TF, but do you routinely use late pace in turf races on the dirt?
|
|
|
|
|
07-29-2017, 11:33 PM
|
#1545
|
|
Buckle Up
Join Date: Apr 2014
Posts: 10,614
|
Quote:
Originally Posted by AltonKelsey
I don't use them , or TF, but do you routinely use late pace in turf races on the dirt?
|
Nothing routine about nailing a $19 horse......Whatever it takes, even if it makes no sense to you.
|
|
|
|
|
|
Posting Rules
|
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts
HTML code is Off
|
|
|
|
|
