Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Handicapping Discussion


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 12-23-2008, 07:17 PM   #1
InControlX
Registered User
 
InControlX's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Location: Waukesha, WI
Posts: 112
DRF Charts "Trouble" Field

The DRF Text Charts include a Trouble field for each entry which is represented by a Y/N entry in the field. I presume this is a catch-all indicator for "stumbled at start", "bore out", "bumped" etc., but my attempts to get a full definition from DRF have not been successful. I was running some sorts on an eighteen month database and assigned the indicator to jockeys instead of the horses on the hunch that some jockeys might be more "troublesome" than others. The results showed that the "Trouble Percentage" for jockeys ranged from a low of about 2% (including some very good jocks) to a high of 38% (including some notorious jocks), with most in the 5% to 8% range.

I'm interested in opinions as to whether it is a jockey rating at all, since some jockeys are probably stuck with more upstart mounts than others, or might a low trouble percentage be a valid indicator of superior ability?

ICX
InControlX is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 12-23-2008, 07:33 PM   #2
so.cal.fan
Registered User
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Sierra Madre, California
Posts: 4,419
Very interesting questions, IncontrolX.
I would guess the frequency of getting horses into trouble coincides with their approximate win percentage?
One angle I know of. Jockey Chris McCarron used to watch the video replays often, when he did he would always critique his own ride.
If he felt he was at fault, inevitably, he would ride the horse back and often win next time out!
I also know jocks who go in early to the steward's room and watch replays of their rides.
Very interesting study you are doing. Good luck to you.
so.cal.fan is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 03:57 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.