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Old 12-03-2018, 08:31 PM   #1
Dave Schwartz
 
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What Wins in the Winter?

I've just put up a new video seminar.

The regular price is $77.

It is currently available in a DSO sale.
(That means Dave's Special Offer.)

At 5:30pm pacific time, this product will begin at $24.77. Every sale or two will result in a small price increase.

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Old 12-08-2018, 11:52 PM   #2
Clocker
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Hi Dave.

Is this about winter racing in cold climates like Aqueduct or Laurel, or racing at the tracks that run their season in the winter like Tampa and Turf Paradise?

Thanks.
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Old 12-09-2018, 11:10 AM   #3
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Quote:
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Hi Dave.

Is this about winter racing in cold climates like Aqueduct or Laurel, or racing at the tracks that run their season in the winter like Tampa and Turf Paradise?

Thanks.
All racing is included.

It is simply about how different racing is based upon the calendar, not the weather.

Only fast tracks are considered.

The differences are really quite amazing.

Here's the 20-minute promo video which describes it.

Inside that video you will see a couple of examples.
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Old 12-13-2018, 02:58 AM   #4
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All racing is included.

It is simply about how different racing is based upon the calendar, not the weather.

Only fast tracks are considered.

Have you broken this down to see if there are significant differences between warm weather winter tracks (Turf Paradise, Tampa, etc.) and cold weather tracks (Aqu, Laurel, etc.).
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Old 12-13-2018, 10:23 AM   #5
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Originally Posted by Clocker View Post
Have you broken this down to see if there are significant differences between warm weather winter tracks (Turf Paradise, Tampa, etc.) and cold weather tracks (Aqu, Laurel, etc.).
No. That would be about two scopes deeper this project.

However, it is my approach to handicapping.

(i.e. "Get races like this one" and one of the components of that is winter vs non-winter)
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Old 12-13-2018, 11:59 AM   #6
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Originally Posted by Dave Schwartz View Post
No. That would be about two scopes deeper this project.

However, it is my approach to handicapping.

(i.e. "Get races like this one" and one of the components of that is winter vs non-winter)
Then you will have to deal with the confounding variable of weather. Otherwise you don't know if the difference is due to the calendar or temperature.
That will require an additional study.
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Old 12-13-2018, 01:43 PM   #7
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Dave always delivers factors that work.

You guys have mentioned some good ideas about 'theory'. That's one of the great things about this game; there are undiscovered ideas.

Quote:
Originally Posted by bobphilo View Post
Then you will have to deal with the confounding variable of weather. Otherwise you don't know if the difference is due to the calendar or temperature.
That will require an additional study.
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Old 12-13-2018, 03:28 PM   #8
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Then you will have to deal with the confounding variable of weather. Otherwise you don't know if the difference is due to the calendar or temperature.
That will require an additional study.
Of course it will.

This is just the beginning, but for now, I can say that the #1 factor (for example) for predicting the winner in a maiden race in the winter is about 20 factors below in the summer.

That alone is worth the price of admission. It is a factor that has little value in summer. Not speed ratings or pace ratings.
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Old 01-06-2019, 05:10 PM   #9
Robert Fischer
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HBD!

Happy Birthday Dave Schwartz!


No wonder you are a Winter Winner! January 6th B-Day!

Many More

- RF
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Old 01-06-2019, 06:04 PM   #10
Tom
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Happy Birthday Dave!
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Old 01-06-2019, 06:49 PM   #11
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Jan 6 is a very common birthday in my family:

Grandma was born on the 6th.

My mom and her twin were born on the 6th.

My niece was born on Jan 6 completing the superfecta.

I am surrounded by 's

You are in good company Dave. HB!
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Old 01-06-2019, 08:34 PM   #12
lefty359
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Birthday

Happy Birthday, Dave. May you live forever and I can celebrate with you!
Chuck
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Old 01-06-2019, 08:37 PM   #13
098poi
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Happy Birthday Dave!
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Old 01-06-2019, 10:18 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by michiken View Post
Jan 6 is a very common birthday in my family:

Grandma was born on the 6th.

My mom and her twin were born on the 6th.

My niece was born on Jan 6 completing the superfecta.

I am surrounded by 's

You are in good company Dave. HB!
Most interesting.
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Old 01-07-2019, 12:30 AM   #15
xtb
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Happy Birthday Dave!

I was going to say I missed it by 30 minutes but you still have 90 minutes left in your tz!

Last edited by xtb; 01-07-2019 at 12:33 AM.
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