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12-03-2018, 08:31 PM
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#1
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Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 16,878
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What Wins in the Winter?
I've just put up a new video seminar.
The regular price is $77.
It is currently available in a DSO sale.
(That means Dave's Special Offer.)
At 5:30pm pacific time, this product will begin at $24.77. Every sale or two will result in a small price increase.
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12-08-2018, 11:52 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2013
Posts: 17,095
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Hi Dave.
Is this about winter racing in cold climates like Aqueduct or Laurel, or racing at the tracks that run their season in the winter like Tampa and Turf Paradise?
Thanks.
__________________
A man's got to know his limitations. -- Dirty Harry
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12-09-2018, 11:10 AM
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#3
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Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 16,878
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Clocker
Hi Dave.
Is this about winter racing in cold climates like Aqueduct or Laurel, or racing at the tracks that run their season in the winter like Tampa and Turf Paradise?
Thanks.
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All racing is included.
It is simply about how different racing is based upon the calendar, not the weather.
Only fast tracks are considered.
The differences are really quite amazing.
Here's the 20-minute promo video which describes it.
Inside that video you will see a couple of examples.
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12-13-2018, 02:58 AM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2013
Posts: 17,095
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dave Schwartz
All racing is included.
It is simply about how different racing is based upon the calendar, not the weather.
Only fast tracks are considered.
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Have you broken this down to see if there are significant differences between warm weather winter tracks (Turf Paradise, Tampa, etc.) and cold weather tracks (Aqu, Laurel, etc.).
__________________
A man's got to know his limitations. -- Dirty Harry
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12-13-2018, 10:23 AM
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#5
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Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 16,878
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Clocker
Have you broken this down to see if there are significant differences between warm weather winter tracks (Turf Paradise, Tampa, etc.) and cold weather tracks (Aqu, Laurel, etc.).
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No. That would be about two scopes deeper this project.
However, it is my approach to handicapping.
(i.e. "Get races like this one" and one of the components of that is winter vs non-winter)
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12-13-2018, 11:59 AM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Palm Beach, Florida
Posts: 2,465
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Dave Schwartz
No. That would be about two scopes deeper this project.
However, it is my approach to handicapping.
(i.e. "Get races like this one" and one of the components of that is winter vs non-winter)
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Then you will have to deal with the confounding variable of weather. Otherwise you don't know if the difference is due to the calendar or temperature.
That will require an additional study.
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12-13-2018, 01:43 PM
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#7
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,512
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Dave always delivers factors that work.
You guys have mentioned some good ideas about 'theory'. That's one of the great things about this game; there are undiscovered ideas.
Quote:
Originally Posted by bobphilo
Then you will have to deal with the confounding variable of weather. Otherwise you don't know if the difference is due to the calendar or temperature.
That will require an additional study.
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__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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12-13-2018, 03:28 PM
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#8
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Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 16,878
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bobphilo
Then you will have to deal with the confounding variable of weather. Otherwise you don't know if the difference is due to the calendar or temperature.
That will require an additional study.
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Of course it will.
This is just the beginning, but for now, I can say that the #1 factor (for example) for predicting the winner in a maiden race in the winter is about 20 factors below in the summer.
That alone is worth the price of admission. It is a factor that has little value in summer. Not speed ratings or pace ratings.
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01-06-2019, 05:10 PM
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#9
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,512
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HBD!
Happy Birthday Dave Schwartz!
No wonder you are a Winter Winner! January 6th B-Day!
Many More
- RF
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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01-06-2019, 06:04 PM
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#10
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,470
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Happy Birthday Dave!
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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01-06-2019, 06:49 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2005
Location: Last One Standing in MI
Posts: 1,177
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Jan 6 is a very common birthday in my family:
Grandma was born on the 6th.
My mom and her twin were born on the 6th.
My niece was born on Jan 6 completing the superfecta.
I am surrounded by 's
You are in good company Dave. HB!
__________________
Pace Engineer
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01-06-2019, 08:34 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2017
Posts: 736
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Birthday
Happy Birthday, Dave. May you live forever and I can celebrate with you!
Chuck
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01-06-2019, 08:37 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 5,594
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Happy Birthday Dave!
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01-06-2019, 10:18 PM
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#14
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Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Reno, NV
Posts: 16,878
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Quote:
Originally Posted by michiken
Jan 6 is a very common birthday in my family:
Grandma was born on the 6th.
My mom and her twin were born on the 6th.
My niece was born on Jan 6 completing the superfecta.
I am surrounded by 's
You are in good company Dave. HB!
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Most interesting.
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01-07-2019, 12:30 AM
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#15
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Ultra MAGA "Gun Bitch"
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Western NY
Posts: 5,243
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Happy Birthday Dave!
I was going to say I missed it by 30 minutes but you still have 90 minutes left in your tz!
Last edited by xtb; 01-07-2019 at 12:33 AM.
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