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08-12-2022, 12:49 PM
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#361
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2021
Location: NYC
Posts: 1,554
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ranchwest
It is a straightforward mathematical formula. e is an exponential function commonly available in programming languages. ^ indicates the power to be used through the subsequent values in the formula. I really have no idea how he invented this formula.
I have implemented the formula using A=1 and B=1. It works better than I expected, though like many other math formula it is not a perfect standalone. But I was wondering if anyone had experimented and determined optimal values for A and B.
Did TrifectaMike pass? I haven't seen posts from him in a good while and he is not available through PM.
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way off on my thinking and over the top
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08-12-2022, 01:21 PM
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#362
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: near Lone Star Park
Posts: 5,154
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Quote:
Originally Posted by geroge.burns99
way off on my thinking and over the top
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i have no idea what that means.
__________________
Ranch West
Equine Performance Analyst, Quick Grid Software
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08-12-2022, 01:24 PM
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#363
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2021
Location: NYC
Posts: 1,554
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ranchwest
i have no idea what that means.
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Exactly!!
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08-12-2022, 01:28 PM
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#364
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: near Lone Star Park
Posts: 5,154
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Quote:
Originally Posted by geroge.burns99
Exactly!!
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Of course I don't. You give absolutely no explanation. How could I get it? What's to get?
__________________
Ranch West
Equine Performance Analyst, Quick Grid Software
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10-30-2022, 12:37 PM
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#365
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2022
Location: Southern CA and Las Vegas
Posts: 106
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Handicapping
It used to take me hours to handicap
races by pen and paper. I've automated
my handicapping now and it only takes
me 13 minutes to do a race, which includes
actual odds.
The software is available now to help
you do this. I download DRF Formulator
and can quickly process all the data
for a race.
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10-30-2022, 02:37 PM
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#366
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 113,005
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How do you you download the Formulator files?
I used to DL the old F4 exports, but can't find an export function in current version.
Thanks
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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11-30-2022, 05:04 PM
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#367
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2022
Posts: 5
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I'm new to this sport - what are some of the things you consider when diving into a race? Do you look at their historical performances or their training leading up to the race etc...?
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12-01-2022, 12:30 AM
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#368
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: near Lone Star Park
Posts: 5,154
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HorseRacingNewbie
I'm new to this sport - what are some of the things you consider when diving into a race? Do you look at their historical performances or their training leading up to the race etc...?
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Approach the races with consistency and adapt as you learn. For a long time, my mistake was diving into a different aspect of racing on every race. Never abandon what you have learned. Just expand your knowledge.
__________________
Ranch West
Equine Performance Analyst, Quick Grid Software
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12-01-2022, 09:25 AM
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#369
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2022
Posts: 5
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ty ty
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12-01-2022, 09:53 AM
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#370
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2010
Posts: 2,176
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Quote:
Originally Posted by HorseRacingNewbie
I'm new to this sport - what are some of the things you consider when diving into a race? Do you look at their historical performances or their training leading up to the race etc...?
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After you get a little experience, try posting: Handicap this race, on Pace Advantage, and tell how you're sizing up the race. IMO, that has been one of fun things to do here on this site. Usually, you'll get a fair amount of participation and other members showing or telling you how they see the race. It has always been positive feedback when I've done that. Do it before the race, so members have time to respond.
__________________
One of the downsides of the Internet is that it allows like-minded people to form communities, and sometimes those communities are stupid.
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12-01-2022, 01:36 PM
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#371
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2019
Location: Clarksville, AR
Posts: 1,223
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Quote:
Originally Posted by FakeNameChanged
After you get a little experience, try posting: Handicap this race, on Pace Advantage, and tell how you're sizing up the race.
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I'd suggest making the thread subject as specific as possible, e.g.:
Handicap this race: AQU 12-3 Race 7
or something to that effect.
__________________
Tom in NW Arkansas
Past performances are no guarantee of future results. - Why isn't this disclaimer printed in the Daily Racing Form?
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03-29-2023, 07:59 AM
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#372
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2019
Posts: 1,287
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.
has anybody tracked how higher price faves overall perform verses odds on faves in terms of R.O.I.______?
betting blindly on faves will lose less than the takeout - correct____?
how much less________?
I've always felt that by selecting just the most deserving faves - when you concur with the public that the horse should be the fave - might be a way towards profitability
not saying that I've been able to do that - but I haven't really tried
of course the odds have to be considered
but maybe, if instead of betting 6 faves on a card, a bettor forced himself to just choose just one - the one that he considered to be the most deserving fave on the card - his R.O.I. would improve
or if that's too boring bet much more on the most deserving fave and paltry amounts on the others
I have tracked myself on sports picks and have been profitable posting one pick per day
I know I'd get crushed if I had to post 5 picks per day
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__________________
believe only half of what you see.....and nothing that you hear..................Edgar Allan Poe
Last edited by Half Smoke; 03-29-2023 at 08:02 AM.
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03-31-2023, 06:08 AM
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#373
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2019
Posts: 1,287
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.
imho if a person takes this game very seriously - meaning they HAVE to win a certain amount for their finances and for their personal well being then they are traveling a very rough and rocky road
but if they take the game lightly - but still want to do well - as best they can - then the game can be very enjoyable
.
__________________
believe only half of what you see.....and nothing that you hear..................Edgar Allan Poe
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04-24-2023, 04:48 PM
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#374
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2003
Location: new york
Posts: 1,631
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ranchwest
i have no idea what that means.
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hello ranchwest acorn here. i used 1 as the constant for a and b. it seems pretty neat using the odds to field size ratio and the purse of todays race to horses last race as multipliers, as well as adding the sum of the field size/horses finish postion last race, with speed fig ranked according to todays field of horses.
as a pencil and paper method i would suggest only using the most competitive horses in the race and rate them, to save alot of manual number crunching.
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04-24-2023, 06:45 PM
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#375
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2001
Location: near Lone Star Park
Posts: 5,154
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Quote:
Originally Posted by acorn54
hello ranchwest acorn here. i used 1 as the constant for a and b. it seems pretty neat using the odds to field size ratio and the purse of todays race to horses last race as multipliers, as well as adding the sum of the field size/horses finish postion last race, with speed fig ranked according to todays field of horses.
as a pencil and paper method i would suggest only using the most competitive horses in the race and rate them, to save alot of manual number crunching.
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Thanks, Acorn! I settled in on both constants as 1, too... works just fine. I think it is a great factor, so I have included it in my Quick Grid software. Much easier to let the computer do the work.
__________________
Ranch West
Equine Performance Analyst, Quick Grid Software
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