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02-24-2018, 04:19 PM
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#76
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by prome
you might want to take a look at Diodoro with MLO of 4/1 or less when the 2nd Call last race ran 1st position the numbers are short of amazing. Since 11/12/2017 7 attempts 6 wins 86% Wins with an average of $6.97 with 199% ROI
Today at Aqueduct Race 5
#6 Valyrian 4/1
My projection on #6:
Win 80%
Place 80%
Show 80%
Overbet down to 9/5 odds
My only concern is the number of races this trainer has under his belt 59 races since 11/03/2017 not to mention the sample size is less then ideal for this situation. Play with caution.
Enjoy!
Prome
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Hey Prome
Did you score? That horse won paid $13.80 across the board!!!
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02-24-2018, 04:20 PM
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#77
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Folsom, CA
Posts: 3,517
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Hey Tri,
I saw that did you score?
He had a winner that was a Claimer at Aqueduct today also
5th race
#6 Valyrian
It paid $18.30 across the board!!!
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Yes, I did. I had my two plus Valyrian.
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02-24-2018, 04:26 PM
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#78
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: New York
Posts: 9
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Ya TheOracle,
I went with $20 across the board and keyed with an $5 exacta. So I'm pleased with the result! Thanks for your dedication to finding key stats I just built on top of your research to get my final answer.
Keep it up Oracle.
Prome
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02-24-2018, 04:30 PM
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#79
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by prome
Ya TheOracle,
I went with $20 across the board and keyed with an $5 exacta. So I'm pleased with the result! Thanks for your dedication to finding key stats I just built on top of your research to get my final answer.
Keep it up Oracle.
Prome
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Thanks Prome that's a great score!!!
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02-24-2018, 04:44 PM
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#80
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: New York
Posts: 9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by trifecta
That was a nice catch on Valyrian, prome.
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Thanks Trifecta!
Much thanks goes to TheOracle for starting the post about that trainer I just built on his research to find a higher probability model which I did find today.
Later!
Prome
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02-25-2018, 12:10 AM
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#81
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Folsom, CA
Posts: 3,517
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Diodoro has one horse at Oaklawn Sunday:
Race 1 Liam's World
2/1 m/l; 3rd off claim
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02-25-2018, 02:36 PM
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#82
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Folsom, CA
Posts: 3,517
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Quote:
Originally Posted by trifecta
Diodoro has one horse at Oaklawn Sunday:
Race 1 Liam's World
2/1 m/l; 3rd off claim
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Liam's World finished 2nd as the 3/2 favorite. Paid $2.60 $2.40
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02-25-2018, 03:04 PM
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#83
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Hey Prome
Ok I see what you’re saying when I did it I didn’t use any restrictions with points of call so you are probably correct
I just took everything less than 5-1
Thanks for the tip bro!!!
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Diodoro has another horse entered with a Morning Line less than 5-1 in the 8th race!!!
8th race
#6 Doyouknowsomething
Let’s see if he can get this one to win today at Aqueduct!!!
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02-25-2018, 10:02 PM
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#84
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Diodoro has another horse entered with a Morning Line less than 5-1 in the 8th race!!!
8th race
#6 Doyouknowsomething
Let’s see if he can get this one to win today at Aqueduct!!!
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Diodoro disappointed today with #6 Doyouknowsomething he couldn't finish 3rd in a 4 horse race as a Favorite
That was just horrible
Let's continue to watch his barn when less than 5-1 in the Morning Line especially in Claiming races!!!
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02-26-2018, 09:05 AM
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#85
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 1,084
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Diodoro could be batting 40% at NYRA, if only he had a talented jockey riding his horses.
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02-27-2018, 03:42 PM
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#86
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: New York
Posts: 9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Exotic1
Diodoro could be batting 40% at NYRA, if only he had a talented jockey riding his horses.
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Hay Exotic1,
Diodoro's go to jockey is Arroyo when 5/1 or less MLO you are getting a 44% at Aqu with a average $6.90 and ROI 52% so your prayers have been answered for now. The problem I have with this trainer is that he is not well established (only been at Aqu since 2017) and recently he has been in a minor decline but good enough to maintain a 40% so you decide for yourself.
Hope this helps!
Prome
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02-27-2018, 04:36 PM
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#87
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by prome
Hay Exotic1,
Diodoro's go to jockey is Arroyo when 5/1 or less MLO you are getting a 44% at Aqu with a average $6.90 and ROI 52% so your prayers have been answered for now. The problem I have with this trainer is that he is not well established (only been at Aqu since 2017) and recently he has been in a minor decline but good enough to maintain a 40% so you decide for yourself.
Hope this helps!
Prome
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Hey Prome,
I will check this out also
You are forcing me to actually get my Jockey data together bro hahaha lol!!
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02-27-2018, 05:27 PM
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#88
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2003
Location: New York
Posts: 9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Hey Prome,
I will check this out also
You are forcing me to actually get my Jockey data together bro hahaha lol!!
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its always a good thing to have fellow horse players check out each others findings, didn't mean to put you to work Oracle lol.
Take care and looking forward to seeing what you dig up.
Prome
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02-28-2018, 11:43 PM
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#89
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by prome
its always a good thing to have fellow horse players check out each others findings, didn't mean to put you to work Oracle lol.
Take care and looking forward to seeing what you dig up.
Prome
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Hey Prome,
This is what I came up with for Arroyo at Aqueduct for 2018 as far as I can tell this is his overall record as of yesterday!!!
Now when you peel back a layer and pull in Diodoro with Arroyo you are getting a 10% return per $2 win wager on the combo!!!
Out of the 9 wins between them, 6 of the 9 have been in Claiming races you are getting a 56% return per $2 win wager and together they are winning at 46.1% in this situation!!!
Let's watch this combo in Claiming races for the rest of the Aqueduct season!!!
Quote:
Originally Posted by prome
Hay Exotic1,
Diodoro's go to jockey is Arroyo when 5/1 or less MLO you are getting a 44% at Aqu with a average $6.90 and ROI 52% so your prayers have been answered for now. The problem I have with this trainer is that he is not well established (only been at Aqu since 2017) and recently he has been in a minor decline but good enough to maintain a 40% so you decide for yourself.
Hope this helps!
Prome
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I will have the totals for Morning Lines less than 5-1 for the duo in another post!!!
Thanks for pointing this out Prome!!!
Last edited by TheOracle; 02-28-2018 at 11:48 PM.
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03-01-2018, 12:09 AM
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#90
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2009
Location: Folsom, CA
Posts: 3,517
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Diodoro has two entered at Oaklawn Park tomorrow (Thursday):
Race 2 King Of Anything 7/2 m/l 2nd off claim
claiming race
Race 9 To The King 3/1 m/l maiden claiming race
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