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10-01-2010, 08:42 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 988
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Goodwood
I really like a horse in this race. I'm just surprised he was entered.
Crown of Thorns ran gamely in the BC Sprint last year, so I figured Mandella was prepping him for that race. I thought he got a lot out of his 2nd in the Pat O'Brien, finishing well with what looked to be plenty more to give. So I thought maybe the Dirt Mile was a possibility. Now, I wonder if he's eyeing the Classic?
In the Goodwood, both CoT and Twirling Candy figure to be ahead of the others, prob w/ CoT tracking Twirling Candy through moderate fractions. TC has never faced this caliber, and will have to be on far better behavior against this group in order to win. CoT gets first run on the closers, and I don't think anything behind him can pass him. TC may be good enough to win, but if CoT is at or above his morning line odds, he's a strong play. In the absence of a foolish pace duel, I can't see a scenario under which CoT is worse than second.
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10-02-2010, 09:31 AM
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#2
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intus habes, quem poscis
Join Date: Jan 2004
Location: Brooklyn NY
Posts: 9,776
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Nice analysis, especially since I was thinking much the same. Do think TC will get the cavalry charge in the lane and won't hold. I'm going with Crown as well, though I think Richard's Kid has a real shot too.
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10-02-2010, 08:19 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2003
Location: Willamette Valley, Oregon
Posts: 1,622
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That's a real short price on Candy. I might take a shot with Awsome Gem and mix him up in some exactas.
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10-02-2010, 08:20 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2009
Location: Kansas City
Posts: 270
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Why is Dakota Phone 20-1 right now?
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10-02-2010, 08:21 PM
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#5
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,842
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Crown of Thorns, 'cause HTR says so. 1W
  Box for a sawbuck
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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10-02-2010, 08:22 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 3,653
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by OTM Al
Nice analysis, especially since I was thinking much the same. Do think TC will get the cavalry charge in the lane and won't hold. I'm going with Crown as well, though I think Richard's Kid has a real shot too.
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I like Richard's Kid a bit better I'm not sure about CoT around 2 turns.
7 2 3
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10-02-2010, 08:31 PM
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#7
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,842
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by WinterTriangle
I like Richard's Kid a bit better I'm not sure about CoT around 2 turns.
7 2 3
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Here's looking at YOU, Kid! 
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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10-02-2010, 08:33 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 3,653
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by WinterTriangle
I like Richard's Kid a bit better I'm not sure about CoT around 2 turns.
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Straight trifecta
#7 Win $18.60
#2 Place $3.40
#3 Show $4.80
$2 Exacta $45.00
$2 Trifecta $271.40
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10-02-2010, 08:34 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 988
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WT, can you please post a little earlier in the future? 
Bit of a disappointing ride from Bejarano, I thought. Smith forced his hand a bit, but why not let Talamo have the lead and see what happens?
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10-02-2010, 08:38 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2008
Posts: 3,653
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Tom
Here's looking at YOU, Kid! |
Well you too and OTM Al on the exacta
Smarty --- I dunno, Dakota always runs ITM, couldn't leave him off I guess you thought so too.
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10-02-2010, 08:44 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 3,420
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nice capping guys and gals. it will be interesting to see where they put crown of thorns. i'm wondering if mandella has something up his sleeve there? i'm gonna have to take a good look at him going into the cup. he ran a nice race.
Last edited by bisket; 10-02-2010 at 08:46 PM.
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10-03-2010, 05:54 AM
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#12
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PA Steward
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Del Boca Vista
Posts: 88,589
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congrats to those who had that nice price on top and to WT for the cold tri... 
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10-03-2010, 11:14 AM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2007
Location: Wyoming, near Yellowstone Park...born/raised in Brooklyn,NY
Posts: 7,557
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__________________
joanied
"All we have to do is decide what to do with the time that is given to us"
Gandalf the Grey
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to post my picks because i don't wager