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11-02-2018, 10:40 AM
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#1
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,842
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BC Friday Races - Playalong, chit chat
I got a nice one in the BC Juv Fillies.
Using TFUS adjusted times, here is how the field shapes up fraction by fraction.
TF Pace Pace Projector suggest a fast pace, and the best Late Pace horse is 30-1 ML Cassies Dreamer. She has a 20 point LP edge over any other router in the field. Last time, she bobbled at the start and spent most of the first quarter retreating. I thing she has enough speed to sit closer today and the rest of the field came home slow. Her low fig might get those 30-1 odds.
I'm putting this one in the exotics for sure - and a little to win as well.
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
Last edited by Tom; 11-02-2018 at 10:52 AM.
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11-02-2018, 10:48 AM
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#2
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,842
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__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
Last edited by Tom; 11-02-2018 at 10:52 AM.
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11-02-2018, 11:57 AM
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#3
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,842
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BC Juvenile
Again using TF adjusted times, here is the BC Juvy
EP and FT are Quirin style pace and speed figs.
SP is Sartin sustained pace, F# is final fraction, and FW is factor
W.
Looks like a standout and and easy exacta in here.
Depends on the odds........    
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
Last edited by Tom; 11-02-2018 at 11:59 AM.
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11-02-2018, 12:55 PM
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#4
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what an easy game.
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
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GOOD LUCK TO ALL
Code:
"CHURCHILL-BC
Race
1
Post
12:55
MTP
2
$1 Exacta Pool
$170,344"
pgno bet size
3 0
4 0
5 208
1 0
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA
" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
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11-02-2018, 01:28 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2015
Location: Toronto
Posts: 1,934
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11-02-2018, 01:32 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2015
Location: Toronto
Posts: 1,934
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huge overlay on the 
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11-02-2018, 01:34 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2017
Posts: 444
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half the field broke bad in the 2nd, have to wonder if the starter sprung the latch before they were all settled.
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11-02-2018, 01:43 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Brooklyn, New York
Posts: 1,726
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The #10 ran a 21.77 first quarter - are we looking at a speed bias to the outside?
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11-02-2018, 01:44 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2015
Location: Toronto
Posts: 1,934
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bill Cullen
The #10 ran a 21.77 first quarter - are we looking at a speed bias to the outside?
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In the first race the speed stopped and they didn't go that fast lets see a few more
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11-02-2018, 01:48 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2004
Location: Brooklyn, New York
Posts: 1,726
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Quote:
Originally Posted by azeri98
In the first race the speed stopped and they didn't go that fast lets see a few more
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yes of course - I agree
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11-02-2018, 01:51 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2008
Location: Nebraska
Posts: 15,121
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Last edited by jay68802; 11-02-2018 at 02:00 PM.
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11-02-2018, 01:59 PM
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#12
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Veteran
Join Date: May 2014
Location: Lincoln, NE
Posts: 11,474
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11-02-2018, 02:00 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2012
Posts: 636
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11-02-2018, 02:03 PM
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#14
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Enthusiast
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Maryland
Posts: 684
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jay68802
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I like it.
Win 
Ex  +
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11-02-2018, 02:03 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2001
Posts: 16,847
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3rd
__________________
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