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05-06-2022, 11:54 AM
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#1
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Enthusiast
Join Date: Aug 2009
Location: Maryland
Posts: 711
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Rich Strike?
21 Rich Strike will run.
- According to TFUS, he's the only certified "closer" in the field, with the best late pace rating, beating Zandon's by a point.
- Dam sire average winning distance: 7.6f. Fourth highest in the field (along with three others). Although, BRIS and DRF distance ratings are in the bottom third of the pack.
- Last post not a problem.
- Rider has better record than half a dozen or so in the race. But not with routes.
- One of only five entrants to have run at least seven races.
- Speed and class figs are all at the bottom of the field or next to it.
- Has to improve, what, 13 points from a 107 TFUS (on synth) just to hit the super?
- Could be overbet as longest shot in the race.
Just doesn't seem impossible to clunk up for the last slot of the super. But more likely to admirably outrun his odds at 11th.
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05-06-2022, 06:37 PM
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#2
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Just Deplorable
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Lebanon, Ohio
Posts: 8,075
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An assistant to the Reeds told me this morning at Belterra that they had drawn in and mentioned some of those things above. I said that was going to cost me, cause now I have to plunk a few down on one with local connections. But he said he can run all day, so if most of the other 16 or 17 that make more sense blow a gasket at the sixteenth pole, maybe he can blow up the verticals. And that's your insider information of the day.
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05-07-2022, 07:14 PM
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#3
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,935
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Well now.......
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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05-07-2022, 07:15 PM
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#4
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Random Numbers Generator
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: In the grandstand looking under the seats for tickets or food
Posts: 2,292
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Aerocraft67
21 Rich Strike will run.
- According to TFUS, he's the only certified "closer" in the field, with the best late pace rating, beating Zandon's by a point.
- Dam sire average winning distance: 7.6f. Fourth highest in the field (along with three others). Although, BRIS and DRF distance ratings are in the bottom third of the pack.
- Last post not a problem.
- Rider has better record than half a dozen or so in the race. But not with routes.
- One of only five entrants to have run at least seven races.
- Speed and class figs are all at the bottom of the field or next to it.
- Has to improve, what, 13 points from a 107 TFUS (on synth) just to hit the super?
- Could be overbet as longest shot in the race.
Just doesn't seem impossible to clunk up for the last slot of the super. But more likely to admirably outrun his odds at 11th.
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Was that a typo? You put in an extra 1 in there.
__________________
Where will you be when diarrhea strikes?
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05-07-2022, 07:15 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2015
Posts: 1,964
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Beyond belief. Pace was hot enough, and fell apart. Nice run by 21!
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05-07-2022, 07:19 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Owatonna, MN
Posts: 791
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looking at the PPs again trying to figure it out
can't
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05-07-2022, 07:24 PM
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#7
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: Dark Side of the Moon
Posts: 5,870
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I had him, loved the pattern and improving performances on synthetic then switch to dirt, no kickback on the outside.
game is ez
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05-07-2022, 07:24 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2017
Posts: 228
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Someone knew something about this guy. Woof.
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05-07-2022, 07:29 PM
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#9
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Random Numbers Generator
Join Date: Nov 2001
Location: In the grandstand looking under the seats for tickets or food
Posts: 2,292
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MNslappy
looking at the PPs again trying to figure it out
can't
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Half the field was all speed.
__________________
Where will you be when diarrhea strikes?
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05-07-2022, 07:37 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 733
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Biggest Upset
Biggest upset since the 1969 Superbowl. Jets 16 Colts 7
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05-07-2022, 07:38 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: Bakersfield, CA
Posts: 1,791
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MNslappy
looking at the PPs again trying to figure it out
can't
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He had one win prior. Any guesses what track it came on…..
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05-07-2022, 07:39 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: Bakersfield, CA
Posts: 1,791
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BlueChip@DRF
Half the field was all speed.
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Unreal how some actual pace shakes this race up. I like it, derby is boring without it.
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05-07-2022, 07:42 PM
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#13
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Educated Speculation
Join Date: Feb 2014
Location: Where Palm Trees Sway
Posts: 914
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I didn't bother to even post my picks today in the Derby Day Play Along because just about all of my tickets were handed to me already torn up. But Race 12? They handed me the ticket mutilated. Like most, I paid the 21 horse no mind. Brutal day for me gents.
But I'm very happy for Rich Strike and connections. Congrats everyone that is connected and bet that horse. Totally amazing.
__________________
"Horse Sense" is the thing a horse has which keeps it from betting on people.
Last edited by BettinBilly; 05-07-2022 at 07:46 PM.
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05-07-2022, 07:45 PM
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#14
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2002
Location: America
Posts: 6,955
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rex Phinney
He had one win prior. Any guesses what track it came on…..
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Yeah, Churchill, but it was a Maiden Claming race in which he was claimed. Only ran on graded stakes race G3.
One heckuva of a stretch run by Leon with that horse. Just hope the drug sample comes back OK. Don't need another Medina.
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05-07-2022, 07:50 PM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Nov 2012
Location: Bakersfield, CA
Posts: 1,791
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Secretariat
Yeah, Churchill, but it was a Maiden Claming race in which he was claimed. Only ran on graded stakes race G3.
One heckuva of a stretch run by Leon with that horse. Just hope the drug sample comes back OK. Don't need another Medina.
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One win out of seven tries, whatever the competition, he likes what he likes apparently.
It doesn’t seem like he needed any hot meds. Seems like the connections knew he was all about distance and everything in front of him was gassed. Sunny Leon rode him calm as can be, amazing ride, played to his gameplan and didn’t let the circus of the Derby deter him
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