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Old 05-20-2017, 06:05 PM   #1
dilanesp
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Always Dreaming is an overlay

I don't think I am saying anything that anyone here doesn't know, but 7-5 / 3-2 is a significant overlay on a horse who probably is more than 50 percent likely to win the Preakness.
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Old 05-20-2017, 06:07 PM   #2
Tom
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I think he has just as much chance of finishing off the board as winning.
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Old 05-20-2017, 06:24 PM   #3
Thomas Roulston
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And Classic Empire is an underlay - and didn't Looking at Lee finish ahead of Classic Empire in the Derby?
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Old 05-20-2017, 06:28 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dilanesp View Post
I don't think I am saying anything that anyone here doesn't know, but 7-5 / 3-2 is a significant overlay on a horse who probably is more than 50 percent likely to win the Preakness.
It seems that the trouble that CE faced is inflating he price of AD. I agree that AD is certainly an overlay.
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Old 05-20-2017, 06:37 PM   #5
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The 7-5 on the is very uncertain. Cratos and his associates haven't bet their $200,000 yet.
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Old 05-20-2017, 06:42 PM   #6
no breathalyzer
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Multiplier is the overlay here
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Old 05-20-2017, 06:43 PM   #7
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Multiplier is the overlay here
If he wins I will hereby refer to you only as "The Great One".
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Old 05-20-2017, 06:45 PM   #8
dilanesp
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Multiplier is the overlay here
Hedge Fund did not flatter him.
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Old 05-20-2017, 06:59 PM   #9
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Originally Posted by dilanesp View Post
I don't think I am saying anything that anyone here doesn't know, but 7-5 / 3-2 is a significant overlay on a horse who probably is more than 50 percent likely to win the Preakness.
I had him at 6-5 on my line, so no, he wasn't an overlay...he was dead on fairly priced IMO...thus no bet...

I bet on Lookin At Lee...the real overlay...but I'm lookin at mothballs...
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Old 05-20-2017, 07:01 PM   #10
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Chad Brown at 14-1.
Now THAT is an overlay!
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