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Old 01-11-2020, 08:16 PM   #5761
NorCalGreg
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Gonna try some PLATINUM exacta boxes @ GGF



Good Luck

-NCG

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Old 01-14-2020, 02:24 AM   #5762
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top speed--didn't win

.
A gentleman has a bunch of racing books for sale--on this site. I took a look at what he had, and noticed a DRF book called "SPEED TO SPARE".
I think I bought my copy used, at a thrift shop-it has a $1.98 price tag on it.
It has to do with Bris/Beyer speed rating patterns, such as 3-in-a-row, good-bad-good, etc. Pretty interesting.

I'm not sure if I got this pattern from that book--or I may possibly have come up with it on my own. You're all familiar with the "Bounce" pattern...usually applies to a horse that wins while posting his highest speed rating. His next race he's not usually a good bet. It's not foolproof, but I've found much merit to that premise.

Well...what about a horse that posts his highest SR--but doesn't win? I applied basic handicapping rules (back in 35 days--same or lower class--decent connections, min ML) and found it to be a useful spot-play. As are most of my plays--works best at the lower claimers

This is from Jan 1st @ GGF:



Obviously they don't all win--but it's fun to fool around with.

Good Luck
-NCG

Last edited by NorCalGreg; 01-14-2020 at 02:25 AM.
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Old 01-14-2020, 09:58 AM   #5763
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And don't overlook that for each horse, their late speed was getting better or peaking in the last couple of races. That helps too.
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Old 01-14-2020, 01:32 PM   #5764
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Quote:
Originally Posted by NorCalGreg View Post
.
A gentleman has a bunch of racing books for sale--on this site. I took a look at what he had, and noticed a DRF book called "SPEED TO SPARE".
I think I bought my copy used, at a thrift shop-it has a $1.98 price tag on it.
It has to do with Bris/Beyer speed rating patterns, such as 3-in-a-row, good-bad-good, etc. Pretty interesting.

I'm not sure if I got this pattern from that book--or I may possibly have come up with it on my own. You're all familiar with the "Bounce" pattern...usually applies to a horse that wins while posting his highest speed rating. His next race he's not usually a good bet. It's not foolproof, but I've found much merit to that premise.

Well...what about a horse that posts his highest SR--but doesn't win? I applied basic handicapping rules (back in 35 days--same or lower class--decent connections, min ML) and found it to be a useful spot-play. As are most of my plays--works best at the lower claimers

This is from Jan 1st @ GGF:



Obviously they don't all win--but it's fun to fool around with.

Good Luck
-NCG
Looks interesting
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Old 01-14-2020, 03:54 PM   #5765
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Although I'd like to see better connections--I'll take a shot at 12-1 PINKOUT in the 10th @ Parx. She does fit this pattern, and with the weak connections, that 12-1 ML may hold up. At Parx it's just a guess

-NCG

Last edited by NorCalGreg; 01-14-2020 at 03:56 PM.
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Old 01-14-2020, 04:07 PM   #5766
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horses who have e-foot and stop , are often called out on these programs.


they often stop



and once in a while they dont


and someone trots out the program as if this is a daily occurrence
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Old 01-14-2020, 04:15 PM   #5767
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I'm not sure what your point is, Alton...and which programs are you referring to?
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Old 01-16-2020, 03:43 PM   #5768
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GGX BEST-FIVE 1/16

Raining cats n' dogs here at GGF right now...but they do have an all-weather track. Here are the Best-Five top-3 contenders per race--looks chalky as usual at this track. I can spit to this track from my house, but haven't actually been here in a few years.

Soon enough, this track won't exist--the land it sits on is far too valuable, right on the water, with views of Golden Gate bridge, Alcatraz, San Francisco skyline, etc.

Good Luck

-NCG

.
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Old 01-18-2020, 03:07 PM   #5769
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GGX

Hit a few exactas @ GGX yesterday.

Here are 3 spot play picks from GGX today, as well as the Top Platinum Power horses for each race--Good Luck
-NCG


Race - 2 KOA CAT 4-1

Race - 4 TOP TIZZY 7-2

Race - 7 DICTION 8-1

..and today's GGX Top Power:




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Old 01-19-2020, 04:02 PM   #5770
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GGX Comp Report 1/19

I usually play the longshots listed on this report from the EXOTIC BETS program from Golden Gate.
.
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Old 01-19-2020, 08:27 PM   #5771
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I usually play the longshots listed on this report from the EXOTIC BETS program from Golden Gate.
.
Before I placed my bets --took a look at CARTOONIST $9.20...he was at 2-1 with a few minutes to post. So decided to pass on that one
I did get MIDNITE FLOWER $18.40 in the 7th, since he was top Platinum Power and 10-1. Another ran 2nd--with the other two off the board.

.
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Old 01-20-2020, 03:33 PM   #5772
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And don't overlook that for each horse, their late speed was getting better or peaking in the last couple of races. That helps too.
This is true--actually early or late...improvement is something to make note of.

Here was a horse MRS PEINTOUR
that ran yesterday 6th race @ Santa Anita. Her trainer Brian Koriner is money 3rd off layoff--and the horse, judging by workouts and improving race calls looks razor sharp.

She won and paid appx $28.00.

I actually tried to come up with a software program to find these improving horses--it failed miserably. Some "angles" you just can't put strict rules on, as I found out.
Here are MRS PEINTOUR'S last 3 race and works. This is one of those longshots you kick yourself AFTER the race, for not seeing it.

.
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Old 01-21-2020, 04:57 PM   #5773
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BEST-FIVE CONSENSUS PARX 1/21

**Best-5 had a nice day at Parx today.
I played the last race trifecta--NADA

.
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Old 01-22-2020, 06:41 PM   #5774
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TUP P-3


This is the Top Power horses per race @ Turf Paradise today:

.


I liked the early double and the 5th race pick-3. Missed the double, but nailed the pick-3.
.


*I post these often because I get asked if I bet my own programs...and no, I don't win everyday. They just make handicapping a lot quicker and easier.

-NCG
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Old 01-24-2020, 02:20 PM   #5775
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PLATINUM BEST BETS

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