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05-16-2015, 06:27 PM
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#1
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Refugee from Bowie
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 1,598
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Preakness 2015 Final TIme
Slowest in 60 years.
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05-16-2015, 06:31 PM
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#2
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,829
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Shemp Howard
Slowest in 60 years.
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...run right after a monsoon.
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05-16-2015, 06:31 PM
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#3
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2008
Posts: 3,898
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Shemp Howard
Slowest in 60 years.
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Its so strange. The Derby was a 95 Beyer and they adjusted up. Will they do the same thing here? Could this crop be this bad?
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05-16-2015, 06:38 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2002
Posts: 10,861
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Shemp Howard
Slowest in 60 years.
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It looked to me like the jock really slowed down the pace up the backstretch. I'll have to watch the race again, but that was my impression while watching it live.
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05-16-2015, 06:42 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2010
Location: OKC, OK
Posts: 609
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You might be able to use race 14 at a mile and 1/16 to compare.
Throw the rest out.
Be damn hard to make an accurate speed figure for this one.
Last edited by Bullet Plane; 05-16-2015 at 06:43 PM.
Reason: meaning not quite right
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05-16-2015, 06:43 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2002
Posts: 10,861
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Bullet Plane
You might be able to use race 14 at a mile and 1/16 to compare.
Throw the rest out.
Be damn hard to make a good speed figure for this one.
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A projected speed rating is probably the way to go.
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05-16-2015, 06:47 PM
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#7
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,829
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Bullet Plane
You might be able to use race 14 at a mile and 1/16 to compare.
Throw the rest out.
Be damn hard to make an accurate speed figure for this one.
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Yes, the 14th will help, hopefully. Projection on the 13th alone will be a tough read. I at least use pace too, and the pace was very fast.
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05-16-2015, 06:47 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2001
Posts: 1,911
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Smarty's Derby, where it poured just before the race and where they could prep only a little, was slow too?
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05-16-2015, 07:14 PM
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#9
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,829
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14th was pretty formful and the time makes a lot of sense compared to the Preakness, it will help.
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05-16-2015, 08:17 PM
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#10
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,559
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We know AP pretty well by now. Should be easy to fudge a figure into the ballpark of where his figure belongs.
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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05-16-2015, 08:27 PM
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#11
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2005
Location: Palm Beach, Florida
Posts: 2,465
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by cj
...run right after a monsoon.
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So true. Unadjusted times mean nothing unless one believes that all tracks are identical under all possible conditions.
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05-16-2015, 08:30 PM
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#12
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Refugee from Bowie
Join Date: Nov 2007
Posts: 1,598
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by cj
...run right after a monsoon.
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Bee Bee Bee and Deputed Testimony both won it on a sloppy track in 1:55 and change.
No problem getting to the half in 46. These horses are bad finishers.
The stretch run at Big Sandy should be fun.
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05-16-2015, 08:34 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2004
Posts: 3,787
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Pimlico's dirt track seemed to have a fairly pronounced tilt favouring frontrunners today.
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05-16-2015, 08:35 PM
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#14
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Veteran
Join Date: Mar 2015
Posts: 1,132
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Shemp Howard
Slowest in 60 years.
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Ran one of the fastest opening quarter in the history of the race.
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05-16-2015, 08:49 PM
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#15
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@TimeformUSfigs
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: Moore, OK
Posts: 46,829
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by Shemp Howard
Bee Bee Bee and Deputed Testimony both won it on a sloppy track in 1:55 and change.
No problem getting to the half in 46. These horses are bad finishers.
The stretch run at Big Sandy should be fun.
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Long time ago, tracks are much deeper now.
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