Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Handicapping Discussion


Closed Thread
 
Thread Tools Rating: Thread Rating: 30 votes, 3.80 average.
Old 09-21-2016, 08:56 AM   #1486
NorCalGreg
Authorized Advertiser
 
NorCalGreg's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
Quote:
Originally Posted by jk3521
TLG has Global Positioning on top of his 2nd race selections. And Humbolt N frost on top also.
Unfortunately, I didn't get any orders from TLG...but I'll bet he's got some high-end software tools.

I do have a couple PV users who are nationally known. One commented it was "pretty good"...the other ordered the upgrade, so obviously he obviously saw some merit.

The best endorsements are from regular players, such as yourself Joe
NorCalGreg is offline  
Old 09-21-2016, 09:02 AM   #1487
NorCalGreg
Authorized Advertiser
 
NorCalGreg's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
Quote:
Originally Posted by jk3521
TLG has Global Positioning on top of his 2nd race selections. And Humbolt N frost on top also.

Look at the PP's for HUMBOLDT N FROST....some serious signs of something up with this one.
NorCalGreg is offline  
Old 09-21-2016, 12:54 PM   #1488
green80
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Benton, La.
Posts: 1,841
Humbolt N frost

I'm likely wrong here but...Humbolt N frost won't be on the lead in a 6f sprint. It's easy to get the lead in a route when nobody wants it but at 6f the fractions will be much faster. Why isn't he in a NW3 rather than a non winners other than... alw race? Looks like a cheap claiming nw3 going long would be his spot, only thing going for him is state breds. I'm thinking this horse was claimed because the trainer thought he could fix this horse's problems and this 6f is a test to see where he is at. Anyway if this horse wins you'll need a boxcar to take home all your money.

If I just had to pick something long odds, what about Fear from PID, who has already won 7 races, granted much cheaper, but the horse may not know.

Last edited by green80; 09-21-2016 at 12:57 PM.
green80 is offline  
Old 09-21-2016, 01:44 PM   #1489
REBel
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: WEST DES MOINES, IA
Posts: 90
results Mnr 9-20

Mnr and the Ability sort didn't like each other last night.

2 wins (favs))
2 shows
2 scratches
3 also rans

Ron
REBel is offline  
Old 09-21-2016, 02:23 PM   #1490
formula_2002
what an easy game.
 
formula_2002's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2002
Posts: 43,096
Quote:
Originally Posted by jk3521
TLG has Global Positioning on top of his 2nd race selections. And Humbolt N frost on top also.
pinched back at the gate, a lot of late money lost here.
up for the show, $1 returned $1.85
__________________
Peace on earth, good will to all
GOD BLESS AMERICA

" I pass with relief from the tossing sea of cause and theory to the firm ground of result and fact"
Winston Churchill
formula_2002 is offline  
Old 09-21-2016, 04:05 PM   #1491
green80
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Benton, La.
Posts: 1,841
Quote:
Originally Posted by REBel
Mnr and the Ability sort didn't like each other last night.

2 wins (favs))
2 shows
2 scratches
3 also rans

Ron
I have found that MNR is not a good track for the ability rating. Try PID
green80 is offline  
Old 09-21-2016, 04:14 PM   #1492
REBel
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: WEST DES MOINES, IA
Posts: 90
green80

I agree. Had good luck yesterday at PID.

Just now at Del I saw a Top Power #1 win and pay $41.60. It was race 6.

Knowing when to pull the trigger is my weakness.

Ron
REBel is offline  
Old 09-21-2016, 04:30 PM   #1493
green80
Registered User
 
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Benton, La.
Posts: 1,841
Quote:
Originally Posted by REBel
green80

I agree. Had good luck yesterday at PID.

Just now at Del I saw a Top Power #1 win and pay $41.60. It was race 6.

Knowing when to pull the trigger is my weakness.

Ron
I always bet a top power or top ability when over 10/1. You just have to figure out according to the track where to set your odds minimum. Some such as PID I set my ability odds at 5/2, others higher, but I would say 10/1 anywhere should be a play. Nothing wrong with playing ability and power at the same track with a minimum odds setting.
green80 is offline  
Old 09-21-2016, 05:45 PM   #1494
NorCalGreg
Authorized Advertiser
 
NorCalGreg's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
Quote:
Originally Posted by green80
I'm likely wrong here but...Humbolt N frost won't be on the lead in a 6f sprint. It's easy to get the lead in a route when nobody wants it but at 6f the fractions will be much faster. Why isn't he in a NW3 rather than a non winners other than... alw race? Looks like a cheap claiming nw3 going long would be his spot, only thing going for him is state breds. I'm thinking this horse was claimed because the trainer thought he could fix this horse's problems and this 6f is a test to see where he is at. Anyway if this horse wins you'll need a boxcar to take home all your money.

If I just had to pick something long odds, what about Fear from PID, who has already won 7 races, granted much cheaper, but the horse may not know.

HUMBOLDT went off @ 5-1....forget that.

PLATINUM is killing it in the last races---need or to finish it out @ Belmont

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Attached Images
File Type: png last 5 Belmont.PNG (8.9 KB, 98 views)

Last edited by NorCalGreg; 09-21-2016 at 05:47 PM.
NorCalGreg is offline  
Old 09-21-2016, 05:56 PM   #1495
upthecreek
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2012
Posts: 2,956
Quote:
Originally Posted by NorCalGreg
HUMBOLDT went off @ 5-1....forget that.

PLATINUM is killing it in the last races---need or to finish it out @ Belmont

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pick 4 paid $355 for 50 cents
upthecreek is offline  
Old 09-21-2016, 06:03 PM   #1496
NorCalGreg
Authorized Advertiser
 
NorCalGreg's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
Quote:
Originally Posted by upthecreek
Pick 4 paid $355 for 50 cents
Missed scooping the Pick-6 pot by BRIANBAKESCOOKIES (a best bet) not coming in. Consolation wasn't bad $500 5 of 6. $200 late P-3 and $50 late double.
NorCalGreg is offline  
Old 09-21-2016, 06:38 PM   #1497
NorCalGreg
Authorized Advertiser
 
NorCalGreg's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
Quote:
Originally Posted by NorCalGreg
HUMBOLDT went off @ 5-1....forget that.

PLATINUM is killing it in the last races---need or to finish it out @ Belmont
Thought my ADW balance was "off" ---it was actually me---I had FEAR THE FALCON as winning Race #7---EXCLUDED won it

All I ended up with was the late double

Attached Images
File Type: png last 5 Belmont.PNG (8.9 KB, 89 views)
NorCalGreg is offline  
Old 09-21-2016, 06:53 PM   #1498
NorCalGreg
Authorized Advertiser
 
NorCalGreg's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
CTX

One "DUCK" at the CHUCK

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Attached Images
File Type: png CTX.PNG (16.4 KB, 87 views)

Last edited by NorCalGreg; 09-21-2016 at 06:54 PM.
NorCalGreg is offline  
Old 09-21-2016, 06:55 PM   #1499
REBel
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jan 2002
Location: WEST DES MOINES, IA
Posts: 90
LAD

race 7, # 9. top power & ability. I bet at 11/1.

Ron

Last edited by REBel; 09-21-2016 at 06:58 PM.
REBel is offline  
Old 09-21-2016, 07:04 PM   #1500
NorCalGreg
Authorized Advertiser
 
NorCalGreg's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
The actual story @ Belmont today:

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Attached Images
File Type: jpg top 2 power belmont 921.jpg (100.7 KB, 94 views)
NorCalGreg is offline  
Closed Thread





Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 05:34 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.