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09-01-2018, 06:00 PM
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#1
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Baton Rouge, La
Posts: 1,614
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2018-2019 HONG KONG
Hong Kong at Sha Tin. First race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 84 degrees Showers Wind: S 5 to 10mph.
Post time: 1am ET, 10 pm PT. Rail: Course B, track listed: Good to Yielding
Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20180902_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings
Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 2  Sports Master (5-2): Has shown only one decent out and that was his last going 1800 in a closing effort, shortening up to 1600 here, dont trust these Class 5 runners going a mile or longer.
Horses coming out of key races running today (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race *734 (Winners: 4th & 8th, second: 2nd)
Race 5 Shanghai Dragon (27-1)
Race 5  Super Hero Star (13-1)
In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 3  Southern Legend (5-1)
Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running today:
Race 3  Winners Way (2-1)
Horses for courses running today:
Race 3  Jumbo Luck (7-1)
Race 10 Rattan (2-1)
Distance specialists running today:
Race 3 Southern Legend (5-1)
Race 10 Rattan (2-1)
Class specialists running today:
Race 9 Key Witness (10-1)
Last race watch list horses running today:
Race 5  King Opie (6-5): Was bumped around at the start then rushed himself up to the front, was taken back slightly entering the turn but was bothered by a loose runner soon afterwards. Took a clear lead entering the stretch and looked the winner at the 200 metre mark, but started to tire late and was just caught at the wire while beating the third place runner by over two lengths.
Past watch list runners running today:
None
Key Plays:
Race 5 King Opie (6-5)
Race 7 Turf Sprint (3-1)
Race 9  Speed Vision (7-5)
Longshots:
Race 1  Happy Tour (8-1)
Race 5 All You Need (11-1)
Race 8 General Sherman (15-1)
Computer Picks:
Race 1: 6 3 1 2
Race 2: 10 6 7 1
Race 3: 4 5 2 6
Race 4: 8 4 13 10
Race 5: 4 13 7 10
Race 6: 7 8 2 11
Race 7: 2 5 6 8
Race 8: 4 3 2 9
Race 9: 10 6 11 8
Race 10: 1 13 8 4
__________________
@ShaTinRacing
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09-04-2018, 02:55 PM
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#2
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Baton Rouge, La
Posts: 1,614
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Hong Kong at Happy Valley. Second race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 81 degrees Partly Cloudy 50% of showers Wind: SW 5 mph.
Post time: 6.15am ET, 3.15 am PT. Rail: Course B, track listed: Good
Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20180905_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings
Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 2 Snowhooves (2-1) Out of 43 outs he has only 2 wins with both of them coming on the dirt track at Sha Tin, looking for him to catch traffic while breaking on the rail.
Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race *712 (Winners: 1st & 12th, Second: 2nd)
Race 7  Lucky Girl (8-1)
In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 3 Flying Monkey (7-1)
Race 5 Kings Man (8-1)
Race 5 Wah May Baby (15-1)
Race 6 Fairy Twins (6-1)
Race 7 Lucky Girl (8-1)
Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
Race 5  Speedy Wally (5-2)
Horses for courses running tonight:
Race 7 Multigogo (9-1)
Race 8 Super Turbo (11-1)
Race 8 Cheerfuljet (21-1)
Distance specialists running tonight:
Race 6 Fairy Twins (6-1)
Race 7 Multigogo (9-1)
Race 8 Cheerfuljet (21-1)
Class specialists running tonight:
Race 3 Mr Right (9-1)
Last race watch list horses running tonight:
Race 5 Starlight Knight (5-1) Was forced three wide going into the first turn, became slightly rank in the first turn after a runner directly in front of him also was throwing his head around. He continued in the three path on the backside while racing at the rear of the pack, made a nice move in the turn for home while being forced out to the four path, started to drift in when he straightened up in the stretch while running on his wrong lead, when he did switch he re-gathered himself and continued on well to the wire only to be beaten by the second betting choice who had a much easier trip.
Race 5 Speedy Wally (5-2) Was up closer to the pace than normal while being asked to do so, but was unable to find himself to the rail in the first turn and raced in the 3 path. Rispoli settled him in the back half of the field on the backstretch, was asked by the Italian to pick it up but was still unable to save any ground, ran evenly in the stretch not being able to get near the front runners.
Past watch list runners running tonight:
None
Key Plays:
Race 6  Phantom Falcon (6-1)
Race 8 Fortune Booth (9-5)
Longshots:
Race 3 Mr Right (10-1)
Race 7 Goldfield (12-1)
Selections:
Race 1 1 6 2 7
Race 2 8 3 2 7
Race 3 8 5 2 1
Race 4 3 8 2 4
Race 5 5 7 1 2
Race 6 11 2 3 8
Race 7 1 4 2 3
Race 8 3 2 1 4
__________________
@ShaTinRacing
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09-08-2018, 11:48 PM
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#4
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 17,679
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HONG KONG - SHA TIN - SUN 9/9/18
Good evening and soon to be morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
This is the 3rd race day for this meet. So, I thought I would stop by and post a few pre-race selections for another competitive card that looks to offer some decent value.
There will 10 races at Sha Tin with all 8 on Turf and 2 on the Dirt: (from top to bottom) -
(1)-Class1, (0)-Class2, (3)-Class3, (4)-Class4 & (2)-Class5
Post Time Race #1 12:50 AM SUN EST
Current Hong Kong Weather: https://www.google.com/search?q=Hong...hrome&ie=UTF-8
TVG is offering live video for the all 10 races.
Theres also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#
For those of who might appreciate the value of the LIVE tote action its available here:
(Hit the Back Arrow <-- in the Upper Left and then Click on English)
http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...ng=en&dv=local
Ive already taken a look at the M/Ls in combination with the early odds and used the static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will shed some more light on these and any others I might have missed. The latest tote action (by 4 mins to post) may reveal some things that cause substitutions among the Top 3 picks, but they generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.
BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I cant make a Dutch Win bet Ill generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.
Good Luck if youre playing!
R#1 - 1000M C5 (5F)T
..7-3-6 W/ 9-8
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.12:50 AM EST -
(Also of interest are: #12 Watch Live tote activity)
R#2 - 1400M C1 (7F)T
........ 4-2-3
......
1:20 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #1 Watch Live tote activity)
R#3 - 1600M C3 (8F)T
.....1-5-8 W/ 3-6 .......1:50 AM EST -
(Also of interest are: #2 Watch Live tote activity)
R#4 - 1400M C5 (7F)T
.....5-6-11 W/ 2-8
....2:20 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #10 Watch Live tote activity)
R#5 - 1200M C4 (6F)T.
..
5-1-4 W/ 6-9
....3:10 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #2 Watch Live tote activity)
R#6 - 1200M C4 (6F)D
.2-5-10 W/ 5-7
3:40 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #9 Watch Live tote activity)
R#7 1600M C4 (8F)T
...5-3-2 W/ 7-9 ......4:10 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #11 Watch Live tote activity)
R#8 - 1400M C4 (7F)T
..
8-1-3 W/ 7-5
4:40 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #4 Watch Live tote activity)
R#9 - 1200M C3 (6F)D.
.10-8-4 W/ 9-1-2
.
.5:15 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #5 Watch Live tote activity)
R#10 - 1200M C3 (6F)T....11-5-1 W/ 10-12-4
5:50 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #6 Watch Live tote activity)
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09-11-2018, 08:37 PM
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#5
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2011
Location: Baton Rouge, La
Posts: 1,614
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Hong Kong at Happy Valley. Fourth race meeting of the 2018-2019 year.
Weather report: 79 Degrees Showers 70% Wind: E 15 to 25 mph with gust up to 40mph.
Post time: 7.15am ET, 4.15 am PT. Rail: Course C, track listed: Good
Past Performance links:
http://racing.hkjc.com/racing/content/PDF/RaceCard/20180912_starter_all.pdf
http://www.hkjc.com/english/formguide/1.html SpeedPRO
http://www.drf.com/hk
http://www.scmp.com/sport/racing/racecard
http://www.hkracing.com/interactive/ Pace Ratings
Live Video Feed:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
Vulnerable favourite on the card:
Race 2 Split Of A Second (4-1) Showed early speed when he was stretched out slightly to 1400 metres but stopped badly in the stretch and was placed on the Vets list afterwards, now draws the 11 hole with the short run to the backside turn and may have trouble soon after the start with his speed rival breaking just under him.
Horses coming out of key races running tonight (races where multiple winners have come back next time out and won):
Race *712 (Winners: 6th & 9th, Second: 1st)
Race 5 Right Honourable (4-1)
Race *726 (Winners: 1st, 4th & 7th)
Race 4 Junzi (22-1)
Race *727 (Winners: 1st & 6th, Second: 7th)
Race 2 Clear Choice (6-1)
In the event of rain these horses have shown an appreciation for soft footing. (Good to Yielding or Yielding):
Race 1 Wealthy Fortune (7-1)
Race 3 Namjong Plus (4-1)
Race 5 Ten Flames (6-1)
Race 5 Sparkling Sword (11-1)
Trainer/Jockey/Horse winning combos running tonight:
None
Horses for courses running tonight:
Race 8 Sichuan Dar (8-1)
Race 8 Litterateur (6-1)
Race 8 Winning Faith (9-2)
Race 8 Pretty Bauhinia (7-1)
Distance specialists running tonight:
Race 6 Keep Moving (5-1)
Class specialists running tonight:
None
Last race watch list horses running tonight:
Race 2 Fire And Gold (11-1) Was lucky enough to get Purton for the run at the end of the meet when he was in the battle with Moreira for the Jockey Championship. Settled just off the pace behind the fight on the front end while racing in the two path, started looking for room entering the stretch but was herded by Chadwick, then had to be taken up at the 230 metre mark when Hard Ball Get started tiring and drifted into his path and then bumped pretty hard by Chadwick on Fortune Hunter, was wrapped up afterwards and galloped out for the last 150 metres.
Past watch list runners running tonight:
None
Key Plays:
Race 4 Victory Power (2-1)
Race 5 Right Honourable (4-1)
Race 6 Turf sprint (7-2)
Race 8 Limitless (5-1)
Longshots:
Race 2 Fire And Gold (11-1)
__________________
@ShaTinRacing
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09-15-2018, 08:04 PM
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#6
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 17,679
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Cancellation of the Sha Tin RACE CARD 9-16-18
Cancellation of the Sha Tin race meeting on Sunday
15/09/2018 15:34
In view of the approach of Super Typhoon Mangkhut, The Hong Kong Jockey Club has decided to cancel the race meeting at Sha Tin Racecourse held on Sunday (16 September 2018).
The Club is considering a replacement meeting to be held on 29 December 2018, subject to Government approval, with details to be announced in due course.
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09-16-2018, 03:24 PM
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#7
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Conley
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Fergus,ON
Posts: 3,155
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Nitro
Good evening and soon to be morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
This is the 3rd race day for this meet. So, I thought I would stop by and post a few pre-race selections for another competitive card that looks to offer some decent value.
There will 10 races at Sha Tin with all 8 on Turf and 2 on the Dirt: (from top to bottom) -
(1)-Class1, (0)-Class2, (3)-Class3, (4)-Class4 & (2)-Class5
Post Time Race #1 12:50 AM SUN EST
Current Hong Kong Weather: https://www.google.com/search?q=Hong...hrome&ie=UTF-8
TVG is offering live video for the all 10 races.
Theres also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#
For those of who might appreciate the value of the LIVE tote action its available here:
(Hit the Back Arrow <-- in the Upper Left and then Click on English)
http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...ng=en&dv=local
Ive already taken a look at the M/Ls in combination with the early odds and used the static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will shed some more light on these and any others I might have missed. The latest tote action (by 4 mins to post) may reveal some things that cause substitutions among the Top 3 picks, but they generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.
BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I cant make a Dutch Win bet Ill generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.
Good Luck if youre playing!
R#1 - 1000M C5 (5F)T
..7-3-6 W/ 9-8
.
.12:50 AM EST -
(Also of interest are: #12 Watch Live tote activity)
R#2 - 1400M C1 (7F)T
........ 4-2-3
......
1:20 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #1 Watch Live tote activity)
R#3 - 1600M C3 (8F)T
.....1-5-8 W/ 3-6 .......1:50 AM EST -
(Also of interest are: #2 Watch Live tote activity)
R#4 - 1400M C5 (7F)T
.....5-6-11 W/ 2-8
....2:20 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #10 Watch Live tote activity)
R#5 - 1200M C4 (6F)T.
..
5-1-4 W/ 6-9
....3:10 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #2 Watch Live tote activity)
R#6 - 1200M C4 (6F)D
.2-5-10 W/ 5-7
3:40 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #9 Watch Live tote activity)
R#7 1600M C4 (8F)T
...5-3-2 W/ 7-9 ......4:10 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #11 Watch Live tote activity)
R#8 - 1400M C4 (7F)T
..
8-1-3 W/ 7-5
4:40 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #4 Watch Live tote activity)
R#9 - 1200M C3 (6F)D.
.10-8-4 W/ 9-1-2
.
.5:15 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #5 Watch Live tote activity)
R#10 - 1200M C3 (6F)T....11-5-1 W/ 10-12-4
5:50 AM EST
(Also of interest are: #6 Watch Live tote activity) |
What do you mean by the best racing product?
__________________
Handicapping the world year round' 
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09-16-2018, 03:27 PM
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#8
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 17,679
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CheckMark
What do you mean by the best racing product?
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You mean to tell me that statement needs to be interpreted for you? Well use your imagination and you might get the answer!
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09-17-2018, 09:22 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 17,679
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Transfer of Sha Tin All Weather Track trials to Wed 9-19-18
Transfer of Sha Tin All Weather Track trials to Wednesday 19 September 2018
17/09/2018 15:21
Due to the impact of Super Typhoon Mangkhut on track work operations, the Tuesday 18 September 2018 All Weather Track trials will be transferred to Wednesday 19 September to accommodate requests from Trainers.
The Small All Weather Track will be harrowed on Tuesday, weather permitting and harrowing will not be applied for the Small All Weather Track on Wednesday.
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09-17-2018, 10:13 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2007
Location: Nanaimo, British Columbia, Canada
Posts: 971
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Quote:
Originally Posted by CheckMark
What do you mean by the “best racing product”?
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CheckMark, he means that he believes that racing offered in Hong Kong ('racing product') is the best racing in the world. Biggest fields in general, deepest pools for betting, best oversight of rules of engagement by all concerned, least shenanigans, etc.
Can't say that I disagree with that at all!
Ted
__________________
RDSS - Racing Decision Support System "The Modern Sartin Methodology" . . . . www.rdss2.com
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09-18-2018, 07:11 AM
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#11
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Conley
Join Date: Aug 2016
Location: Fergus,ON
Posts: 3,155
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ted Craven
CheckMark, he means that he believes that racing offered in Hong Kong ('racing product') is the best racing in the world. Biggest fields in general, deepest pools for betting, best oversight of rules of engagement by all concerned, least shenanigans, etc.
Can't say that I disagree with that at all!
Ted
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Ok thanks ted for clairifying
__________________
Handicapping the world year round'
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09-18-2018, 08:07 AM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Sep 2007
Location: Boston+Ocala
Posts: 23,269
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the Kentucky Downs meet was fun to watch and participate in too this year.
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09-18-2018, 01:46 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 17,679
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ted Craven
CheckMark, he means that he believes that racing offered in Hong Kong ('racing product') is the best racing in the world. Biggest fields in general, deepest pools for betting, best oversight of rules of engagement by all concerned, least shenanigans, etc.
Can't say that I disagree with that at all!
Ted
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Very nicely articulated Ted, however I felt my opinionated statement stands on its own merit and really shouldnt require further clarification. As many here probably already know that I am one of the few advocates of Hong Kong racing on this forum as many of my previous posts have demonstrated.
BTW I can acknowledge the truth in your comment only because Im told that you and my mentor have been corresponding on many positive aspects of Hong Kong racing quite a bit. I would also like to mention the name of another avid and very successful HK player who hes been in touch with, but I feel its not my place to share in those endeavors.
Quote:
Originally Posted by lamboguy
the Kentucky Downs meet was fun to watch and participate in too this year.
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Absolutely! And Im sure youve noticed my positive comments about KD on that other thread. What I didnt mention was the success I had due to the judicious betting patterns provided by those who were also playing the races there. Aside from a few obvious factors, the overall product of that short meet was the closest Ive seen to the HK model here in the States. Its no wonder that it was once again so well received by the betting population.
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09-22-2018, 12:01 AM
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#15
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2009
Location: NY
Posts: 17,679
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HONG KONG - SHA TIN - Sat 9/22/18
Good morning to everyone interested in the best racing product on the planet!
I wanted to stop by and share some pre-race selections for another very competitive card that looks to offer some decent value. There will 10 races at Sha Tin with 7 on Turf and 3 on the Dirt: (from top to bottom) -
( 0)-Class1, ( 1)-Class2, ( 4)-Class3, ( 4)-Class4 & ( 1)-Class5
Post Time Race #1 1:00 AM SAT EST
Current Hong Kong Weather: https://www.google.com/search?q=Hong...hrome&ie=UTF-8
TVG is offering live video for the all 10 races.
Theres also Live Video on:
http://www.drf.com/drf/live_video/hong_kong/392221
If you can't view the races try listening on the HK Jockey Club radio: (Click on English) http://www.hkjc.com/english/press/live.asp#
For those of who might appreciate the value of the LIVE tote action its available here:
(Hit the Back Arrow <-- in the Upper Left and then Click on English)
http://bet.hkjc.com/default.aspx?url...ng=en&dv=local
Ive already taken a look at the M/Ls in combination with the early odds and used the static tote analysis to come up with the preliminary picks for each race. Later, the Live tote analysis will shed some more light on these and any others I might have missed. The latest tote action (by 4 mins to post) may reveal some things that cause substitutions among the Top 3 picks, but they generally look fairly decent for some nice Quinella & Tri scores.
BTW the Top 3 picks have continued to produce some nice Dutch Win returns when the combined odds produce Profit Margins higher ^ than 50%. When I cant make a Dutch Win bet Ill generally pay more attention to the Quinellas and perhaps even a Triple play if the combined values add up to decent return.
Good Luck if youre playing!
R#1 - 1200M C4 (6F)D
....6-8-11 W/ 5-1-9
...
.1:00 AM EST -
R#2 - 1200M C5 (6F)D
... 5-1-10 W/ 6-7-12
..
1:30 AM EST
R#3 - 1200M C4 (6F)T
.....3-5-1 W/ 7-11-14 .......2:00 AM EST -
R#4 - 1600M C4 (8F)T
.....1-9-11 W/ 6-13-5
....2:30 AM EST
R#5 - 1400M C4 (7F)T...
5-3-2 W/ 7-1-12
......3:00 AM EST
R#6 - 1200M C3 (6F)D
..2-8-1 W/ 4-5-12
....
3:35 AM EST
R#7 1800M C3 (9F)T
...4-1-5 W/ 3-6 ...............4:05 AM EST
R#8 - 1000M C3 (5F)T
.....2-5-1 W/ 8-12-6
..
4:35 AM EST
R#9 - 1400M C3 (7F)T.
.
.11-8-6 W/ 4-2-12
.
.5:10 AM EST
R#10 - 1400M C2 (7F)T......4-2-1 W/ 13-14-5
..5:45 AM EST
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Kirov (10-1)
