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Aren't you changing your own rules now with your above statement ^^^^. I'm not knocking you for it. I think it does need tweaking and certainly is not for the faint of heart because any way you slice it, the hit rate will be way too low for most to take. Certainly for me. I do like it's contrarian approach, because mostly we are told to "follow the money".
The reason I was interested in your system is because back in the day, one system that was huge with me for awhile was the opposite of your system.Take 6:1 and up and focus on horses getting bet down from their ML. It definitely had it moments and I would sometimes do exacta boxes with multiple qualifiers in the same race and get nice scores. It had more of a hit rate than yours. Smaller payouts, but still usually double digits. The problem I see in both methods is that there is too much left to the wind and not enough control by the handicapper. Of course when the handicapper tries to take control he may not fare much better if he uses general handicapping principles.
I think the solution is to get your system qualifiers and then apply those qualifiers to an angle or angles you know has a positive ROI. You may end up tossing winners here and there, but in the end you will not be betting random losers with no shot and should be in the black if your final filter is a good one.
Last edited by Light; 04-21-2014 at 12:16 PM.
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