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09-03-2016, 02:22 AM
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#1
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First Time Gelding
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 642
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Woodward Day late pick 5
Race 8---Part of me wants to single New York Chrome as he continues to climb up the ladder crushing weaker fields, but I think there is potential for a nice price in the first leg ....the longer I looked at this race the more cases I could make for more horses...the goal here is to survive this leg and maybe catch a price ...i narrowed my ticket to 1,2,3,4,5,9,10
I really wanted to use everyone but 7 and 11 but I will use these 7 and cross my fingers
Race 9- I'm using the logical runners 1,3,5,6 ...part of me wanted to just use the Pletchers but I'll play defensively and take the logical alternatives
Race 10---Thought long and hard about going 5 deep here trying to beat Frosted ...Bradester is flying under the radar and is a perfect 3 for 3 this yr ....I'm wondering if he can run Frosted into the ground and set things up for someone off the pace ...thought about 1,3,4,7,9 but settled on Frosted
Race 11---I really like Off the Tracks here and I think the cutback will be to her advantage and get her a much deserved win ...if the pace gets too hot I'm also using the Lost Raven to come running late at a big price price like she did in the Miss Preakness
Race 12---In Chad Brown I trust ...if I get this far all of the eggs are in the Chad Brown basket on these 2 layoff horses ...nothing else in this field really grabs my attention so I will hope these 2 are ready for a big effort
Ticket---1,2,3,4,5,9,10/1,3,5,6/3/3,7/3,4
Cost---$56
Had I try to beat Frosted the ticket jumps up big time and the extra $200+ didn't seem like the right price to me
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09-03-2016, 03:10 AM
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#2
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First Time Gelding
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 642
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So I'm really tired and posted race 11 for Sunday in this post and for some reason my edit button isn't working ...in race 11 saturday I'm taking Guapaza and Suffused ....so saturday pick 5 ticket should read ....1,2,3,4,5,9,10/1,3,5,6/3/3,6/3,4
Hopefully I didn't confuse anyone!
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09-03-2016, 03:27 AM
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#3
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NoPoints4ME
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 9,854
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To me it depends how the track is playing. I have a slight negative rail I'm seeing for Thur and Fri.
Race 8, if the 10 is a bit sharper, he is a single to me.
Race 9, the obvious 4 you picked look needed to get by as I don't trust Pletcher's 89B fig. That was an 89B through 5 1/2 but if you elongate it to 6F, it's a diminishing 82. Horse he rebuffed could be a need the lead quitter.
Race 10, Frosted as an A BUT I will use some C's in case of an early duel and someone sucking up at a price.
Race 11 and Race 12, still working on opinions.
Good luck buddy!
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09-03-2016, 12:34 PM
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#4
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First Time Gelding
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 642
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The more I look at the 8th the more I agree with you on 10 Neolithic....gonna trim that ticket down and play a few times
2,9,10
1,5,6 ---threw out the Asmussen...i don't think she can beat the 5 but could wear her out for the 1 and 6
3
3,6
3,4
Only an $18 ticket but I'll play it a few times and hope it stays chalky
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09-03-2016, 01:12 PM
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#5
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self medicated
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: toga
Posts: 3,101
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I'll play along
Race 8
, ,
Race 9
,
Race 10
Race 11
, ,
Race 12
,
Good luck folks!
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09-03-2016, 01:26 PM
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#6
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,568
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only from my superficial glance - horses to possibly include
r8 - (rough go last, price is right)
r9 - looks formful , nothing too fancy
r10 - (possible wire threat)
r11 - (several models in a postive direction (post, trainer, jock, style, price)
r12 - (the other chad brown)
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-03-2016, 03:10 PM
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#7
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First Time Gelding
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 642
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Quote:
Originally Posted by burnsy
I'll play along
Race 8
, ,
Race 9
,
Race 10
Race 11
, ,
Race 12
,
Good luck folks!
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Cherry Lodge beat a very very very fast customer last time out ...i can't leave her out of the 9th
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09-03-2016, 03:29 PM
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#8
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,568
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$213 wagered
Strategy = Weigh heavily on Bradester as an 'A'
treat my above longshots as 'b's with $2As , and .50c As1B , As2B
$2[2910
156
34
36
42]=$144
$.50[6
156
34
36
42] =$12
$.50[2910
156
34
1
42]=$18
$.50[2910
156
34
36
3]=$18
$.50[6
156
34
1
42]=$6
$.50[6
156
34
36
3]=$6
$.50[2910
156
34
1
3]=$9
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
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09-03-2016, 03:57 PM
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#9
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2008
Posts: 67
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Toga pick 5
8-5,10,12
9-1,5,7
10-3,1
11-6.10
12-3,4,6,9
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09-03-2016, 04:24 PM
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#10
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Saratoga, NY
Posts: 393
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Quote:
Originally Posted by arw629
Race 8---Part of me wants to single New York Chrome as he continues to climb up the ladder crushing weaker fields, but I think there is potential for a nice price in the first leg ....the longer I looked at this race the more cases I could make for more horses...the goal here is to survive this leg and maybe catch a price ...i narrowed my ticket to 1,2,3,4,5,9,10
I really wanted to use everyone but 7 and 11 but I will use these 7 and cross my fingers
Race 9- I'm using the logical runners 1,3,5,6 ...part of me wanted to just use the Pletchers but I'll play defensively and take the logical alternatives
Race 10---Thought long and hard about going 5 deep here trying to beat Frosted ...Bradester is flying under the radar and is a perfect 3 for 3 this yr ....I'm wondering if he can run Frosted into the ground and set things up for someone off the pace ...thought about 1,3,4,7,9 but settled on Frosted
Race 11---I really like Off the Tracks here and I think the cutback will be to her advantage and get her a much deserved win ...if the pace gets too hot I'm also using the Lost Raven to come running late at a big price price like she did in the Miss Preakness
Race 12---In Chad Brown I trust ...if I get this far all of the eggs are in the Chad Brown basket on these 2 layoff horses ...nothing else in this field really grabs my attention so I will hope these 2 are ready for a big effort
Ticket---1,2,3,4,5,9,10/1,3,5,6/3/3,7/3,4
Cost---$56
Had I try to beat Frosted the ticket jumps up big time and the extra $200+ didn't seem like the right price to me
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That's the 11th on sunday
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09-03-2016, 04:30 PM
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#11
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NoPoints4ME
Join Date: Sep 2013
Posts: 9,854
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10
1356
3
All
All
.50 Pick 5, cost $200
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09-03-2016, 04:32 PM
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#12
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 12,402
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I really wanted to spend a pile and go super deep in leg one here since it seems like the path to riches was to beat the 9 and 10 and seems like there are a handful and a half that could get it done. But, I just couldn't trim up later legs to my satisfaction despite liking mainly obvious contenders. Instead played a small ticket with my narrow top pick here as a single hoping the big pool and big field can reward a single in the opening leg and some smallish prices down the line even if the short price favorite gets home here.
10 - 1,3,5,6 - 1,3 - 3,6,8,10 - 1,2,4 = $48
__________________
"You make me feel like I am fun again."
-Robert James Smith, 1989
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09-03-2016, 04:39 PM
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#13
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Registered User
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 12,402
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Quote:
Originally Posted by johnhannibalsmith
I really wanted to spend a pile and go super deep in leg one here since it seems like the path to riches was to beat the 9 and 10 and seems like there are a handful and a half that could get it done. But, I just couldn't ...
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__________________
"You make me feel like I am fun again."
-Robert James Smith, 1989
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09-03-2016, 04:40 PM
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#14
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First Time Gelding
Join Date: Sep 2014
Posts: 642
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SMH...
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09-03-2016, 04:40 PM
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#15
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clean money
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 23,568
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jose ortiz @ 35/1
arw629 only player left?
OOPs , didn't see that you saved some money on your ticket
__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
Last edited by Robert Fischer; 09-03-2016 at 04:41 PM.
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