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12-27-2018, 09:26 PM
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#16
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Beat up 💪
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Beach life in Fort Lauderdale
Posts: 11,938
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Quote:
Originally Posted by dilanesp
You can't analyze a multi-horse wager by just looking at the payoffs.
A horse could pay $9 and be on very few tickets, if there's a 2 to 5 favorite in the race. In the next race, a horse could pay $17 and be on numerous tickets, because the race is a grab bag with several contenders.
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Good point. I looked at the charts. He did beat a couple of $1.00 horses, but all in all, these were competitive races with many evenly bet logical contenders. He threaded the needle well.
Today at Gulfstream.
$0.20 PICK SIX-$288,350.74
Also, Pik 3, races 4, 5 & 6
$2 PICK THREE 1/4/8 $42,442.20
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12-28-2018, 11:37 AM
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#17
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 946
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fuss
Today at Gulfstream.
$0.20 PICK SIX-$288,350.74
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May never know if this bettor had tickets other than the $9.60 ticket that took down the pool, but that ticket was a lesson in how to spend less than $10 and take a shot.
He/she stuck to favorites in 3 of the legs: an odds-on single, and used the 2 and 3 lowest priced horses in the other two legs. In the other 3 legs, he was bar-belled, using the favorite and a long shot. All three of the long shots won.
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12-28-2018, 03:20 PM
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#18
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2012
Posts: 8,798
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cholly
May never know if this bettor had tickets other than the $9.60 ticket that took down the pool, but that ticket was a lesson in how to spend less than $10 and take a shot.
He/she stuck to favorites in 3 of the legs: an odds-on single, and used the 2 and 3 lowest priced horses in the other two legs. In the other 3 legs, he was bar-belled, using the favorite and a long shot. All three of the long shots won.
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Absolutely!
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12-29-2018, 09:21 PM
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#19
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Beat up 💪
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Beach life in Fort Lauderdale
Posts: 11,938
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cholly
May never know if this bettor had tickets other than the $9.60 ticket that took down the pool, but that ticket was a lesson in how to spend less than $10 and take a shot.
He/she stuck to favorites in 3 of the legs: an odds-on single, and used the 2 and 3 lowest priced horses in the other two legs. In the other 3 legs, he was bar-belled, using the favorite and a long shot. All three of the long shots won.
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I've been meaning to ask. How do you have insight into what the winning ticket cost and the number of horses in the sequences? Is that available somewhere? Thanks.
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12-30-2018, 12:37 AM
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#20
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2008
Posts: 946
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Fuss
I've been meaning to ask. How do you have insight into what the winning ticket cost and the number of horses in the sequences? Is that available somewhere? Thanks.
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https://www.paulickreport.com/horsep...ttor-for-288k/
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12-30-2018, 05:09 PM
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#21
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Beat up 💪
Join Date: Jun 2002
Location: Beach life in Fort Lauderdale
Posts: 11,938
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Thanks. A Press Release.
I don't play the Pick 6 but I'm against a .20 cent pick 6 because it's basically paying Journeyman rates to Apprentices. Historically, Pick 6 play has been reserved for the players with firm wallets, strong opinions and skills honed over time.
But since I don't play it , its benign to what I'm doing.
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12-31-2018, 12:29 PM
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#22
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2011
Posts: 4,285
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cholly
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That shows the winning ticket. The bettor may have been using an A-B-C method and had 18 or 20 losing tickets as well. Regardless it was a great score. I am sure the track would prefer that a bettor won putting up only $9.60 so that all the small players continue chasing the rainbow.
__________________
Best writing advice ever received: Never use a long word when a diminutive one will suffice.
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12-31-2018, 04:26 PM
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#23
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Registered User
Join Date: Feb 2010
Posts: 2,749
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Quote:
Originally Posted by AndyC
That shows the winning ticket. The bettor may have been using an A-B-C method and had 18 or 20 losing tickets as well. Regardless it was a great score. I am sure the track would prefer that a bettor won putting up only $9.60 so that all the small players continue chasing the rainbow.
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Looking at the size of the pools , it appears the conventional pick 6 is gone for good at Santa Anita. I wouldn't be surprised if Del Mar goes to the rainbow Pick 6 also.
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12-31-2018, 11:34 PM
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#24
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2015
Location: Denver
Posts: 4,163
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If they ever started giving us the money that used to go to breakage, the $20 a day players will be asking for penny bets
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01-02-2019, 01:01 AM
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#25
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2017
Posts: 83
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And how about that grrreat pick 4. I hit it yesterday. The $1 payoff was $2328. The odds of the four winners were 6-1, 14-1, 7/2, 10-1. That means a $1 parlay would have paid $5200. There's some value for Peter to chew on.\\
Joke.
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01-02-2019, 02:22 PM
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#26
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Registered User
Join Date: Dec 2012
Location: Philadelphia area
Posts: 9,609
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ronsmac
Peter Lurie just said those who are complaining about the 20c pick 6 at santa anita and prefer the $2 pick 6, just play the 20c pick 6 for 2 dollars. I'm dumbfounded. He just showed a total lack of understanding of how the pick 6 works.
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That guy is absolutely DRAINING!! The poor girl working with him; she must have drew the shortest straw....jeez!! Definitely a mute button situation here 
__________________
A wet track can cause handicapping havoc!!
Last edited by coachv30; 01-02-2019 at 02:24 PM.
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