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Old 01-30-2019, 05:15 PM   #1
Blenheim
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Withers Stakes PPs

Withers Stakes PPs
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Old 01-30-2019, 09:01 PM   #2
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I bet Tax in the Remsen and look to bet him back here. Will he go favorite?

Looking at Tax over Lucky Lee and Not That Brady in an exacta.
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Old 01-31-2019, 11:05 PM   #3
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Lucky Lee doesn't look back . . .

Interesting race.

Looks like Tax is the one to beat in this running of the Withers.

It'll be interesting to see if that Remsen meant anything w/ Maximus Mischief goin' in the Holy Bull and Tax goin' in this one. I liked but couldn't make the case for the Pletcher charge, Moretti. Nor could I make the case for Admire. Our Braintrust looked like a good one in the Jerome finishing willingly, but his speed figure may have topped off at 94 and his works . . . where is Caa?

I like Lucky Lee in this one. Shipped to Palm Meadows after his last, got in four good works, nothing spectacular, but the 5f and 6f works were nice; ships back, gets the jock who wired em' on the same track in the Remsen (JKyw/TR 30%/60%). I figure he gets out front on the bias, doesn't look back. Pennington captures the Remsen and the Withers . . .



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Old 02-01-2019, 12:49 PM   #4
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Yeah, I agree that Tax is the one to beat. Sir Winston's record is not impressive; not sure why he's getting 120 lbs, except that he seems to be doing better with longer races.
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Old 02-01-2019, 02:48 PM   #5
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Tax looks like a very beatable favorite here. He ultimately gave up almost two lengths to the Remsen winner in the final 3/8th after walking the first six panels. He does get benefit of hot rail and rider so I cannot completely toss.

Sir Winston would be a surprise to find the picture here. Decently bred horse has not found his best game on poly and that's about the only angle I see here.

Moretti is the TAP entry and gets the shades. Would need to drastically improve here. His winning maiden breaker was in a painfully slow raw time. Might need a slow pace to breakdown which is something I won't plan on.

Admire will is potentially more dangerous than his last out slop victory suggests however I'd think nine panels is stretching the limit for a Cairo Prince. Dale Romans always make me nervous when I don't use him in these early preps.

Lucky Lee ran a nice allowance last out scoring a 100 Bris figure on a good track. I like this colt and the trainer but have a tough time trusting Parx form. He might need a theft and it's certainly possible given the only other speed on paper being in the seven hole.

Our Braintrust is a female family 23-b and those always need to be monitored. I was not impressed with Jerome however he ran a fair final quarter in approximately 25.4

Not That Brady is the other speed horse but will need a little extra pep to get around the five. I can forgive the 27 second final quarter on drying track last out but he wasn't much better in previous, granted he drew off winning by 11. He's 3 for 3 hitting exacta on the surface.

I don't have a strong opinion here and will consider sitting this one out.
I'd otherwise likely use some combination of on top of
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Old 02-02-2019, 04:00 PM   #6
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Exactas

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Old 02-02-2019, 04:28 PM   #7
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#4 admire. 5 win, 10 place, 20 show
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Old 02-02-2019, 04:40 PM   #8
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Immortal6 View Post
I bet Tax in the Remsen and look to bet him back here. Will he go favorite?

Looking at Tax over Lucky Lee and Not That Brady in an exacta.
Tax was ultimately bet down to the 2-1 favorite.

The exacta payed $41.60

Really surprised they didn't take NtB down to 3rd for coming out like he did.
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