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Old 08-06-2011, 03:03 PM   #1
PhantomOnTour
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Whitney Thread!

Somebody had better start one....

#10 Apart seems to be a getting a lot of talk by a some media types, but i don't see him winning...too slow in my book.

#3 Morning Line and #7 Rail Trip are ultra consistent...right there almost every time. ML has some serious pace figs and may control this race.

#1 Flat Out has the big fig but now must duplicate that around two turns on another surface at a MUCH lower price than last.

#5 Tizway has a huge fig as well, but does he want 2 turns and 9f???

#6 Mission Impazible is running well this year but doesn't win much...seems like an overachiever that really isn't as good as the top older horses but fights it out every time anyway.

#2 Friend Or Foe has run very fast at times, but has had 3 tries in graded company (2 at Sar) and has come up short.

I think we will see half a dozen btw 4-1 and 8-1 when they run this thing.
What a challenge, and you should get a nice payday if you take down this tri or super.

Right now I am leaning to Morning Line:
> likes the Spa and the distance
> is the controlling pace, and speed/stalk has been king most of this meet
> speed figs are good enough also if the 113 Beyers aren't repeated
> savvy but slumping trainer has won this race a few times

Tough one...talk to me.
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Old 08-06-2011, 03:08 PM   #2
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I'm going with Flat Out. I don't think the last was a fluke, and he should get a nice setup today.
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Old 08-06-2011, 03:17 PM   #3
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
I'm going with Flat Out. I don't think the last was a fluke, and he should get a nice setup today.
Can't say I love him, but it seems to set up for him. I don't think the speed is going to get away with cheap fractions here.
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Old 08-06-2011, 03:20 PM   #4
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cj
I'm going with Flat Out. I don't think the last was a fluke, and he should get a nice setup today.
I hear ya'
He has worked very well since that big fig, so that will alleviate the bounce concerns for his supporters. If he brings that race again it is over.

He's on my ticket, but so is almost everyone else at this juncture.
Seriously though, I'm mainly a tri and 10 cent super player and cannot get by the ALL button for the bottom slot in this race.
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Old 08-06-2011, 03:50 PM   #5
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The New York-bred FRIEND OR FOE looked good on June 5 when taking the Easy Goer S. by a head over RAIL TRIP. FOF has come up short in the past but maybe today will be the one that puts his name in lights against a field of some strong veterans.
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Old 08-06-2011, 03:56 PM   #6
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Tizway and ML here for me
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Old 08-06-2011, 04:17 PM   #7
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Flat Out looks for real.
Morning Line might be ready run back to his good numbers at 9F.
Rail Trip outside shot to improve

Giant Oak going backwards - out
Tizway - can't see him running back to that big number, especially around two turns - out
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Old 08-06-2011, 04:26 PM   #8
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Morning Line. Will be my bet of the day if I can get 10/1.
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Old 08-06-2011, 05:07 PM   #9
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Under card - American Lady in the Test.
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Old 08-06-2011, 05:08 PM   #10
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For the test Roman Treasure...but generally speaking, anything but Turbulent Descent, wouldn't consider her at 4-1
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Old 08-06-2011, 05:09 PM   #11
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Under card - American Lady in the Test.
I think the Roman Treasure represents the best value in the Test at 8-1. Call me crazy...
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Old 08-06-2011, 05:16 PM   #12
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Well, I saw it, but I still cannot make the even a contender, let alone bet her to win!

PA, your killed my ! Grrrrr.
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Old 08-06-2011, 05:17 PM   #13
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I actually had TD as my third choice...shows you what we know Tom...

I'll take horses like Roman Treasure at 8-1 any day...onto the Whitney!
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Old 08-06-2011, 05:17 PM   #14
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Agree, I still also think TB winning at <evens was a minus EV result in the long run.
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Old 08-06-2011, 05:23 PM   #15
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