*Handicapping Methods-Spot Play Testing-Software Etc

[Winger]

Originally Posted by Winger

Current Bankroll: $232.10 (+$32.10 - 51 Races)
Wager = $6 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: 2/1 minimum odds at 0 MTP

Today's Selections:
DED-9 It's Time To B (9/5) Wager Failed
MVR-5 Designator (6/1)
MVR-6 Dancing Rico (7/2)
MVR-8 Mighty Hutch (10/1)
PEN-6 Forest Breeze (5/2)
TAM-3 Rockin Rosie (6/1)


==================================================
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.
All require min odds of 2/1

Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
CTX-7 Queen of the Hill (4/1)
MVR-8 Tacky Angel (5/2) ExBox with 1st... 4.80

1st or 2nd with new trainer, with recent activity and a recent strong speed figure.
CTX-4 Flashy Bargirl (6/1)
CTX-7 WellSeeAboutThat (1/1) ExBox with from above Win Wager failed, Exacta returned 8.60
CTX-8 I'll Play My hand (5/2) Wager failed
GPX-3 Galatasaray (12/1)
GPX-6 Starship Brooklyn (2/1) Wager Failed
TAM-7 Aribelle (7/2)

Tough day

[Winger]

Current Bankroll: $202.10 (+$2.10 - 56 Races)
Wager = $6 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: Minimum Odds condition removed.

Today's Selections:
CTX-1 Job Of My Own (7/2)
CTX-2 Sunshine Carolyn (5/1)
DED-2 Ole Doc (2/1)
GGX-4 Pick By The Box (2/1)


==================================================
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.
All require min odds of 2/1

Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
AQU-5 Our Luck (2/1)


1st or 2nd with new trainer, with recent activity and a recent strong speed figure.
AQU-7 LittleMissPerfect (4/1)
OPX-3 Gem City Gal (4/1)
PEN-1 Riverwalk Weekend (5/1)
PEN-7 Delayd Enagement (5/2)
SAX-7 Journey On (7/2)


Inspired by Greg, these picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page
AQU-2 Caspian Crown (3/1)
AQU-3 Annie Rocks (3/1)
AQU-5 Our Luck (2/1)
CTX-4 Synerist (6/1)
DED-4 M J's Big Top (6/1)
GPX-1 Peter Castleboy (2/1)
GPX-3 Keepin It Zeal (2/1)
GPX-9 Fond of Sarah (9/2)
OPX-7 Foxy Fleda (4/1)
OPX-8 Right Now Richie (6/1)
PEN-6 Doherty (8/1)

[NorCalGreg]

***The lotto $1 straight superfecta:AQUEDUCT~Race-8 -->> 7-3-4-6


Took a look at a horse I'd made a note on ---ended up 'capping the entire card, trolling for longshots:

-- AQUEDUCT

3RD ARCH OR NOTHING 20-1

5TH THINK 10-1

6TH GANADOR 10-1

7TH LOTSA NOODLES 15-1 & MORE THAN RAINBOWS 8-1 *dutch* *ex/box*

8TH MAKE THE MOMENT 12-1

(see my write-up in another thread)

*W/P ALL

🗽NCG

[green80]

11th Race Delta Downs Midnite Dance, I think will run good tonight @ ML 15/1. Washed out from lasix last time out. Should improve off 1st start.

[NorCalGreg]

Horses To Watch/Ready To Win


AQU
3 - 2 Takrees 7-2
8 - 3 Rachel's Temper 4-1

CT
6 - 5 Dreamingoffirst 5/2

DED
4 - 4 Fire Lake 5/2
4 - 7 Five Card Congress 3-1
8 - 8 Mighty Intimidator 4-1

FG
6 - 9 Jus Kevin 6-1
7 - 4 Zip Ridge 8-1
10 - 6 Thunderstruckagain 5-1

OP
3 - 8 Ivy Jo 5-1
7 - 3 Lena Love 8-1
8 - 2 Right Now Richie 6-1

PEN
5 - 3 Go Daddy Girl 5/2

SA
4 - 6 Betty's Joy 15-1


🎲NCG

[Winger]

Originally Posted by Winger

Current Bankroll: $202.10 (+$2.10 - 56 Races)
Wager = $6 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: Minimum Odds condition removed.

Today's Selections:
CTX-1 Job Of My Own (7/2)
CTX-2 Sunshine Carolyn (5/1)
DED-2 Ole Doc (2/1) Scratched
GGX-4 Pick By The Box (2/1)


==================================================
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.
All require min odds of 2/1

Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
AQU-5 Our Luck (2/1)


1st or 2nd with new trainer, with recent activity and a recent strong speed figure.
AQU-7 LittleMissPerfect (4/1)
OPX-3 Gem City Gal (4/1) Race Cancelled
PEN-1 Riverwalk Weekend (5/1)
PEN-7 Delayd Enagement (5/2)
SAX-7 Journey On (7/2)


Inspired by Greg, these picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page
AQU-2 Caspian Crown (3/1) 1st... 9.50
AQU-3 Annie Rocks (3/1)
AQU-5 Our Luck (2/1)
CTX-4 Synerist (6/1)
DED-4 M J's Big Top (6/1)
GPX-1 Peter Castleboy (2/1) 1st... 4.60
GPX-3 Keepin It Zeal (2/1)
GPX-9 Fond of Sarah (9/2)
OPX-7 Foxy Fleda (4/1) Race Cancelled
OPX-8 Right Now Richie (6/1) Race Cancelled
PEN-6 Doherty (8/1)

Another rough day. I'm still refining some of these.

[Winger]

Lots of wagers today. Let's see how it works out.

Current Bankroll: $184.10 (-$15.90 - 59 Races)
Wager = $5 Win (2.5% of day's starting bankroll, rounded up, $2 min)
Condition: Minimum Odds condition removed.

Today's Selections:
GGX-3 Soviet City (7/2)
LRL-8 Bama Sun (3/1)
OPX-9 Sophias Big Girl (10/1)
PEN-3 Buffalo (3/1)
SAX-5 Close To The Edge (8/1)

==================================================
These descriptions here aren't all-inclusive but it is the base of the angle.

Hit the board in the last 4 with no class change this race.
CTX-5 Closet Affair (2/1)
TPX-10 Grand Kuma (4/1)

1st or 2nd with new trainer, with recent activity and a recent strong speed figure.
AQU-3 Bust Another (7/2)
AQU-7 Now We Are Free (6/1)
DED-4 Ironclad (8/5)
FGX-4 Set The Sail (7/2)
FGX-7 Aliana (2/1)
FGX-8 R M Money Talks (8/5)
GGX-2 Drink Til You Drop (7/5)
LRL-3 Strike N Spare (10/1) & Cousin Michael (10/1)
OPX-2 Back in Dixie (8/5)
OPX-3 Speedy Gunzalious (12/1)
SAX-5 Syndicated (4/1)
TAM-1 ALittleBitOfCandy (2/1)
TAM-9 Quiet Rebel (8/1)

Inspired by Greg, these picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page.
AQU-3 Tiz Long Gone (12/1)
AQU-7 Now We Are Free (6/1)
CTX-5 Closet Affair (2/1)
DED-4 Durban Park (12/1)
DED-7 Red White and Guru (12/1)
DED-9 Netcents (8/1)
LAX-1 Lockheart (6/1)
LAX-2 Soul Crusher (5/1)
LRL-1 Twisted Early (9/2)
LRL-5 Sugimoto (5/2)
PEN-3 Christophers Joy (6/1)
SAX-7 Fast Magoo (4/1)
SUN-1 Infinite Bull (2/1)
TAM-3 Litle Comma (12/1)
TPX-3 BetweenHereAndCool (1/1)
TPX-5 Hathraan (8/1)
TPX-6 Lil J (5/2)

Exotics (only playing on paper)
AQU-3 $2 Exacta Box: /
DED-4 $2 Exacta Box: /
LRL-3 $2 Exacta Box: /
LRL-8 $2 Exacta Box: /
PEN-3 $2 Exacta Box: /
SAX-4 $2 Exacta Box: /

[NorCalGreg]

⚡ BEST BETS ⚡

STARTING BANKROLL $1000 -AMERICAN

❇ $100 BASE BET---SQUARE ROOT OF PROFIT ADDED EACH DAY ❇

O3/11/16

DELTA RACE 3 BRING ME THE CASH 15-1 ML

TAMPA RACE 6 IAMAHANDSOMEMAN 6-1 ML


I'm confident I can triple this bankroll---before tapping out---there isn't a play every day, avg 2-4 per week


✨NCG




*keep in mind--I'm just some guy on the internet that you don't know----watch, but please DON'T BET

[NorCalGreg]

***The lotto $1 straight superfecta:AQUEDUCT~Race-4 -->> 5-4-2-7

Had 3 or 4 winners yesterday--price-wise, nothing to write home about.

These are a good assortment, today. 5 nice longshots--all with a better chance to win than their ML would indicate. I'll be betting all 5--Win & Place.

--AQUEDUCT

3RD TIZ LONG GONE 12-1 💲 W/P

4TH FRATELLO DEL NORD 20-1 💲 W/P

9TH JEREMY'S SONG 6-1

--FAIRGROUNDS

3RD CONTINENTAL CLUB 7/2 (Not a big price-- just had an outstanding pace line for this race)

--GULFSTREAM

1ST AMBERJACK 15-1 💲 W/P

7TH SMORGASBORD 6-1

--OAKLAWN

6TH JOY BOY 6-1

--PENN

3RD CHRISTOPHER'S JOY 6-1

--TAMPA

7TH BONETOWN WILD 15-1 💲 W/P

8TH NORMANDY CROSSING 15-1 💲 W/P

have a good day

🎲NCG

[NorCalGreg]

WINGER: Inspired by Greg, these picks come straight from the Bris Summary Page.
AQU-3 Tiz Long Gone (12/1)


lol.....TIZ' is one of my longshot plays today

[NorCalGreg]

We've all seen horses entered back within 10 days---The fewest days I think I've seen has been three.
Some of them win--at huge prices. Being back to the races quickly can be a sign a trainer has a horse ready to win--and wants to get him out on the track as soon as possible.

Or--it could just be another trainer willing to try anything to get his horse to run, or to confuse bettors--who knows? I do know they can't be bet blind, that's for sure.

I came up with a way to screen these horses--at least for competent connections: By requiring either TRAINER OR JOCKEY win at least 20%--one or the other. That HAS to cut down on the dreamers--and leave more serious contenders.

At least it sounds good. I didn't require any odds at all--just the horse must be back in 9 days or less--and Trainer or Jockey win 20+%.

These are what I found today---we'll see how they do.

AQ
2ND- SWEET PURSUIT.... TR-23%
4TH- FRATELLO DEL NORD... TR-23%
9TH- JEREMY'S SONG....... TR-23%

GPX
1ST- AMBERJACK.......J-20%

LAUREL
8TH- ACADEMIC AFFAIR........TR-24%

PENN
5TH- POISED FOR ACTION......TR-22%

TAMPA
5TH- MS SHORT FUSE......J-21%
6TH- THUNDERINWILLIE......J-24%

-NCG☮

[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by green80

11th Race Delta Downs Midnite Dance, I think will run good tonight @ ML 15/1. Washed out from lasix last time out. Should improve off 1st start.

Keep us posted, greenie

[green80]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

Keep us posted, greenie

She actually ran faster than her first out. Unfortunately the race went faster too.

[NorCalGreg]

⚡ BEST BETS ⚡

STARTING BANKROLL $1000 -AMERICAN

❇ $100 BASE BET---SQUARE ROOT OF PROFIT ADDED EACH DAY ❇

O3/11/16

DELTA RACE 3 BRING ME THE CASH 15-1 ML *RAN OUT*

TAMPA RACE 6 IAMAHANDSOMEMAN 6-1 ML *SCRATCHED*

-$100 --CURRENT BANKROLL =$900
---------------------------------------------------------------
O3/12/16

TODAYS WAGER = $100 TO WIN




*LAUREL RACE 9 ⭐ ROARING TIDE ⭐ 6-1



✨NCG




*keep in mind--I'm just some guy on the internet that you don't know----watch but please DON'T BET

[NorCalGreg]

Was asked if I REALLY DO bet these *BEST BET* horses----yes, I really do, so no need to wonder anymore.