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06-05-2017, 11:35 PM
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#16
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by n.c
0-8 on 3-1 and under
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Hey N.C.
You got it bro just horrible
His barn has just been awful lately
Last edited by TheOracle; 06-05-2017 at 11:36 PM.
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06-06-2017, 08:43 AM
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#17
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Hey N.C.
You got it bro just horrible
His barn has just been awful lately
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Hey N.C.
If the pattern continues it looks like he will be off the board in the next outing and then a 2nd place finish for the one after that for this situation
It will be interesting to see if he will eventually get a win in the near future
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06-06-2017, 07:30 PM
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#18
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2017
Posts: 214
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Chad Brown
on fav's seem to hit at a high rate, at least the place..Mott needs to get a chemist working for him
I still like Mott, seems like a honest trainer.
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06-06-2017, 07:32 PM
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#19
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2017
Posts: 214
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Motion, Mott, Clement
seems like Turf traners cheat less than Dirt trainers.
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06-06-2017, 09:15 PM
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#20
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by n.c
Chad Brown
on fav's seem to hit at a high rate, at least the place..Mott needs to get a chemist working for him
I still like Mott, seems like a honest trainer.
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Hey N.C.
Yes, Brown hits at a high rate when his horses Morning Lines are less than 3-1
His horses are winning at 46.8% but you are only getting a 9% return on your money per $2 win wager when they are less than 3-1 in the Morning Line
You get a much better return at distances of 1 Mile or better
His horses are winning at 54.5% and you are getting a 29% return per $2 win wager so this might be where it is best to play his horses
Back to back wins seem to be followed by a loss then a win almost every other time
So I guess the chemist likes route races !!!
Last edited by TheOracle; 06-06-2017 at 09:19 PM.
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06-17-2017, 10:59 PM
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#21
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2017
Posts: 214
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if you target Brown, you can make money, you can come out
ahead
how about just doubling your betting moneys?? on Brown horses
10 dollars, if y ou lose, next time 20, if you lose, put 40, if you lose put 80 and if you lose put 160. so he only has to win once every 5 times
if he does not win the 5th time, just stop betting his horses
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06-17-2017, 11:04 PM
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#22
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2017
Posts: 214
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10 dollars would have resulted in
a 120 dollar return
you put 10 to win
if you lose, put 20
if you lose , put 40
if you win, go back to putting 10 dollars
This on a mile and longer races
Last edited by n.c; 06-17-2017 at 11:09 PM.
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06-18-2017, 09:12 AM
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#23
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Registered User
Join Date: Jan 2005
Location: away from the ice and snow.....
Posts: 120
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and find a bridge
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06-18-2017, 12:10 PM
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#24
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by n.c
a 120 dollar return
you put 10 to win
if you lose, put 20
if you lose , put 40
if you win, go back to putting 10 dollars
This on a mile and longer races
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Hey N.C.
You might have to go win, lose, lose, win which seems to be the new pattern so I think you need just 1 more win bet hahaha !!!!
Quote:
Originally Posted by mikeb
and find a bridge
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Hey Mike, what if you jump off the bridge and he wins his next race? You won't be able to cash hahaha lol !!!
At any rate, since this post, when his horses were less than 3-1 in the Morning Line at distances of 1 Mile or better his wins were followed by 2 losses
So maybe he gets a win in his next outing in this situation
I will be keeping an eye one it today!!!
Last edited by TheOracle; 06-18-2017 at 12:12 PM.
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06-18-2017, 12:36 PM
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#25
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Hey N.C.
You might have to go win, lose, lose, win which seems to be the new pattern so I think you need just 1 more win bet hahaha !!!!
Hey Mike, what if you jump off the bridge and he wins his next race? You won't be able to cash hahaha lol !!!
At any rate, since this post, when his horses were less than 3-1 in the Morning Line at distances of 1 Mile or better his wins were followed by 2 losses
So maybe he gets a win in his next outing in this situation
I will be keeping an eye one it today!!!
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He has 9 entered today at Belmont surprise surprise!!!
These are less than 3-1 in the Morning Line at distances of 1 Mile or better
If the pattern holds it looks like #3 Minsky Moment will win in the 5th and #2 Projected will lose in the 8th
Let's see what happens and how far your $10 roll will go hahaha lol!!!
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06-18-2017, 05:39 PM
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#26
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Veteran
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 3,428
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Hey N.C.
You might have to go win, lose, lose, win which seems to be the new pattern so I think you need just 1 more win bet hahaha !!!! ...
So maybe he gets a win in his next outing in this situation
I will be keeping an eye one it today!!!
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Is this the way you handicap?
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06-18-2017, 06:22 PM
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#27
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2014
Posts: 3,625
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Quote:
Originally Posted by whodoyoulike
Is this the way you handicap?
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Hey Who
To be honest, I don't handicap anymore N.C. and I were just having a laugh at Brown and wouldn't you know it #3 Minsky Moment won and #2 Projected lost just as we joked
Don't you just love this game hahaha lol !!!
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06-18-2017, 06:32 PM
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#28
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Registered User
Join Date: Apr 2017
Posts: 214
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does not matter what angle it is
it is very tough to break even...but you can make $$$, if you quit after making your money.
Saratoga- Chad Brown- He wants to win Saratoga title, every year, going against Pletcher..on turf he is tough, just place straight win bets on Chad Brown, and once you are up 100 or 200%, just quit. Problem is, horse players never quit.
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06-18-2017, 06:48 PM
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#29
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Veteran
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 3,428
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle
Hey Who
To be honest, I don't handicap anymore N.C. and I were just having a laugh at Brown and wouldn't you know it #3 Minsky Moment won and #2 Projected lost just as we joked
Don't you just love this game hahaha lol !!!
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I didn't realize you no longer handicap. And, I do love this game. I always have a little laugh when I hear or see someone say the next winner will be because of win, lose, lose, lose etc.
Btw, I really like your database info. Kind of envious.
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06-18-2017, 07:08 PM
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#30
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Registered User
Join Date: Mar 2017
Location: Baystater
Posts: 3,494
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Mott had a stakes winner in the eighth at Belmont today
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