"Periods Of Rain" - "Up to 1/4" Inch"

[TheGarMan]

Good morning all,

Not sure what to make of this latest forecast?

UV INDEX - 4 of 10
Sunrise 6:41 am
Sunset 8:37 pm
Periods of rain. High 68F. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80%. Rainfall near a quarter of an inch.

I understand from prior years that the Churchill surface takes water pretty well. So a 1/4" may not be a big deal. I guess we will need to watch the skies pretty closely.

Just in case, who moves up or down your Derby list based on a 1/4" of rain? I believe My Boy Jack likes the wet? Flameaway is 2/2 on an off track?

I assume the undercard will stay on the turf, but again, could be some decisions as the turf could be yielding?

In closing, guess I am just not sure how much (or how little) rain it actually takes to impact the surface.

Depending on timing , things could get interesting.

Late Edit - It seems Justify has won on the off track back on March 11th at SA - Interesting

[depalma113]

Originally Posted by TheGarMan

Good morning all,

Not sure what to make of this latest forecast?

UV INDEX - 4 of 10
Sunrise 6:41 am
Sunset 8:37 pm
Periods of rain. High 68F. Winds NNE at 5 to 10 mph. Chance of rain 80%. Rainfall near a quarter of an inch.

I understand from prior years that the Churchill surface takes water pretty well. So a 1/4" may not be a big deal. I guess we will need to watch the skies pretty closely.

Just in case, who moves up or down your Derby list based on a 1/4" of rain? I believe My Boy Jack likes the wet? Flameaway is 2/2 on an off track?

I assume the undercard will stay on the turf, but again, could be some decisions as the turf could be yielding?

In closing, guess I am just not sure how much (or how little) rain it actually takes to impact the surface.

Depending on timing , things could get interesting.

Late Edit - It seems Justify has won on the off track back on March 11th at SA - Interesting

Looking at the radar, it doesn't look like anything of consequence.

[Bennie]

Based on thomlinsons for me it would move up Bolt, Justify and Vino as top tier horses and Solomini, Instilled and Enticed as underneath horses. I always include the wet numbers as a factor when I make some of my futures bets because you never know what Mother Nature is going to bring the first Saturday in May.

[TheGarMan]

Originally Posted by depalma113

Looking at the radar, it doesn't look like anything of consequence.

I hope you are right! Good luck today!

[Raider]

The forcaste makes sense of My boy Jack going from 30 to 1 to five to one

[GMB@BP]

if it doesnt rain i would expect an inside track again today.

[Bill Cullen]

If the track is off, it's Justify, Flameaway, Enticed and My Boy Jack boxed for me

[GMB@BP]

I think the rain actually has helped even the track out a touch, its still inside but maybe a tad more fair.

[TheGarMan]

Ugh... This is what I was afraid of..

Looks horrible right now.

[GMB@BP]

2" more of rain possible...lolz, well, could be an interesting result, where is Mine That Bird

[Racetrack Playa]

Originally Posted by GMB@BP

2" more of rain possible...lolz, well, could be an interesting result, where is Mine That Bird

AREA Fifty - one, NM

[depalma113]

Well, the weather people screwed this up.

[GMB@BP]

LMAO

I think I got this tri......I will buy the board a beer!!!!!

just kidding, what a joke this track is

[GMB@BP]

Chris Bailey
‏
Verified account

@Kentuckyweather
24m24 minutes ago
More
Breaking: This is now the wettest Kentucky Derby Day on record breaking the old mark of 2.31” in 1918. #kywx #KentuckyDerby

[letswastemoney]

I'm backwheeling Lone Sailor. I've always believed this is a mud specialist. I just don't think he's good enough to win, even with an improved mud effort.