Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
What does that mean?
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Without getting too deeply into the ramifications, I break need-lead types into 2 groups 1) swift-often gets lead, but still prone to squandering "win opportunities" (racing in control of pace at workable tempo..........2) strong- less often obtains lead, but barring unreasonable tempo or pressure, holds well when securing early command.
Obviously, "swift" types generally require clear early command to win ( and even then are no cinch), whereas "strong" sorts can race contested for a portion of the race and still finish well...(racing is replete with both types.)
Theoretically, an example of each type might roll to, let's say, 3 (wins) for 10 starts on a season, but achieve those identical records in VERY different ways.
Granted, this is an over-simplification of how I assess speed horses-and some of my theories on early speed trend toward off-beat and overly self-styled, but the strong/swift template serves as my starting point.