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Old 04-30-2014, 09:10 PM   #16
horses4courses
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Quote:
Originally Posted by glengarry
What a great point. The only post that spells nearly certain trouble is the 1. Just a funky set up for 1 1/4 at Churchill for the rail horse. I have seen a lot of Derbies, and the winners manage to get clean trips, whether from the main or auxiliary gate. Seattle Slew had some issues early, but he was a superhorse. Not seeing any of those in here. Part of luck depends on the rider and the athleticism of the horse. But in every Derby someone gets the nightmare trip, like Risen Star or Lookin at Lucky. Or the horse does it to himself with a poor break. No telling who it will be this year. As the man said, it may just be bad luck.
The thing about an inside draw - you break slow, you're really up against it.
So much traffic starts coming towards the rail.
Nearly impossible to win from the inside with a poor break.
Anywhere else.....just stay in the clear as best you can.
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Old 04-30-2014, 09:14 PM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by BlueChip@DRF
The O/U for Borel getting to the rail is 300 yards.
There's about 25 seconds to the turn. There will be an opportunity to get over.
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Old 04-30-2014, 09:54 PM   #18
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Originally Posted by Rex Phinney
Maybe you haven't been watching..... for three years.
Meaningless.
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Old 05-01-2014, 03:20 AM   #19
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I don't see why the 20 hole for Wicked Strong is a disaster. It's not like he's a speed horse who has to get over...he can bide his time and drop over when he gets the chance.
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Old 05-01-2014, 05:19 AM   #20
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom
Wicked Strong actually will start from Keenenland.
The ultimate poly to dirt move.......
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Old 05-01-2014, 09:04 AM   #21
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Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage
I don't see why the 20 hole for Wicked Strong is a disaster. It's not like he's a speed horse who has to get over...he can bide his time and drop over when he gets the chance.
The problem I see is he won't be the only horse trying that move so he's likely to rear pack and wide or a mile back but on the rail if he walks out of the gate. Think he's now 19 hole though as i've heard Hopportunity is out.
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