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10-30-2020, 10:23 AM
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#121
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The Voice of Reason!
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: Canandaigua, New york
Posts: 112,860
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Heads or tail event.
Trump or Biden.
Two horse race with Biden the favorite according to you guys.
Yet all this analysis to justify a 3-5 shot.
Hope you guys are more sensible at the track....  
__________________
Who does the Racing Form Detective like in this one?
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10-30-2020, 10:37 AM
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#122
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,058
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tom
Heads or tail event.
Trump or Biden.
Two horse race with Biden the favorite according to you guys.
Yet all this analysis to justify a 3-5 shot.
Hope you guys are more sensible at the track.... |
Agree, betting odds makes no sense. With Florida looking solid for Trump, Biden likely has to run the table in WI, MI & PA, while Trump likely only needs to win one.
Also, Since 1944 Ohio has voted for the winner in every election except one - opting for Nixon over Kennedy in 1960 - and Ohio looks solid for Trump, even more so than 2016.
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10-30-2020, 10:57 AM
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#123
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Just Deplorable
Join Date: Mar 2003
Location: Lebanon, Ohio
Posts: 8,068
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Quote:
Originally Posted by biggestal99
Trump ain’t winning Wisconsin.
Allan
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They got boxes of provisional ballots stacked up in Madison and Milwaukee ready to be deployed?
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10-30-2020, 02:51 PM
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#124
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2004
Location: Behind the Pine Curtain
Posts: 10,646
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Quote:
Originally Posted by elysiantraveller
Put'em up.
https://www.270towin.com
I'm bullish in the "New" battlegrounds for Biden but if District level polling is showing us anything its that PA, MI, and WI are already his.
NC: He's led the whole way.
IA: Has been blasted with Covid and perhaps farmers don't like welfare.
GA: These early vote numbers and senate internals make a flip possible.
FL: Is gonna Florida... pick a color.
TX: Exit polling has been bad for Trump on the early vote but I'll have him keeping it.
Either way there is no momentum on either side and the race is static right now... at Biden +9... so expect some weird shit to happen. |
Time to change FL to red. Been telling you that for days.
https://www.politico.com/news/2020/1...mocrats-433643
__________________
“We’re in a situation where we have put together, and you guys did it for our administration…President Obama’s administration before this. We have put together, I think, the most extensive and inclusive voter fraud organization in the history of American politics,” -Joe Biden
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10-30-2020, 04:23 PM
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#125
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Librocubicularist
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: Ohio
Posts: 10,466
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tor Ekman
Heads percolating at the mere suggestion of Trump landing on exactly 270 electoral votes
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Coming up with a map to do exactly that must have been an interesting exercise.
__________________
Sapere aude
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10-30-2020, 04:57 PM
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#126
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,058
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Actor
Coming up with a map to do exactly that must have been an interesting exercise.
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Yes, took all of about 2 minutes . . . but then again, I paid attention in math class
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10-30-2020, 05:53 PM
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#127
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,058
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I wonder which would make heads explode worse, Trump landing on exactly 270 or Trump surpassing his 2016 total like this?
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10-30-2020, 06:01 PM
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#128
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 14,036
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ElKabong
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Nah... I'll stick with it.
Trump has a senior problem so they'll offset.
Florida is Florida... pick a color... I won't say it's wrong.
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10-30-2020, 06:03 PM
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#129
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 14,036
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tor Ekman
I wonder which would make heads explode worse, Trump landing on exactly 270 or Trump surpassing his 2016 total like this?
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I don't think map is possible.
I have his hard ceiling at 280.
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10-30-2020, 06:31 PM
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#130
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Registered User
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,058
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Quote:
Originally Posted by elysiantraveller
I don't think map is possible.
I have his hard ceiling at 280.
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So you think this is not possible?
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10-30-2020, 08:35 PM
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#131
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 14,036
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Tor Ekman
So you think this is not possible?
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Michigan going blue?
No. Not at all. I've seen district level polling in places like Amash's MI3.
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10-30-2020, 08:38 PM
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#132
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 14,036
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Quote:
Originally Posted by elysiantraveller
Put'em up.
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Just realized I don't have NV blue on this map... it should be.
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10-30-2020, 08:43 PM
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#133
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Registered User
Join Date: May 2011
Posts: 22,641
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Quote:
Originally Posted by elysiantraveller
Just realized I don't have NV blue on this map... it should be.
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as long as you are dreaming, dream big 
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10-30-2020, 09:35 PM
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#134
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Registered User
Join Date: Oct 2004
Posts: 14,036
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Quote:
Originally Posted by davew
as long as you are dreaming, dream big |
I've referenced district polls several times and why they're saying the exact opposite of what they were in 2016.
I attached what I'm talking about.
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10-31-2020, 08:31 AM
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#135
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Registered User
Join Date: Aug 2009
Posts: 178
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With four days remaining until the election CDC rescinds cruise ship ban. https://www.royalcaribbeanblog.com/2...ses-sail-again.
__________________
“I try to be cynical but it is hard to keep up.”
~ Lily Tomlin
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