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Old 03-02-2022, 04:15 PM   #16
tennoel
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To not make a bet for 20 yrs probably is the right approach.
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Old 03-02-2022, 05:03 PM   #17
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Quote:
Originally Posted by castaway01 View Post
It's hilarious how things have gotten to the point here where even the guy who sells software thinks the guy who hasn't wagered on racing in 20 years here and only does "academic studies" of gambling has the RIGHT approach.
Whether or not he wagers has nothing to do with the approach.

I recall a famous author who once told me privately that he had not made a bet in over a decade but he'd keep writing books because that's what he enjoyed doing.
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Old 03-02-2022, 09:57 PM   #18
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results for GPX On 3-2-2022

top ranked results
1 for 1
Bet $34 return 58

second ranked
0-2
bet 15 return 0

3rd ranked
1 for 2
bet 15 return 34


total bet $64
returned $92
$1 return = $1.43
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Old 03-03-2022, 11:55 PM   #19
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results for GPX On 3-3-2022

top ranked results
2 for 2
Bet $62 return 104

second ranked
1-3
bet 20 return 28

3rd ranked
1 for 3
bet 20 return 23


total bet $102
returned $155
$1 return = $1.52
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Old 03-04-2022, 10:05 AM   #20
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226 RACE RESULTS RECAP

top ranked results
33 WINS IN 50 RACES, 66%WINNERS FOA A $1 RETURN OF $1.35


second ranked
8 WINS IN 36 RACES, 22%WINNERS FOA A $1 RETURN OF $1.26


3rd ranked
5 WINS IN 36 RACES, 14%WINNERS FOA A $1 RETURN OF $0.98

A $1 FLAT BET ON ALL 226 TOP RANK RETURNED $0.97
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Old 03-05-2022, 10:10 PM   #21
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results for 03/04/2022, aqu,gpx.oak

there were no 2nd and 3rd choice plays only top plays.
2 wins in 9 races $1 return $0.52

a play on all 26 favorites: 8 wins for a $1 return of $0.66

now. based on 252 race database, i'm raising the fav bet size to >=10 <=250.
that would raise this $1 return form $0.52 to $0.98

it would increase the return on my favorite plays from $1.19 to $1.27

in the range of >=100 <=250 there were 5 wins in 7 plays returning $1.41 on the dollar


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Old 03-06-2022, 04:44 PM   #22
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Excellent day at HK SHA TIN
Public favorites won 5 of 10 races for a $1 return of $1.26

of those, my picks won 3 of 4 for a $1 return of $2.29

my 2nd choice pick went 1 for 1. $6 bet returned $33.30
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Old 03-06-2022, 08:23 PM   #23
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correction

Quote:
Originally Posted by formula_2002 View Post
Excellent day at HK SHA TIN
Public favorites won 5 of 10 races for a $1 return of $1.26

of those, my picks won 3 of 5 for a $1 return of $1.21

my 2nd choice pick went 1 for 1. $6 bet returned $33.30
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Old 03-06-2022, 09:45 PM   #24
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AQU RESULTS

Public favorites won 4 of 8 races for a $1 return of $1.08

of those, my picks won 1 of 1 for a $1 return of $2.05

my 2nd choice pick went 0 for 1. $6 bet returned $0
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Old 03-08-2022, 02:45 PM   #25
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And the bottom line is this.............

If ANY of these so called Systems actually worked, there would be hundreds and hundreds of millionaires buying Villa's in the South of France and betting online from the balcony......

But Alas...........................

Again, not trying to belittle anyone or anything....just the facts
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Old 03-08-2022, 05:04 PM   #26
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Originally Posted by dontbet chalks View Post
And the bottom line is this.............

If ANY of these so called Systems actually worked, there would be hundreds and hundreds of millionaires buying Villa's in the South of France and betting online from the balcony......

But Alas...........................

Again, not trying to belittle anyone or anything....just the facts
ah!! you found me out.


here is something that may interest you.
in 281 current races (32 races cards) the public, with no help from me has a $1 return of $1.00!! should be something like $0.84

my play was on 69 of those favorites and they returned $1.28 on the dollar.

I'll have 300 races shortly, and if the trend continues, I'll calculate my formulas just as the horses approach the gate.
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Old 03-08-2022, 10:47 PM   #27
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today's races at pax and Mah
19 races. publics favorites won 4 races
I went 0 for 2
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Old 03-09-2022, 11:00 AM   #28
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300 race summaries
$1 return on all public favorites =$0.95

My $1 return on the fav is $1.25, 43 wins in 71 races 61% winners

My $1 return on second choice is $1.18, 11 wins in 48 races

My $1 return on third choice id $1.10, 9 wins in 48 races

I don't have complete data for exacta data but there may be profits to have there.

I'll now post live races, using the tote board data as the horses' approach the gate


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Old 03-09-2022, 11:29 AM   #29
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UK FONT R7

SHIFT EXACTA LINE 1 ROW TO THE RIGHT MAKING THE 7/2 EXACTA A WINNER
ILL CORRECT IN TH FUTURE

Attached Images
File Type: gif UK FONF R7.GIF (53.8 KB, 7 views)
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Last edited by formula_2002; 03-09-2022 at 11:34 AM.
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Old 03-09-2022, 11:52 AM   #30
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Quote:
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UK FONT R7

SHIFT EXACTA LINE 1 ROW TO THE RIGHT MAKING THE 7/2 EXACTA A WINNER
ILL CORRECT IN TH FUTURE
AS LUCK WOULD HAVE IT I WIN AT THE FIRST OFFERING
7/2 $1 EXACTA PAYOUT AT TRACK WAS $66.20
MY TOTAL EXACTA BET WAS $71.30, RETURNING $182.05

MY WIN BET WAS $11, RETURNING $29.70
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