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Old 05-05-2022, 05:30 PM   #1
judehaz
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The Work Begins...

Two amazingly stacked cards at Churchill on Oaks and Derby Day. Some of the best I've seen since I've been a fan. It'll be wet, but still, 48 hours of unbelievable racing. A total of 27 races across two days, not a single purse under $100,000, including six Grade I races, seven Grade II races and one Grade III. Wow. The rain won't stop the action!!! Who do you like?

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Old 05-05-2022, 06:13 PM   #2
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Two amazingly stacked cards at Churchill on Oaks and Derby Day. Some of the best I've seen since I've been a fan. It'll be wet, but still, 48 hours of unbelievable racing. A total of 27 races across two days, not a single purse under $100,000, including six Grade I races, seven Grade II races and one Grade III. Wow. The rain won't stop the action!!! Who do you like?
judehaz...absolutely. Just downloaded 76 pages of PPs for the next two days at Churchill.
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Old 05-05-2022, 06:52 PM   #3
Clocker
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Originally Posted by judehaz View Post
The rain won't stop the action!!! Who do you like?
From the Downs web site:

Quote:
It was a quiet morning filled with routine gallops and no drama two days before the 148th running of the Kentucky Derby.

However, a storm is brewing with rain forecast to begin falling around 4 o’clock this afternoon and continuing into Saturday morning with thunderstorms likely all through the 13-race Kentucky Oaks Day card that begins at 10:30 a.m. (all times Eastern).
Grumpy Old Man Warning: I will probably watch the Derby itself (although I have no clue about any of the horses running) and some of the pre-race pomp and circumstances. I'm sure I won't be betting anything at Churchill.

Grade I and II races with horses shipped in from all over the country? Expensive, lightly raced horses? No thanks. Claiming and allowance races are my bread and butter, preferably with horses that have been racing at the same track for a while. I've been in the game for many a year, and doubt that I have ever bet on a Triple Crown race. Or a Triple Crown program race. And a bad track would make it even less likely.

Difference strokes for different folks.
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Old 05-05-2022, 07:31 PM   #4
judehaz
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From the Downs web site:



Grumpy Old Man Warning: I will probably watch the Derby itself (although I have no clue about any of the horses running) and some of the pre-race pomp and circumstances. I'm sure I won't be betting anything at Churchill.

Grade I and II races with horses shipped in from all over the country? Expensive, lightly raced horses? No thanks. Claiming and allowance races are my bread and butter, preferably with horses that have been racing at the same track for a while. I've been in the game for many a year, and doubt that I have ever bet on a Triple Crown race. Or a Triple Crown program race. And a bad track would make it even less likely.

Difference strokes for different folks.
From a profitability standpoint, you're basically right. About 10 years ago I was SUPER regular at Saratoga Harness and often would see an angle on a 3-1 horse or higher (remember, harness, half-mile, lol) and thought "why aren't more people betting this horse" since I watched so many races. I guess what draws me to this weekend is 1) the sheer quality of the races; I bet there are no -0 beyers, lol, and 2) TwinSpires, and probably other sites, have some cash back promos on win bets that really turn the odds in the bettor's favor. Doing $10 to win in every race with the possibility to hit big (for me) is an exciting way to play, and if your running finishes second or third (typically) you get your bet amount back.
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Old 05-05-2022, 08:31 PM   #5
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