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Old 02-14-2019, 08:26 PM   #1
TheOracle
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Gargan Great Investment @Turf @AQU -- past 4 years 17% WPS ROI!!!

Gargan's barn has been giving great returns for the past 4 years on the Turf at Aqueduct!!!



You are getting a 31% return per $2 show wager over the 4 year period and a 17% return per $2 win place and show wager!!!

His barn has been pretty solid on the Turf for a long time although only 7 winners but all of your profits come when his horses finish either 2nd or 3rd!!!

Let's keep a sharp eye on his barn when Turf racing returns at the Big A!!!
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Old 04-05-2019, 05:06 PM   #2
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Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
Gargan's barn has been giving great returns for the past 4 years on the Turf at Aqueduct!!!



You are getting a 31% return per $2 show wager over the 4 year period and a 17% return per $2 win place and show wager!!!

His barn has been pretty solid on the Turf for a long time although only 7 winners but all of your profits come when his horses finish either 2nd or 3rd!!!

Let's keep a sharp eye on his barn when Turf racing returns at the Big A!!!
Missed Gargan on the first Turf day at Aqueduct today

#8 Much Trouble paid $13 across the board

Have to do a better job of keeping track!!!

Last edited by TheOracle; 04-05-2019 at 05:10 PM.
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Old 04-06-2019, 11:03 AM   #3
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Missed Gargan on the first Turf day at Aqueduct today

#8 Much Trouble paid $13 across the board

Have to do a better job of keeping track!!!
Gargan on the Turf was part of the Criteria no excuses for missing the opportunity!!!
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Old 04-10-2019, 06:17 PM   #4
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Gargan on the Turf was part of the Criteria no excuses for missing the opportunity!!!
Missed another opportunity with Gargan on the Turf again today

#1 Got the Gist won today paying $14.80 across the board in the 4th race at Aqueduct

No excuses just more motivation to get that algorithm going to get things more automated!!!
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Old 04-11-2019, 06:08 PM   #5
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Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
Missed Gargan on the first Turf day at Aqueduct today

#8 Much Trouble paid $13 across the board

Have to do a better job of keeping track!!!

your stat sheet has data from 2014, 15, 16, 17

according to Equibase (linked) his in the money % on turf runners on all tracks in :

2014 was 31%
2015 was 29%
2016 was 45%
2017 was 42%
2018 was 57%
2019 is 56%


Gargan has a turf runner at AQ on 4/13 R7 #4 - Bareeqa - looks like chalk



https://www.equibase.com/profiles/Re...=133441&rbt=TB

you have to change the dropdown box on surfaces to Turf

Last edited by Half Smoke; 04-11-2019 at 06:13 PM.
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Old 04-11-2019, 07:35 PM   #6
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Originally Posted by Half Smoke View Post
your stat sheet has data from 2014, 15, 16, 17

according to Equibase (linked) his in the money % on turf runners on all tracks in :

2014 was 31%
2015 was 29%
2016 was 45%
2017 was 42%
2018 was 57%
2019 is 56%


Gargan has a turf runner at AQ on 4/13 R7 #4 - Bareeqa - looks like chalk



https://www.equibase.com/profiles/Re...=133441&rbt=TB

you have to change the dropdown box on surfaces to Turf
Hi Half

I only track NYC tracks not all track across the country so my numbers will be different

My stats from 2014 to 2019 only include Aqueduct but I see your point I have 60.8% in the money at Aqueduct and he is 57 and 56% across all tracks

Last edited by TheOracle; 04-11-2019 at 07:39 PM.
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Old 04-11-2019, 10:40 PM   #7
TheOracle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Half Smoke View Post
your stat sheet has data from 2014, 15, 16, 17

according to Equibase (linked) his in the money % on turf runners on all tracks in :

2014 was 31%
2015 was 29%
2016 was 45%
2017 was 42%
2018 was 57%
2019 is 56%


Gargan has a turf runner at AQ on 4/13 R7 #4 - Bareeqa - looks like chalk



https://www.equibase.com/profiles/Re...=133441&rbt=TB

you have to change the dropdown box on surfaces to Turf
Chalk or no chalk he will not get by me this Saturday
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Old 04-13-2019, 09:54 AM   #8
TheOracle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Half Smoke View Post
your stat sheet has data from 2014, 15, 16, 17

according to Equibase (linked) his in the money % on turf runners on all tracks in :

2014 was 31%
2015 was 29%
2016 was 45%
2017 was 42%
2018 was 57%
2019 is 56%


Gargan has a turf runner at AQ on 4/13 R7 #4 - Bareeqa - looks like chalk



https://www.equibase.com/profiles/Re...=133441&rbt=TB

you have to change the dropdown box on surfaces to Turf
Hey Half,

I noticed when his odds are less than 3-1 in the Morning Line his horses have a tendency to come 2nd or 3rd when on the Turf

Code:
RowNum:	RaceDate:	Race_Num	Pgm_Num	Horse			RaceCond		TrackCond	Dist	Trainer		ML Odds	WPS	W$	P$	S$
1	04-20-2017	6th race	5	Noble and True (KY)	Starter Allowance	Turf Firm	1 1/16M	D Gargan	5/2#				
2	04-21-2017	1st race	1	Bareeqa (NY)		Starter Allowance	Turf Firm	1 1/16M	D Gargan	8/5#	W	4.9	2.7	2.1
3	11-03-2017	3rd race	7	Amazing Anne (NY)	AOC			Turf Good	1M	D Gargan	5/2#	P		2.8	2.1
4	04-13-2018	1st race	8	Windjammer (GER)	Maiden Claiming		Turf Firm	1 1/16M	D Gargan	6/5#	S			2.2
5	04-14-2018	5th race	5	Attribute (KY)		Allowance		Turf Firm	1 1/16M	D Gargan	5/2#	P		4.3	2.7
6	04-10-2019	4th race	1	Got the Gist (NY)	Claiming		Turf Firm	1 1/16M	D Gargan	5/2#	W	8.4	3.7	2.7
ML Odds	Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
lt 3-1	6	2	2	1	33.3%	$13.3	$12	$1.3	10%						
					WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
					83.3%	$38.6	$36	$2.6	7%	11.8
#4 Bareeqa does have a win as one of the 2 that were less than 3-1 in the Morning Line but I'm not sure if he will pull it off again today

Let's see what happens today or if they even run on the Turf at Aqueduct since we got a bit of rain last night!!!
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Old 04-19-2019, 10:04 PM   #9
TheOracle
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Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
Gargan's barn has been giving great returns for the past 4 years on the Turf at Aqueduct!!!



You are getting a 31% return per $2 show wager over the 4 year period and a 17% return per $2 win place and show wager!!!

His barn has been pretty solid on the Turf for a long time although only 7 winners but all of your profits come when his horses finish either 2nd or 3rd!!!

Let's keep a sharp eye on his barn when Turf racing returns at the Big A!!!
Gargan was off the board in a Turf race today at Aqueduct

Code:
1	04-19-2019	5th race	11	Codrington (NY)	Allowance	One And One Sixteenth Miles	D Gargan	8/1#	Turf Firm	0.0	0.0	0.0
Let's continue to track his barn on the Turf
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Old 11-03-2019, 10:05 AM   #10
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Gargan has been giving terrific returns especially to place and show over the past 4 years on the Turf at Aqueduct

Code:
1	10-29-2014	6th race	9	First Whippoorwill (KY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 M	D Gargan	6/1#				
2	11-05-2014	9th race	5	Wake Up and Go (NY)	Mdn Clm	Turf Good	1 1/16 MD Gargan	7/2#	W	11.4	4.5	3.6
3	11-09-2015	2nd race	2	Juliets Key (NY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/8 M	D Gargan	20/1#	W	23.6	13.0	5.1
4	11-27-2015	7th race	4	Dynamic Decision (KY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	7/2#	W	5.9	3.8	3.0
5	11-28-2015	8th race	9	Goodtolook (NY)		Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	D Gargan	12/1#				
6	11-04-2016	10th race	6	Bareeqa (NY)		Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	5/1#	P		4.2	3.3
7	11-05-2016	10th race	3	Mr. Sam (NY)		Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	10/1#	P		6.4	5.5
8	11-09-2016	6th race	5	Twenty Four Seven (KY)	Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	12/1#	S			12.2
9	11-09-2016	8th race	13	Montclair (IRE)		Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 3/8 M	D Gargan	12/1#	P		18.8	8.6
10	11-10-2016	6th race	3	Amazing Anne (NY)	Alw	Turf Firm	1 M	D Gargan	4/1#				
11	11-12-2016	9th race	6	Put It Forward (FL)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	6/1#				
12	11-24-2016	6th race	1	Market Strength (FL)	Clm	Turf Good	1 1/16 MD Gargan	3/1#				
13	11-25-2016	10th race	10	Bareeqa (NY)		Clm	Turf Good	1 1/16 MD Gargan	3/1#				
14	11-26-2016	5th race	4	Cut to Order (KY)	Clm	Turf Good	1 1/16 MD Gargan	10/1#				
15	11-27-2016	2nd race	7	Amazing Anne (NY)	Str Alw	Turf Good	1 M	D Gargan	5/1#	W	18.4	8.1	5.5
16	12-03-2016	4th race	5	Spanish Harlem (KY)	Mdn SpclTurf Soft	1 1/16 MD Gargan	12/1#	P		16.6	12.0
17	12-03-2016	7th race	4	Runaway Posse (NY)	Alw	Turf Soft	1 M	D Gargan	8/1#				
18	04-15-2017	9th race	6	Unexplained (KY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	7/2#	P		2.9	2.2
19	04-19-2017	7th race	5	Glory to Kitten (KY)	Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	8/1#	S			3.3
20	04-20-2017	6th race	5	Noble and True (KY)	Str Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	5/2#				
21	04-21-2017	1st race	1	Bareeqa (NY)		Str Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	8/5#	W	4.9	2.7	2.1
22	04-23-2017	7th race	7	Amazing Anne (NY)	Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	4/1#	S			3.1
23	11-03-2017	3rd race	7	Amazing Anne (NY)	Alw Op CTurf Good	1 M	D Gargan	5/2#	P		2.8	2.1
24	11-03-2017	8th race	9	Twenty Four Seven (KY)	Clm	Turf Good	1 M	D Gargan	6/1#				
25	11-04-2017	8th race	3	Runaway Posse (NY)	Alw	Turf Firm	6 Furl	D Gargan	4/1#	S			3.2
26	11-09-2017	6th race	6	Patriot Drive (KY)	Str Alw	Turf Good	1 M	D Gargan	3/1#				
27	11-24-2017	8th race	9	Fuel the Bern (KY)	Stakes	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	12/1#				
28	11-30-2017	8th race	1A	Lamontagne (WV)		Alw Op CTurf Firm	6 Furl	D Gargan	7/2#	S			2.9
29	12-03-2017	6th race	4	Attribute (KY)		Alw	Turf Firm	6 Furl	D Gargan	15/1#				
30	12-03-2017	6th race	7	Runaway Posse (NY)	Alw	Turf Firm	6 Furl	D Gargan	3/1#	S			2.3
31	12-03-2017	8th race	5	Glory to Kitten (KY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 1/8 M	D Gargan	6/1#				
32	12-03-2017	9th race	2	Fuel the Bern (KY)	Str Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	5/1#				
33	04-11-2018	8th race	6	Cerises Prince (KY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	10/1#	S			5.6
34	04-13-2018	1st race	8	Windjammer (GER)	Mdn Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	6/5#	S			2.2
35	04-14-2018	5th race	5	Attribute (KY)		Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	5/2#	P		4.3	2.7
36	04-15-2018	9th race	3	Dr. Melfi (NY)		Mdn SpclTurf Firm	1 M	D Gargan	4/1#				
37	04-19-2018	8th race	2	Dr. Shane (NY)		Alw Op CTurf Good	6 Furl	D Gargan	8/1#	P		5.8	3.5
38	04-20-2018	9th race	4	Victor Lounge (IRE)	Mdn Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	7/2#	P		3.4	2.6
39	04-21-2018	10th race	1	Crossways (NY)		Mdn SpclTurf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	6/1#	W	11.8	7.6	4.9
40	11-02-2018	2nd race	10	Dr. Shane (NY)		Alw	Turf Firm	6 Furl	D Gargan	3/1#	W	8.1	4.9	3.3
41	11-03-2018	8th race	1	Wake Forest (GER)	Clm	Turf Yielding	1 1/16 MD Gargan	9/2#				
42	11-09-2018	7th race	5	Mobridge (NY)		Alw Op CTurf Good	1 1/16 MD Gargan	9/2#				
43	11-09-2018	8th race	5	Dr. Shane (NY)		Alw Op CTurf Good	6 Furl	D Gargan	4/1#	S			2.9
44	11-21-2018	9th race	1	Mobridge (NY)		Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	3/1#	P		2.7	3.4
45	11-30-2018	3rd race	7	Blue Jean Kitten (KY)	Mdn SpclTurf Good	1 M	D Gargan	5/1#	P		8.5	6.2
46	12-01-2018	7th race	14	Dr. Shane (NY)		Alw Op CTurf Good	6 Furl	D Gargan	7/2#	S			3.2
47	04-05-2019	6th race	8	Much Trouble (KY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 M	D Gargan	6/1#	P		8.2	4.8
48	04-10-2019	4th race	1	Got the Gist (NY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	5/2#	W	8.4	3.7	2.7
49	04-19-2019	5th race	11	Codrington (NY)		Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	8/1#				

ML Odds		Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
all odds	49	8	12	10	16.3%	$92.5	$98	$-5.5	-6%	
					
						WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
						61.2%	$353.4	$294	$59.4	20%	128
He has these on the Turf today
Code:
pick11-03-20191	11-03-2019	5th race	10	Astoria Kitten (NY)	Stakes		One Mile	D Gargan	6/1#	Turf
 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
pick11-03-20192	11-03-2019	10th race	10	Good Solution (KY)	Maiden Claiming	Six Furlongs	D Gargan	8/1#	Turf
Let's see if he can get these to hit the board at a price at the Big A!!!
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Old 11-04-2019, 01:20 PM   #11
TheOracle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
Gargan has been giving terrific returns especially to place and show over the past 4 years on the Turf at Aqueduct

Code:
1	10-29-2014	6th race	9	First Whippoorwill (KY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 M	D Gargan	6/1#				
2	11-05-2014	9th race	5	Wake Up and Go (NY)	Mdn Clm	Turf Good	1 1/16 MD Gargan	7/2#	W	11.4	4.5	3.6
3	11-09-2015	2nd race	2	Juliets Key (NY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/8 M	D Gargan	20/1#	W	23.6	13.0	5.1
4	11-27-2015	7th race	4	Dynamic Decision (KY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	7/2#	W	5.9	3.8	3.0
5	11-28-2015	8th race	9	Goodtolook (NY)		Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 M	D Gargan	12/1#				
6	11-04-2016	10th race	6	Bareeqa (NY)		Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	5/1#	P		4.2	3.3
7	11-05-2016	10th race	3	Mr. Sam (NY)		Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	10/1#	P		6.4	5.5
8	11-09-2016	6th race	5	Twenty Four Seven (KY)	Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	12/1#	S			12.2
9	11-09-2016	8th race	13	Montclair (IRE)		Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 3/8 M	D Gargan	12/1#	P		18.8	8.6
10	11-10-2016	6th race	3	Amazing Anne (NY)	Alw	Turf Firm	1 M	D Gargan	4/1#				
11	11-12-2016	9th race	6	Put It Forward (FL)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	6/1#				
12	11-24-2016	6th race	1	Market Strength (FL)	Clm	Turf Good	1 1/16 MD Gargan	3/1#				
13	11-25-2016	10th race	10	Bareeqa (NY)		Clm	Turf Good	1 1/16 MD Gargan	3/1#				
14	11-26-2016	5th race	4	Cut to Order (KY)	Clm	Turf Good	1 1/16 MD Gargan	10/1#				
15	11-27-2016	2nd race	7	Amazing Anne (NY)	Str Alw	Turf Good	1 M	D Gargan	5/1#	W	18.4	8.1	5.5
16	12-03-2016	4th race	5	Spanish Harlem (KY)	Mdn SpclTurf Soft	1 1/16 MD Gargan	12/1#	P		16.6	12.0
17	12-03-2016	7th race	4	Runaway Posse (NY)	Alw	Turf Soft	1 M	D Gargan	8/1#				
18	04-15-2017	9th race	6	Unexplained (KY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	7/2#	P		2.9	2.2
19	04-19-2017	7th race	5	Glory to Kitten (KY)	Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	8/1#	S			3.3
20	04-20-2017	6th race	5	Noble and True (KY)	Str Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	5/2#				
21	04-21-2017	1st race	1	Bareeqa (NY)		Str Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	8/5#	W	4.9	2.7	2.1
22	04-23-2017	7th race	7	Amazing Anne (NY)	Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	4/1#	S			3.1
23	11-03-2017	3rd race	7	Amazing Anne (NY)	Alw Op CTurf Good	1 M	D Gargan	5/2#	P		2.8	2.1
24	11-03-2017	8th race	9	Twenty Four Seven (KY)	Clm	Turf Good	1 M	D Gargan	6/1#				
25	11-04-2017	8th race	3	Runaway Posse (NY)	Alw	Turf Firm	6 Furl	D Gargan	4/1#	S			3.2
26	11-09-2017	6th race	6	Patriot Drive (KY)	Str Alw	Turf Good	1 M	D Gargan	3/1#				
27	11-24-2017	8th race	9	Fuel the Bern (KY)	Stakes	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	12/1#				
28	11-30-2017	8th race	1A	Lamontagne (WV)		Alw Op CTurf Firm	6 Furl	D Gargan	7/2#	S			2.9
29	12-03-2017	6th race	4	Attribute (KY)		Alw	Turf Firm	6 Furl	D Gargan	15/1#				
30	12-03-2017	6th race	7	Runaway Posse (NY)	Alw	Turf Firm	6 Furl	D Gargan	3/1#	S			2.3
31	12-03-2017	8th race	5	Glory to Kitten (KY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 1/8 M	D Gargan	6/1#				
32	12-03-2017	9th race	2	Fuel the Bern (KY)	Str Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	5/1#				
33	04-11-2018	8th race	6	Cerises Prince (KY)	Alw Op CTurf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	10/1#	S			5.6
34	04-13-2018	1st race	8	Windjammer (GER)	Mdn Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	6/5#	S			2.2
35	04-14-2018	5th race	5	Attribute (KY)		Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	5/2#	P		4.3	2.7
36	04-15-2018	9th race	3	Dr. Melfi (NY)		Mdn SpclTurf Firm	1 M	D Gargan	4/1#				
37	04-19-2018	8th race	2	Dr. Shane (NY)		Alw Op CTurf Good	6 Furl	D Gargan	8/1#	P		5.8	3.5
38	04-20-2018	9th race	4	Victor Lounge (IRE)	Mdn Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	7/2#	P		3.4	2.6
39	04-21-2018	10th race	1	Crossways (NY)		Mdn SpclTurf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	6/1#	W	11.8	7.6	4.9
40	11-02-2018	2nd race	10	Dr. Shane (NY)		Alw	Turf Firm	6 Furl	D Gargan	3/1#	W	8.1	4.9	3.3
41	11-03-2018	8th race	1	Wake Forest (GER)	Clm	Turf Yielding	1 1/16 MD Gargan	9/2#				
42	11-09-2018	7th race	5	Mobridge (NY)		Alw Op CTurf Good	1 1/16 MD Gargan	9/2#				
43	11-09-2018	8th race	5	Dr. Shane (NY)		Alw Op CTurf Good	6 Furl	D Gargan	4/1#	S			2.9
44	11-21-2018	9th race	1	Mobridge (NY)		Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	3/1#	P		2.7	3.4
45	11-30-2018	3rd race	7	Blue Jean Kitten (KY)	Mdn SpclTurf Good	1 M	D Gargan	5/1#	P		8.5	6.2
46	12-01-2018	7th race	14	Dr. Shane (NY)		Alw Op CTurf Good	6 Furl	D Gargan	7/2#	S			3.2
47	04-05-2019	6th race	8	Much Trouble (KY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 M	D Gargan	6/1#	P		8.2	4.8
48	04-10-2019	4th race	1	Got the Gist (NY)	Clm	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	5/2#	W	8.4	3.7	2.7
49	04-19-2019	5th race	11	Codrington (NY)		Alw	Turf Firm	1 1/16 MD Gargan	8/1#				

ML Odds		Strts	1st	2nds	3rds	Win %	Win $	Cost	Return	% Return						
all odds	49	8	12	10	16.3%	$92.5	$98	$-5.5	-6%	
					
						WPS %	WPS $	Cost	Return	% Rtrn	Shw $
						61.2%	$353.4	$294	$59.4	20%	128
He has these on the Turf today
Code:
pick11-03-20191	11-03-2019	5th race	10	Astoria Kitten (NY)	Stakes		One Mile	    D Gargan	6/1#	Turf
 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
pick11-03-20192	11-03-2019	10th race	10	Good Solution (KY)	Maiden Claiming	Six FurlD Gargan	8/1#	Turf
Let's see if he can get these to hit the board at a price at the Big A!!!
Gargan was just as bad as the Jets yesterday and came up empty
Code:
res11-03-20191	11-03-2019	5th race	10	Astoria Kitten (NY)	Stakes	One Mile	D Gargan	6/1#	Turf Good	0.0	0.0	0.0
 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
res11-03-20192	11-03-2019	10th race	10	Good Solution (KY)	Maiden Claiming	Six FurlD Gargan	8/1#	Turf Good	0.0	0.0	0.0
Let's continue to watch his barn on especially a wet Turf
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Old 11-07-2019, 11:52 AM   #12
TheOracle
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Gargan has these Turfers today at Aqueduct

Code:
pick11-07-20191	11-07-2019	5th race	12	Nans Plan (KY)	Starter Allowance	Six Furlongs	D Gargan	6/1#	Turf 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
pick11-07-20192	11-07-2019	9th race	7	Geta Lode of Lucky (NY)	Maiden Claiming	One Mile	D Gargan	12/1#	Turf
pick11-07-20193	11-07-2019	9th race	16	Textpectation (KY) (MTO)Maiden Claiming	One Mile	D Gargan	3/1#	Turf
Let's see if he can get one of these to hit the board today at a price!!!

Interesting #16 Textpectation is listed as MTO but is not scratched yet
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Old 11-08-2019, 12:43 PM   #13
TheOracle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by TheOracle View Post
Gargan has these Turfers today at Aqueduct

Code:
pick11-07-20191	11-07-2019	5th race	12	Nans Plan (KY)	Starter Allowance	Six Furlongs	D Gargan	6/1#	Turf 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
pick11-07-20192	11-07-2019	9th race	7	Geta Lode of Lucky (NY)	Maiden Claiming	One Mile	D Gargan	12/1#	Turf
pick11-07-20193	11-07-2019	9th race	16	Textpectation (KY) (MTO)Maiden Claiming	One Mile	D Gargan	3/1#	Turf
Let's see if he can get one of these to hit the board today at a price!!!

Interesting #16 Textpectation is listed as MTO but is not scratched yet
Gargan disappointed us yesterday

Code:
res11-07-20191	11-07-2019	5th race	12	Nans Plan (KY)	Starter Allowance	Six Furlongs	D Gargan	6/1#	Turf Firm	0.0	0.0	0.0
 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 	 
res11-07-20192	11-07-2019	9th race	7	Geta Lode of Lucky (NY)	Maiden Claiming	One Mile	D Gargan	12/1#	Turf Firm	0.0	0.0	0.0
Both of his horses were off the board yesterday

Let’s continue to watch his barn for the remainder of the season
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Old 11-09-2019, 05:15 PM   #14
Wizard of Odds
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Join Date: Nov 2005
Posts: 164
Prospectively, look for reversion to the mean...

Prediction: Next 100 races will return approximately negative 15%
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Old 11-09-2019, 05:32 PM   #15
TheOracle
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Wizard of Odds View Post
Prospectively, look for reversion to the mean...

Prediction: Next 100 races will return approximately negative 15%
Hey Wiz

Gargan has been 0 for his last 6 on the Turf he did get one to hit the board today but his barn is showing very weak signs of life so far on the Turf
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