Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Off Topic > Off Topic - Sports


Reply
 
Thread Tools Rate Thread
Old 02-05-2018, 08:29 PM   #1
fmhealth
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2004
Posts: 663
Rep Power: 15 fmhealth is on a distinguished road
"BETTOR X" strikes again!! MILLIONS more won!!!

Multi-million dollar payday on the Super Bowl, after even a greater score on the World Series. This fellow is quickly becoming a living legend.

Be Well,
fmhealth


http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id...uper-bowl-bets
fmhealth is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 02-05-2018, 10:02 PM   #2
PaceAdvantage
PA Steward
 
PaceAdvantage's Avatar
 
Join Date: Mar 2001
Location: New York
Posts: 57,663
Rep Power: 87 PaceAdvantage has much to be proud ofPaceAdvantage has much to be proud ofPaceAdvantage has much to be proud ofPaceAdvantage has much to be proud ofPaceAdvantage has much to be proud ofPaceAdvantage has much to be proud ofPaceAdvantage has much to be proud ofPaceAdvantage has much to be proud ofPaceAdvantage has much to be proud of
And he doesn't even have a "direct tote."

Go figure...
PaceAdvantage is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 02-08-2018, 10:39 AM   #3
Teach
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 2,508
Rep Power: 13 Teach will become famous soon enough
As suggested by Lambo, this "telephone-numbers" sports bettor might have had "inside information". If I had known that Malcolm Butler wasn't starting - a game-time decision - I woulda jumped on the Eagles bandwagon faster than you can say: "Philly cheese-steak"!
__________________
Walt (Teach)

"Walt, make a 'mental bet' and lose your mind." R.N.S.

"The important thing is what I think of myself."
"David and Lisa" (1962)












Teach is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 02-08-2018, 12:12 PM   #4
Valuist
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: East Bay
Posts: 16,116
Rep Power: 33 Valuist will become famous soon enoughValuist will become famous soon enough
By all accounts, it is premature to call him a "sharp". In those 6 World Series winning bets, the lead changed in 4 of the games from the 8th inning on. He just happened to be on the right side of those 6 outcomes.
Valuist is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 02-08-2018, 01:19 PM   #5
Robert Fischer
clean money
 
Robert Fischer's Avatar
 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Location: Maryland
Posts: 17,445
Rep Power: 31 Robert Fischer will become famous soon enoughRobert Fischer will become famous soon enough
possible photo of 'BETTOR X'


__________________
Preparation. Discipline. Patience. Decisiveness.
Robert Fischer is online now   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 02-08-2018, 01:35 PM   #6
burnsy
self medicated
 
Join Date: Mar 2012
Location: toga
Posts: 2,263
Rep Power: 11 burnsy has a spectacular aura aboutburnsy has a spectacular aura aboutburnsy has a spectacular aura about
Quote:
Originally Posted by Teach View Post
As suggested by Lambo, this "telephone-numbers" sports bettor might have had "inside information". If I had known that Malcolm Butler wasn't starting - a game-time decision - I woulda jumped on the Eagles bandwagon faster than you can say: "Philly cheese-steak"!
I jumped on that band wagon 3 weeks ago. There was no "inside info". As soon as i knew NE was going to be in it, I knew the spread would be illogical. The parade is on and they are making it sound like "Rocky" beat Apollo. New England was some what of a false fave . The only shot they had was on offense and/or turn overs. And the NFC was just a better brand of football this year. By the end of the season there were 3 good teams in the AFC and only one of them could play defense. I pointed out Pittsburg and New England's weak defense when they played each other. I knew the smart money was on Philly from the start. When this guy hammered out these million dollar and half million dollar bets, it just was more "confidence"..........People like that don't make millions by losing too often.
__________________
"If voting mattered, they wouldn't let you do it." Mark Twain
burnsy is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 02-08-2018, 02:06 PM   #7
swiss cheese
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2016
Posts: 15
Rep Power: 0 swiss cheese is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by Teach View Post
As suggested by Lambo, this "telephone-numbers" sports bettor might have had "inside information". If I had known that Malcolm Butler wasn't starting - a game-time decision - I woulda jumped on the Eagles bandwagon faster than you can say: "Philly cheese-steak"!
Teach, i'm sorry but you're making sound like Tom Brady wasn't playing.
swiss cheese is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 02-08-2018, 03:52 PM   #8
Teach
Registered User
 
Join Date: Dec 2007
Posts: 2,508
Rep Power: 13 Teach will become famous soon enough
Swiss Cheese -

I respect what you're saying. This is no knock on Tom Brady who, in my opinion, played an excellent game, quite possibly his best Superbowl effort. Yet, the two teams were quite evenly matched (the point-spread indicated that). So, if a higher caliber player is unexpectedly benched, it shifts the pendulum to a point where the Eagles become a more viable choice. They are more likely to cover the spread.
__________________
Walt (Teach)

"Walt, make a 'mental bet' and lose your mind." R.N.S.

"The important thing is what I think of myself."
"David and Lisa" (1962)












Teach is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 02-08-2018, 04:24 PM   #9
swiss cheese
Registered User
 
Join Date: Oct 2016
Posts: 15
Rep Power: 0 swiss cheese is on a distinguished road
Quote:
Originally Posted by Teach View Post
Swiss Cheese -

I respect what you're saying. This is no knock on Tom Brady who, in my opinion, played an excellent game, quite possibly his best Superbowl effort. Yet, the two teams were quite evenly matched (the point-spread indicated that). So, if a higher caliber player is unexpectedly benched, it shifts the pendulum to a point where the Eagles become a more viable choice. They are more likely to cover the spread.
and you're right about that except their whole defense don't have any super stars that can't be replaced.
swiss cheese is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 02-08-2018, 04:37 PM   #10
Valuist
Registered User
 
Join Date: Feb 2003
Location: East Bay
Posts: 16,116
Rep Power: 33 Valuist will become famous soon enoughValuist will become famous soon enough
Quote:
Originally Posted by Teach View Post
Swiss Cheese -

I respect what you're saying. This is no knock on Tom Brady who, in my opinion, played an excellent game, quite possibly his best Superbowl effort. Yet, the two teams were quite evenly matched (the point-spread indicated that). So, if a higher caliber player is unexpectedly benched, it shifts the pendulum to a point where the Eagles become a more viable choice. They are more likely to cover the spread.
I would argue that the point spread DIDN'T state the teams were that evenly matched. A 4 1/2 point favorite on a neutral field is a 7 to 7 1/2 point favorite at home against that opponent.

Very few non-QBs are worth even one point to the spread. Malcolm Butler may be a decent player, but it is doubtful he would have any impact on the spread.
Valuist is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 02-20-2018, 09:08 PM   #11
ultracapper
Registered User
 
Join Date: Jul 2013
Location: Seattle
Posts: 2,875
Rep Power: 8 ultracapper is on a distinguished road
You always have to look at the dog against NE. Being that the books are just trying to balance, they have to take into account that there is probably more "fan" money on NE than any other team. "Hate" money never balances "fan" when it comes in at the degree it comes in on NE.

Edit: Anybody, off the top of your head, know how NE did against the spread this year?

Last edited by ultracapper; 02-20-2018 at 09:10 PM.
ultracapper is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Old 02-20-2018, 10:32 PM   #12
barahona44
Registered User
 
Join Date: Mar 2015
Location: Nueve meses en Port St. Lucie, FL; three months in the Dominican Republic
Posts: 2,902
Rep Power: 10 barahona44 is just really nicebarahona44 is just really nicebarahona44 is just really nicebarahona44 is just really nicebarahona44 is just really nice
Quote:
Originally Posted by ultracapper View Post
You always have to look at the dog against NE. Being that the books are just trying to balance, they have to take into account that there is probably more "fan" money on NE than any other team. "Hate" money never balances "fan" when it comes in at the degree it comes in on NE.

Edit: Anybody, off the top of your head, know how NE did against the spread this year?
Pats were 12-7 ATS, only the Eagles were better (13-6).This is according to www.teamrankings.com
__________________
"One thing I have learned in life is that fun houses aren't much fun"

Thomas McGuane, The Bushwhacked Piano 1971
barahona44 is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
Reply




Thread Tools
Rate This Thread
Rate This Thread:

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

» Advertisement
» Current Polls
What is your most successful handicapping trait/tool?
Patience - 14.18%
40 Votes
Experience - 17.02%
48 Votes
Number crunching - 6.38%
18 Votes
Sheets / Thorograph / TimeformUS / DRF / Equibase, etc. - 11.70%
33 Votes
Software - 15.96%
45 Votes
Very specific races/angles - 10.64%
30 Votes
Jockey/Trainer angles - 6.03%
17 Votes
Other - 18.09%
51 Votes
Total Votes: 282
This poll is closed.
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 10:25 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2018, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2018 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved -- Best Viewed in a modern browser @ 1280x720 Resolution Or Higher
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.