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Old 10-02-2017, 10:33 AM   #1
Ray2000
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Dime Supers

Trying out a small run of 10 Superfectas, 2 picks on top of 5
Ticket cost is $4.80

Might go to 20 tracks if this shows any promise

Monday 10/2

Dayton R2........ 4,8 / 4,8,9,6,1
Dayton R3........ 3,7 / 3,7,2,4,1
Dayton R5........ 2,8 / 2,8,5,4,1
Dayton R8........ 6,2 / 6,2,4,1,3
Dayton R10....... 4,8 / 4,8,3,5,1
Dayton R11....... 5,6 / 5,6,2,9,1

Monticello R1.... 4,3 / 4,3,2,6,1
Monticello R2.... 2,1 / 2,1,6,7,3
Monticello R4.... 2,4 / 2,4,9,1,3
Monticello R5.... 8,6 / 8,6,2,3,1
Monticello R6.... 5,2 / 5,2,7,8,1

Pocono R3........ 3,2 / 3,2,5,9,6
Pocono R6........ 5,4 / 5,4,8,6,2


Dime tracks
DTN
FHLD
HAR
HOP
MR
PCD
RCR
VD

20 tracks

BTVA
FLMD
GRVR
HAW
LEX
MOH
NFLD
PRC
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Old 10-02-2017, 12:14 PM   #2
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Ray, I have noticed that beaten favs , pacers only , post 1-5, in same class or drop, win at nice rate , next start however can ur BOT tell me if the WIN% &ROI ...when beaten fav returns as fav & not fav matters been focusing on Yonkers?Thanks in advance
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Old 10-02-2017, 12:57 PM   #3
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I happen to have some data like what you're asking about for 1/1/16 - 12/31/16
Your comment on "faves in last start" is true with Impact values near the top of factor list.
Code:
					
 		Impact			
Starts	Win%	Value	ROI	Factor	
29728	44.22%	3.446	0.875	fave today	
12364	24.58%	1.915	0.769	fave in last and won	 	
13219	20.70%	1.613	0.739	rail start 1/2 mile	
15356	20.40%	1.589	0.782	fave in last and beat	
28763	19.85%	1.547	0.757	won last race	
3167	19.23%	1.498	0.828	claimed in last	
27547	14.57%	1.135	0.777	different track last time	
9043	14.44%	1.125	0.8	rail start 5/8	
104816	13.33%	1.039	0.716	tracksize1/2	
237879	12.84%	1	0.744	all starters	
74810	12.60%	0.982	0.735	tracksize5/8	
21994	12.45%	0.97	0.822	tracksize1	
36259	12.10%	0.943	0.797	tracksize7/8	
2518	11.68%	0.91	0.819	rail start 1	
4074	11.19%	0.872	0.688	rail start 7/8	
26910	10.09%	0.786	0.699	driver is trainer	
209545	9.17%	0.714	0.725	ML>2.9	
Best in category in race					
23133	24.10%		0.84	My Speed	
23133	28.90%		0.81	TM Speed	
23133	22.10%		0.77	Yr Earnings$	
23133	22.00%		0.76	TM Class	
23133	20.40%		0.75	Top UDR Driver	
23133	19.10%		0.75	Top W% Trainer	
23133	17.20%		0.75	Early Speed	
23133	19.30%		0.74	2Yr Win%	
23133	19.60%		0.71	Fastest FT	
23133	16.30%		0.70	Fastest 4QT
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Old 10-02-2017, 01:36 PM   #4
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Thanks again
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Old 10-02-2017, 06:04 PM   #5
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Add some more pokies

Pocono R4........ 8,4 / 8,4,6,5,2
Pocono R5........ 5,6 / 5,6,9,7,1
Pocono R7........ 1,9 / 1,9,4,5,2
Pocono R8........ 6,2 / 6,2,3,8,9
Pocono R9........ 1,5 / 1,5,3,9,2
Pocono R10....... 2,8 / 2,8,9,1,7
Pocono R14....... 6,9 / 6,9,5,7,1
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Old 10-03-2017, 10:39 AM   #6
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Yesterday was not good, collected ~$25 on ~$90 bet

Changing the format today, Single key on top of 5....$6.00 tickets..$96 bet

Dayton R1........ 3 / 1,2,6,5,4
Dayton R4........ 5 / 1,9,6,2,3
Dayton R5........ 6 / 7,1,4,5,2
Dayton R9........ 8 / 1,7,5,2,3
Dayton R10....... 4 / 9,3,8,5,1
Dayton R11....... 3 / 5,7,8,1,2
Harrington R2.... 5 / 1,2,3,4,6
Harrington R6.... 2 / 3,1,7,4,5
Hoosier R3....... 2 / 6,1,5,3,4
Monticello R2.... 2 / 4,7,1,3,5
Monticello R5.... 6 / 5,8,2,4,1
Monticello R7.... 1 / 5,8,2,4,3
Pocono R2........ 1 / 8,5,2,3,4
Pocono R7........ 2 / 9,1,6,5,3
Pocono R12....... 6 / 3,7,9,1,2
Pocono R14....... 2 / 8,6,1,3,4
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Old 10-04-2017, 05:42 AM   #7
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Yesterday much better with 2 nice hits at Dayton and Pokie
Code:
Dayton R1........ 3 / 1,2,6,5,4				
Dayton R4........ 5 / 1,9,6,2,3				
Dayton R5........ 6 / 7,1,4,5,2				
Dayton R9........ 8 / 1,7,5,2,3				
Dayton R10....... 4 / 9,3,8,5,1				
Dayton R11....... 3 / 5,7,8,1,2			64.35	
Harrington R2.... 5 / 1,2,3,4,6			8.90	
Harrington R6.... 2 / 3,1,7,4,5			13.17	dh for 2nd and 3rd collect twice
Hoosier R3....... 2 / 6,1,5,3,4				
Monticello R2.... 2 / 4,7,1,3,5			3.86	
Monticello R5.... 6 / 5,8,2,4,1				
Monticello R7.... 1 / 5,8,2,4,3			9.80	
Pocono R2........ 1 / 8,5,2,3,4				
Pocono R7........ 2 / 9,1,6,5,3				
Pocono R12....... 6 / 3,7,9,1,2				
Pocono R14....... 2 / 8,6,1,3,4			53.17	
				$96 in		$153.25	back
Only have 6 for today
Hoosier R6....... 6 / 7,4,5,1,2
Monticello R2.... 4 / 7,5,8,1,2
Monticello R3.... 2 / 5,1,6,4,3
Monticello R4.... 4 / 2,9,3,1,5
Monticello R5.... 2 / 4,1,5,3,6
Monticello R6.... 1 / 5,2,6,4,3
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Old 10-04-2017, 06:37 AM   #8
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Adding some 20 centers for Northfield

Northfield R1.... 2 / 4,5,7,1,3
Northfield R2.... 3 / 8,6,1,2,4
Northfield R6.... 3 / 2,1,9,4,5
Northfield R7.... 2 / 3,5,7,1,4
Northfield R13... 2 / 5,7,9,3,1
Northfield R15... 5 / 2,4,6,9,1
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Old 10-04-2017, 09:26 PM   #9
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray2000 View Post
Adding some 20 centers for Northfield

Northfield R1.... 2 / 4,5,7,1,3
Northfield R2.... 3 / 8,6,1,2,4
Northfield R6.... 3 / 2,1,9,4,5
Northfield R7.... 2 / 3,5,7,1,4
Northfield R13... 2 / 5,7,9,3,1
Northfield R15... 5 / 2,4,6,9,1

Race 13 isn't a Super-fecta it's a Super-Hi5
(The robot was confused )

Playing

Northfield Race 13
$0.20 PEN on 2/5,7,9/1,3,5,7,9/1,3,5,7,9/1,3,5,7,9

for $14.40 cost
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Old 10-05-2017, 06:48 AM   #10
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Results:

Code:
Track	Race	Collect
HOP . . .6 . . . --
MR . . . 2 . . . --
MR . . . 3 . . . --
MR . . . 4 . . . $19.73
MR . . . 5 . . . $3.93
MR . . . 6 . . . $11.53
NFLD . . .1 . . .$10.16
NFLD . . .2 . . .$6.00
NFLD . . .6 . . . --
NFLD . . .7 . . .$96.06
NFLD . . .13 . . .--(Hi-5)
NFLD . . .15 . . .$5.54
Bet $110.40 return $152.94

Dime Supers for Thursday ("T" = 10)

Dayton R3........ 3 / 6,5,4,7,1
Dayton R7........ 5 / 6,2,3,1,4

Freehold R4...... 5 / 8,3,2,1,4

Harrington R4.... 2 / 1,5,3,8,4
Harrington R10... 5 / 1,3,6,4,2

Hoosier R4....... 5 / 1,8,T,2,3
Hoosier R7....... 5 / 7,1,6,8,2
Hoosier R8....... 5 / 8,2,4,9,1

Monticello R2.... 5 / 1,4,8,2,3
Monticello R6.... 3 / 1,5,4,2,6
Monticello R8.... 3 / 4,8,1,2,5
Monticello R10... 3 / 4,1,7,2,5

Vernon R3........ 1 / 7,8,2,5,3
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Old 10-06-2017, 06:56 AM   #11
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Yesterday just 2 small collects, $1.76 and $14.95 at Monti

Dimes for Today, Oct 6
Dayton R1........ 5 / 1,2,7,3,4
Dayton R3........ 4 / 5,9,6,1,2
Dayton R5........ 4 / 2,1,9,5,3
Dayton R6........ 1 / 3,5,7,2,4
Dayton R10....... 2 / 3,1,8,5,4
Dayton R11....... 5 / 4,1,6,2,3
Dayton R12....... 5 / 4,9,8,6,1
Dayton R14....... 5 / 1,8,7,6,2

Freehold R4...... 4 / 3,6,8,1,2

Hoosier R1....... 6 / 4,2,7,5,1
Hoosier R6....... 5 / 4,3,7,1,2
Hoosier R8....... 6 / 5,1,8,4,2

Vernon R3........ 4 / 2,7,6,5,1
Vernon R4........ 4 / 6,2,1,5,3
Vernon R6........ 3 / 4,5,2,1,6
Vernon R7........ 3 / 2,4,1,5,6

Mohawk R3........ 3 / 6,4,2,1,5
Mohawk R4........ 6 / 3,9,4,1,2

Mohawks are 20 tickets ($12)
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Old 10-06-2017, 02:59 PM   #12
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Freehold Race 4 10 Superfecta 4-2-8-1 pays $238.34..............$7000 pool

Off to a good start

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Old 10-06-2017, 09:20 PM   #13
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Ray2000 View Post
Freehold Race 4 10 Superfecta 4-2-8-1 pays $238.34..............$7000 pool

Off to a good start

Awesome!
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Old 10-07-2017, 06:40 AM   #14
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Thx Longshot, best dime I ever spent ...

Yesterday 3 hits, all were the 4th race of the card
Fhld $238.34
Moh $15.70
Vd $4.85

(Vernon R6 was refunded, ...don't know why. Six horse field??)

Bet $114, collect $285.89

This run so far
Bet $518.40 collect $632.79 net +114.39

Supers for Saturday
Dayton R3........ 5 / 4,2,6,8,1
Dayton R5........ 2 / 5,6,1,3,4
Dayton R6........ 6 / 5,1,4,2,3
Dayton R8........ 5 / 1,7,2,3,4
Dayton R13....... 2 / 1,7,8,4,5
Dayton R14....... 3 / 5,1,8,2,4

Freehold R1...... 1 / 5,3,4,2,6
Freehold R2...... 2 / 3,1,4,5,6
Freehold R3...... 2 / 1,4,5,3,6
Freehold R4...... 2 / 8,1,6,5,3
Freehold R10..... 4 / 3,6,5,1,2
Freehold R11..... 3 / 1,4,5,2,6

Hoosier R2....... 1 / 3,4,6,5,2
Hoosier R3....... 5 / 4,2,6,3,1
Hoosier R4....... 2 / 4,6,8,5,1
Hoosier R8....... 5 / 3,4,6,1,2
Hoosier R9....... 4 / T,8,9,5,1
Hoosier R10...... 5 / 4,7,8,6,1

Pocono R1........ 5 / 1,7,8,4,2
Pocono R2........ 4 / 2,7,3,1,5
Pocono R3........ 1 / 4,6,8,2,3
Pocono R5........ 5 / 1,7,4,2,3
Pocono R6........ 3 / 1,9,2,8,4
Pocono R8........ 1 / 6,3,2,7,4
Pocono R11....... 1 / 4,2,8,3,5
Pocono R12....... 1 / 2,3,6,4,5
Pocono R14....... 5 / 1,4,2,3,6

Rosecroft R7..... 4 / 8,2,1,5,3
Rosecroft R8..... 5 / 2,8,7,1,3
Rosecroft R10.... 1 / 9,2,6,5,3

Vernon R3........ 5 / 2,4,1,3,6
Vernon R9........ 6 / 7,4,1,5,2

Northfield R1.... 3 / 5,1,8,2,4
Northfield R7.... 1 / 9,8,3,2,4
Northfield R10... 1 / 2,3,6,4,5

Mohawk R5........ 4 / 3,6,T,1,2
Mohawk R7........ 5 / 6,9,4,1,2
Mohawk R8........ 5 / 4,6,7,1,2
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Old 10-07-2017, 08:03 AM   #15
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Great work Ray!
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