*Handicapping Methods-Spot Play Testing-Software Etc

[NorCalGreg]

Forgot to add in what's called the PICK-9. These are the top contenders for all 9 races (if there are 9).

These are TOP POWER #.....you can click a button and get the top Prime Power, Ability, and T/J% as well.

I'm sort of partial to the power number myself:
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edit: no power numbers for race 6 due to being less than 5F

[NorCalGreg]

Got this email today from one of my favorite customers--glad I could help with his anxiety--he's so anxious he forgot my name!

" Hi Gary, can't control my anxiety waiting for the Exotic Software release. Lol Any timetable when release date? Thanks Carmen"

Been getting questions about TRAINER MOVES. That project is on hold right now. It was originally to be released BEFORE Exotic....but honestly I had a brainstorm one day and figured out a new direction for Exotic..and here we are.

I have everyone's email address--I'll send out info once a month--AT MOST.

If you'd like to get on the list--the footer on my site has a sign up app.
Or just click on the little pic of the lady asking "may I help you?"

As always--if you are on my list and don't wish to be--opting out is very easy, no problem.

[green80]

Hotlist is hot today, 2nd at MVR 19.60 winner and 6th race at sunland 86.00 winner.

[green80]

Exotic- .10 super box 1st race Sunland $1505.07

[NorCalGreg]

DAMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM LOL

I didn't even look at Sunland today I've been pretty busy. We were just talking about that--being consistent with betting.

No 'capping time-- just betting longshots on the Hot List..I didn't get the one at MVR because his ML was only 9/2..I've only been betting 10-1 + and just passing on races with more than 2.
I think we're gonna have to add Sunland to our PACE VIEW FRIENDLY tracks
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[NorCalGreg]

Both exactas won also--from the exacta plays on PLATINUM

On one they dead-heated--didn't pay much--the other was decent

If you've never seen an early double that paid over $2,000 --take a look at the bombs today at Sunland
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[NorCalGreg]

Here's the TIP SHEET for MVR. I see a few good looking plays there--no time to eliminate scratches--sorry

good luck

-NCG

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[NorCalGreg]

Turf Paradise has a couple bombs that could pop--

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[NorCalGreg]

Originally Posted by NorCalGreg

Turf Paradise has a couple bombs that could pop--

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I haven't had time to even LOOK at Exotic or Platinum....just bet the double digits on the HOT LIST

No handicapping whatsoever--nailed Mysterious Man @ TUP. It's not recommended betting without at least looking at the horses....you'll eventually go broke.

COMPLETED: 044cb-2baa2TUP #8 $20 Win 9 none $20.00 $130.00 + $110.00

[NorCalGreg]

Not much going on today as far as racing....

Here's PENN Tip Sheet, if anyone still plays it.

I'll bet the Tip Sheet Longshot and take a look at the prices on the COMP REPORT.

Still getting email asking when EXOTIC BETS! will be available?

Hello? It's available NOW!

**didn't notice --there's also a VALUE PLAY there
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[NorCalGreg]

Here's a method that is one of the best for PLATINUM....it's on my website--but I have so much crap on there, you may have missed it.

You can handicap all day with this simple method--It's one of the best.

TOP POWER # BY 10 POINTS +

MIN 3-1 ML

TOP-2 PRIME POWER

TOP-2 EARLY POWER

TOP-2 LATE

Works with sprints and routes

Good Luck

-NCG

[NorCalGreg]

Someone just sent an email asking how to Print the PICK-9 ALL...but my reply to him bounced back..that's weird, but here it is

....click on the first race...then click on your flavor of handicapping--ABILITY, POWER, T/J OR PRIME POWER--whichever one you've chosen there is a "print " button below.

[bpiets]

in general, playing the top jocks / trainers/ owners is the way to make money...watching how other horses run in these races gives many an future offering...lol...and in harness it appears that drivers take turns winning after having droughts, then at least at woodbine / mohawk / etc races they appear to win or end up in the top three for a couple of days and in between bring in longer odd winners...lol...but the top drivers are there for winning the big purse / name brand races...lol..etc... ...ever notice...a lot of drivers try to win three in a row at the abovr mentioned tracks...lol..seems like a contest between the drivers...lol...

[NorCalGreg]

Very true, bpiets--about handicapping and giving much weight to Connections.

I'm always amazed how many winners one can find simply limiting your contenders to the Top-3 Trainer/Jockey teams. This is the EXOTIC BETS! Pick-9 ALL for Gulfstream Thursday.

This is the first track I looked at for this discussion...naturally I would want to find a track with a lot of T/J% WINNERS --was GULFSTREAM.

I didn't have to look any more. In 10 races...the winners were found in 9 of the races--just by selecting PICK-9 and selecting the top Trainer/Jockey combos. Clicked two buttons--all races listed the top 3 T/J%, and 9 of 10 of those groups of three contained the winner.

You can find these on your own with some work--my program eliminates all that with a button-click.

Here it is--GPX handicapped by T/J%. I do have one confession--when I asked my programmer to make me a PICK-9... he made a pick-9.
Silly me...forgot some tracks run 10 or more races.

The work-around is--Select the 1ST race to begin the pick-9...if any more races--simply click the 10th race and get the rest of the races contenders on another pop up--they won't all print on the same page anyway---too many for 1.

Okay, fair enough? Another thing--this proves handicapping can indeed be effectively reduced to statistics and numbers. Hell...even Bris PRIME POWER--also a pick-9 handicapping mode--will get a lot of winners at decent prices.
I've said before --picking winners is not that hard to do.

Winning at horse betting is much more than that--that's the easy part.
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[NorCalGreg]

Let me give Sunland a shot here, using the tip sheet.

Before I get to that--I said in the above post:

"this proves handicapping can indeed be effectively reduced to statistics and numbers."

Tht was a ridiculous statement on my part--this doesn't prove anything. Maybe it "shows" an example--but doesn't prove anything.

One scratch on the tip sheet--so 6 flat bet wagers for me.
Horses that have good numbers--but are 5 ABILITY...are shaky. Over the long haul I think you'll lose unless you absolutely require a "fair" price.

What that "fair price" is--is for the handicapper to determine.
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