IMO, Onesome saying if a horse isn't worth it in the win pool it's also probably not worth it in exotics is a real good rule of thumb. Exceptions apply but I don't waste time looking for them.
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The great menace to progress is not ignorance but the illusion of knowledge - Daniel J. Boorstin
The takers get the honey, the givers sing the blues - Robin Trower, Too Rolling Stoned - 1974
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