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Old 02-20-2021, 03:26 PM   #5
NorCalGreg
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Join Date: Dec 2014
Location: Oakland, Ca
Posts: 7,953
Quote:
Originally Posted by Onesome View Post
A betting system will never turn -EV picks into +EV, you're just screwing around with the distribution of returns and in the longrun youre going to have the same return %.

Other things im hearing about not playing short price horses because they are a short price and instead to wheel them in exotics is god awful. It's the fav/longshot bias idiotic notion that allow losers to think a horse that goes off at even can't possibly be +EV. And on top of that somehow a horse not worth it in win pools is worth it in exotics is crazy.

Now using recovery type bankroll management you have a big problem in NA racing...the fact that 30-50% of the pool comes in at the final minute, so you can't assume odds. Oh and this idiot says if the odds go up it's to your advantage; nope people who are smarter then you have bet other horses, your bet is really -EV.

You've been on this board for 16years, cmon man you should know better than this.
Partsnut asked about a website from the past, and if anyone had any experience with it.
Everyone knows due column betting is a farce--referring to it as "recovery type bankroll management" in an attempt to sound intelligent is just a waste of words.

"A horse not worth it in win pools is worth it in exotics is crazy".

That is just too dumb to comment on...come on, man. You've been here for two years--you should know they are separate pools, with differing betting value in exotics.

Your lecturing and name calling impress no one.
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