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Originally Posted by RXB
On dirt, the win% and ITM% decline very obviously and significantly with each move backward in early position; the more forwardly horses are placed early on dirt, the better in the long run. But in turf routes, unless a horse gets the lead there's essentially no overall benefit from more forward position except to the extent that it keeps horses within the front half or even the front two-thirds of the field. So why force the issue? A turf route rider whose horse is parked on the outside shoulder or hip of the leader a couple of furlongs into the race is usually not improving his own chances by forcing the pace aggressively during the middle stages.
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That's a good point. Also, a lot of the horses that are in the back of the field are not there because it's their running style. It's because they are slow horses. So at least some small part of the reason the stats are generally worse for trailers on both dirt and turf is that they are longshots that wouldn't have much of shot from anywhere.
