Quote:
Originally Posted by classhandicapper
I'm rarely going to disagree with any of your specific race complaints. I just think these occasional crawl fests that are pissing people off are an accidental byproduct of doing what is generally correct in turf route racing on both continents (maybe some courses and conditions are exceptions).
Think back to a couple of those SA Breeder's Cup cards when speed was an advantage on dirt. Eventually, the riders got so crazy aggressive they started causing races to collapse even though it was a speed favoring track.
Getting more aggressive was the correct thing to do, but sometimes they over compensated and erred. That's what's happening here. They are trying to back down the paces because it's harder to wire turf routes. But sometimes they are overcompensating and allowing some slug to wire.
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Kind of goes to the "black or white" mentality -- no shades of gray. Either it's perceived as speed biased, neutral or favoring closers. Often the "bias" is pretty limited, nuanced. Thus, when the fractions heat up the speed dies.
Rarely do you see days when horses going, say, 45.0 in turf route will survive going two turns especially if they are dueling. THAT's when you know there is a real plus bias. Happens at times in the summer when it hasn't rained for a while.