Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board

Go Back   Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage.Com - Horse Racing Message Board


View Single Post
Old 10-18-2022, 12:32 PM   #14
Jeff P
Registered User
 
Jeff P's Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2001
Location: JCapper Platinum: Kind of like Deep Blue... but for horses.
Posts: 5,287
Attachment 32462
Quote:
Originally Posted by PaceAdvantage View Post
Pop quiz...when was the last time you remember futures being up almost 2% overnight after an up regular session of 2%?

It's been a while...I can't remember the last time the overnight was up this much around midnight...something is driving this market tonight....
Imo, overnight futures and US market pricing when markets are open are (still) very much driven by price movement in the dollar.

Clickable thumbnails below:

Daily Chart BBDXY (Bloomberg Spot Dollar)

Daily Chart SPY

Fwiw, my takeaway:

During this current market cycle price movement in the dollar is shortly followed by proportional price movement of US markets in the opposite direction a very high percentage of the time.

Sometimes market pricing (short term) becomes disconnected from movement in the dollar.

That was the case this morning after market open. The dollar was rising but the SPX was (still) holding onto its gains.

When I saw this I decided to add a few more SPY Nov252022 320 puts at 1.60 to the trade I posted in the other thread (clickable thumbnail below.)


-jp

.

Attached Images
File Type: jpg BBDXY-10182022-1128am.JPG (44.1 KB, 9 views)
File Type: jpg SPY-10182022-1128am.JPG (32.4 KB, 7 views)
File Type: jpg SPYNov252022-320Put-10182022.JPG (13.9 KB, 5 views)
__________________
Team JCapper: 2011 PAIHL Regular Season ROI Leader after 15 weeks
www.JCapper.com

Last edited by Jeff P; 10-18-2022 at 12:45 PM.
Jeff P is offline   Reply With Quote Reply
 
» Advertisement
» Current Polls
Wh deserves to be the favorite? (last 4 figures)
Powered by vBadvanced CMPS v3.2.3

All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:38 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.9
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, vBulletin Solutions, Inc.
Copyright 1999 - 2023 -- PaceAdvantage.Com -- All Rights Reserved
We are a participant in the Amazon Services LLC Associates Program, an affiliate advertising program
designed to provide a means for us to earn fees by linking to Amazon.com and affiliated sites.